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A quasar wind model is proposed to describe the spatial and velocity structure of the broad line region. This model requires detailed photoionization and magnetohydrodynamic simulation, as the broad line region it too small for direct…

Astrophysics · Physics 2008-09-17 Andrea Ruff

The length-biased Birnbaum-Saunders distribution is both useful and practical for environmental sciences. In this paper, we initially derive some new properties for the length-biased Birnbaum-Saunders distribution, showing that one of its…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-29 Kessys L. P. Oliveira , Bruno S. Castro , Helton Saulo , Roberto Vila

In this work, we deal with a bivariate time series of wind speed and direction. Our observed data have peculiar features, such as informative missing values, non-reliable measures under a specific condition and interval-censored data, that…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-18 Gianluca Mastrantonio , Gianfranco Calise

In engineering systems, it is usually assumed that lifetimes of components are independent and identically distributed (iid). But, the failure of a component results in a higher load on the remaining components and hence causes the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-18 M. Doostparast , M. Hashempour , E. Velayati Moghaddam 1

Deep learning has revolutionized weather forecasting, but many challenges remain, including climate modeling. Moreover, the current landscape remains fragmented: highly specialized models are typically trained individually for distinct…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-20 Michael Aich , Andreas Fürst , Florian Sestak , Carlos Ruiz-Gonzalez , Niklas Boers , Johannes Brandstetter

This study investigates how conditional normalizing flows can be applied to remote sensing data products in climate science for spatio-temporal prediction. The method is chosen due to its desired properties such as exact likelihood…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-03 Christina Winkler , David Rolnick

Accurately estimating latent velocity vector fields of atmospheric winds is crucial for understanding weather phenomena. Direct measurement of atmospheric winds is costly, especially in the upper atmosphere, so researchers attempt to…

Applications · Statistics 2025-06-12 Youssef Fahmy , Maria Laura Battagliola , Joseph Guinness

Wind speed forecasting has received a lot of attention in the recent past from researchers due to its enormous benefits in the generation of wind power and distribution. The biggest challenge still remains to be accurate prediction of wind…

Applications · Statistics 2022-03-29 Dennis Cheruiyot Kiplangat , G. V. Drisya , K. Satheesh Kumar

We study the statistical distribution of the closest encounter between observations computed along different trajectories of a mixing dynamical system. At the limit of large trajectories, the distribution is of Gumbel type and depends on…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-04-29 Théophile Caby

Collaboration among multiple teams has played a major role in probabilistic forecasting events of influenza outbreaks, the COVID-19 pandemic, other disease outbreaks, and in many other fields. When collecting forecasts from individual…

Applications · Statistics 2023-10-19 Spencer Wadsworth , Jarad Niemi , Nick Reich

We describe a generalization of the Coupled Wake Boundary Layer (CWBL) model for wind-farms that can be used to evaluate the performance of wind-farms under arbitrary wind inflow directions whereas the original CWBL model (Stevens et al.,…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2017-07-07 Richard J. A. M. Stevens , Dennice F. Gayme , Charles Meneveau

In this work we investigate the ability of a kinetic approach for traffic dynamics to predict speed distributions obtained through rough data. The present approach adopts the formalism of uncertainty quantification, since reaction strengths…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2021-04-07 M. Herty , A. Tosin , G. Visconti , M. Zanella

Multivariate geostatistics is based on modelling all covariances between all possible combinations of two or more variables at any sets of locations in a continuously indexed domain. Multivariate spatial covariance models need to be built…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-10 Noel Cressie , Andrew Zammit-Mangion

Wind-wave interaction involves wind forcing on wave surface and wave effects on the turbulent wind structures, which essentially influences the wind and wave loading on structures. Existing research on wind-wave interaction modeling ignores…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-06-07 Tianqi Ma , Chao Sun

To quantify the uncertainty in numerical weather prediction (NWP) forecasts, ensemble prediction systems are utilized. Although NWP forecasts continuously improve, they suffer from systematic bias and dispersion errors. To obtain well…

Applications · Statistics 2026-01-30 Ferdinand Buchner , David Jobst , Annette Möller , Claudia Czado

An offshore wind turbine needs to withstand the environmental loads, which can be expected during its life time. Consequently, designers must define loads based on extreme environmental conditions to verify structural integrity. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-20 Andreas F. Haselsteiner , Jan-Hendrik Ohlendorf , Klaus-Dieter Thoben

This study aims to leverage the relationship between fluid dynamic loading and resulting structural deformation to infer the incident flow speed from measurements of time-dependent structure kinematics. Wind tunnel studies are performed on…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-03-19 Jennifer L. Cardona , Katherine L. Bouman , John O. Dabiri

Wind gust prediction plays an important role in warning strategies of national meteorological services due to the high impact of its extreme values. However, forecasting wind gusts is challenging because they are influenced by small-scale…

Applications · Statistics 2024-01-24 Cristina Primo , Benedikt Schulz , Sebastian Lerch , Reinhold Hess

The Monin--Obukhov similarity theory-based wind speed and potential temperature profiles are inherently coupled to each other. We have developed hybrid approaches to disentangle them, and as a direct consequence, the estimation of Obukhov…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2018-09-10 Sukanta Basu

Accurate wind pattern modelling is crucial for various applications, including renewable energy, agriculture, and climate adaptation. In this paper, we introduce the wrapped Gaussian spatial process (WGSP), as well as the projected Gaussian…

Applications · Statistics 2023-11-13 Jacobus S. Blom , Priyanka Nagar , Andriette Bekker
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