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Related papers: Dynamics and Inference for Voter Model Processes

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In a social network, adoption probability refers to the probability that a social entity will adopt a product, service, or opinion in the foreseeable future. Such probabilities are central to fundamental issues in social network analysis,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2013-09-26 Xiao Fang , Paul J. Hu , Zhepeng Li , Weiyu Tsai

Most of the conventional models for opinion dynamics mainly account for a fully local influence, where myopic agents decide their actions after they interact with other agents that are adjacent to them. For example, in the case of social…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-05-10 Babak Fotouhi , Michael G. Rabbat

We propose a stochastic model of opinion exchange in networks. A finite set of agents is organized in a fixed network structure. There is a binary state of the world and each agent receives a private signal on the state. We model beliefs as…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-01-31 Emilien Macault

In this paper we propose a novel method to forecast the result of elections using only official results of previous ones. It is based on the voter model with stubborn nodes and uses theoretical results developed in a previous work of ours.…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-10-13 Antoine Vendeville , Benjamin Guedj , Shi Zhou

We consider chemical reaction networks modeled by a discrete state and continuous in time Markov process for the vector copy number of the species and provide a novel particle filter method for state and parameter estimation based on exact…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2021-02-24 Muruhan Rathinam , Mingkai Yu

Collective adaptation, whether in innovation adoption, pro-environmental or organizational change, emerges from the interplay between individual decisions and social influence. Agent-based modeling provides a useful tool for studying such…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-10-29 Angelika Abramiuk-Szurlej , Katarzyna Sznajd-Weron

Consensus protocols play an important role in the study of distributed algorithms. In this paper, we study the effect of bias on two popular consensus protocols, namely, the {\em voter rule} and the {\em 2-choices rule} with binary…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-17 Oindrila Deb , Arpan Mukhopadhyay

Vector autoregressive models characterize a variety of time series in which linear combinations of current and past observations can be used to accurately predict future observations. For instance, each element of an observation vector…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-06-27 Eric C. Hall , Garvesh Raskutti , Rebecca Willett

We introduce a non-linear variant of the voter model, the q-voter model, in which q neighbors (with possible repetition) are consulted for a voter to change opinion. If the q neighbors agree, the voter takes their opinion; if they do not…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-27 C. Castellano , M. A. Munoz , R. Pastor-Satorras

The conventional voter model is modified so that an agent's switching rate depends on the `age' of the agent, that is, the time since the agent last switched opinion. In contrast to previous work, age is continuous in the present model. We…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-08-01 Joseph W. Baron , Antonio F. Peralta , Tobias Galla , Raul Toral

When opinion spread is studied, peer pressure is often modeled by interactions of more than two individuals (higher-order interactions). In our work, we introduce a two-layer random hypergraph model, in which hyperedges represent households…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-12-30 Ágnes Backhausz , Villő Csiszár , Balázs Csegő Kolok , Damján Tárkányi , András Zempléni

Opinion dynamics is crucial for unraveling the complexities of human interaction in the information age. How to speed up consensus without disturbing the fate of the system is key for opinion dynamics. We propose a voter model on adaptive…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-12-12 Xunlong Wang , Bin Wu

We introduce the confident voter model, in which each voter can be in one of two opinions and can additionally have two levels of commitment to an opinion --- confident and unsure. Upon interacting with an agent of a different opinion, a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-03-19 D. Volovik , S. Redner

We consider a network of sensors deployed to sense a spatio-temporal field and estimate a parameter of interest. We are interested in the case where the temporal process sensed by each sensor can be modeled as a state-space process that is…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2008-04-12 S. Sundhar Ram , V. V. Veeravalli , A. Nedic

We study a variant of the voter model with multiple opinions; individuals can imitate each other and also change their opinion randomly in mutation events. We focus on the case of a population with all-to-all interaction. A noise-driven…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-08-14 Francisco Herrerías-Azcué , Tobias Galla

Communities are a common and widely studied structure in networks, typically under the assumption that the network is fully and correctly observed. In practice, network data are often collected by querying nodes about their connections. In…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-22 Tianxi Li , Elizaveta Levina , Ji Zhu

The adaptive voter model allows for studying the interplay between homophily, the tendency of like-minded individuals to attract each other, and social influence, the tendency for connected individuals to influence each other. However, it…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-03-21 Nikos Papanikolaou , Renaud Lambiotte , Giacomo Vaccario

We study numerically the dynamics of opinion formation under the influence of mass media using the $q$-voter model on a Barabasi-Albert network. We investigate the scenario where a voter adopts the mass media's opinion with a probability…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-07-16 Ramacos Fardela , Zulfi Abdullah , Roni Muslim

In the latent voter model, which models the spread of a technology through a social network, individuals who have just changed their choice have a latent period, which is exponential with rate $\lambda$, during which they will not buy a new…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-05-31 Ran Huo , Rick Durrett

A model, applicable to a range of innovation diffusion applications with a strong peer to peer component, is developed and studied, along with methods for its investigation and analysis. A particular application is to individual households…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2019-10-03 Nicholas J. McCullen , Alastair M. Rucklidge , Catherine S. E. Bale , Tim J. Foxon , William F. Gale