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Climate change poses significant challenges for accurate climate modeling due to the complexity and variability of non-Gaussian climate systems. To address the complexities of non-Gaussian systems in climate modeling, this thesis proposes a…

Applications · Statistics 2024-06-28 Yunjin Tong

A nonparametric Bayesian sparse graph linear dynamical system (SGLDS) is proposed to model sequentially observed multivariate data. SGLDS uses the Bernoulli-Poisson link together with a gamma process to generate an infinite dimensional…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-02-22 Rahi Kalantari , Joydeep Ghosh , Mingyuan Zhou

Building surrogate models is one common approach when we attempt to learn unknown black-box functions. Bayesian optimization provides a framework which allows us to build surrogate models based on sequential samples drawn from the function…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-17 Hengrui Luo , James W. Demmel , Younghyun Cho , Xiaoye S. Li , Yang Liu

This work is about a slow-fast data assimilation system under non-Gaussian noisy fluctuations. Firstly, we show the existence of a random invariant manifold for a stochastic dynamical system with non-Gaussian noise and two-time scales.…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-12 Yanjie Zhang , Huijie Qiao , Jinqiao Duan

The real-world applications in signal processing generally involve estimating the system state or parameters in nonlinear, non-Gaussian dynamic systems. The estimation problem may get even more challenging when there are physical…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-03-15 Nesrine Amor , Ghulam Rasool , Nidhal C. Bouaynaya

This paper presents a new iterative state estimation algorithm for advection dominated flows with non-Gaussian uncertainty description of $L^\infty$-type: uncertain initial condition and model error are assumed to be pointvise bounded in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-12-05 Emanuele Ragnoli , Mykhaylo Zayats , Fearghal O'Donncha , Sergiy Zhuk

This paper concerns the identification of continuous-time systems in state-space form that are subject to Lebesgue sampling. Contrary to equidistant (Riemann) sampling, Lebesgue sampling consists of taking measurements of a continuous-time…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-04-10 Rodrigo A. González , Angel L. Cedeño , María Coronel , Juan C. Agüero , Cristian R. Rojas

Data-driven control of nonlinear systems with rigorous guarantees is a challenging problem as it usually calls for nonconvex optimization and requires often knowledge of the true basis functions of the system dynamics. To tackle these…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-27 Tim Martin , Thomas B. Schön , Frank Allgöwer

A series of novel filters for probabilistic inference that propose an alternative way of performing Bayesian updates, called particle flow filters, have been attracting recent interest. These filters provide approximate solutions to…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-24 Flávio Eler De Melo , Simon Maskell , Matteo Fasiolo , Fred Daum

In this paper we introduce a novel particle filter scheme for a class of partially-observed multivariate diffusions. %continuous-time dynamic models where the %signal is given by a multivariate diffusion process. We consider a variety of…

Methodology · Statistics 2007-10-24 Paul Fearnhead , Omiros Papaspiliopoulos , Gareth Roberts

In this paper is proposed a novel incremental iterative Gauss-Newton-Markov-Kalman filter method for state estimation of dynamic models given noisy measurements. The mathematical formulation of the proposed filter is based on the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-09-17 Bojana Rosic

State estimation or filtering serves as a fundamental task to enable intelligent decision-making in applications such as autonomous vehicles, robotics, healthcare monitoring, smart grids, intelligent transportation, and predictive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-16 Aamir Hussain Chughtai

Bayesian optimization is an approach to optimizing objective functions that take a long time (minutes or hours) to evaluate. It is best-suited for optimization over continuous domains of less than 20 dimensions, and tolerates stochastic…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-10 Peter I. Frazier

Marginalization techniques are presented for the Bayesian filtering problem under the assumption of Gaussian priors and posteriors and a set of sequentially more constraining state space model assumptions. The techniques provide the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-07-12 John-Olof Nilsson

Measures of quantum properties are essential to understanding the fundamental differences between quantum and classical systems as well as quantifying resources for quantum technologies. Here two broad classes of bosonic phase-space…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-05-11 Benjamin Kühn , Werner Vogel , Valérian Thiel , Sofiane Merkouche , Brian J. Smith

This paper presents a novel Bayesian strategy for the estimation of smooth signals corrupted by Gaussian noise. The method assumes a smooth evolution of a succession of continuous signals that can have a numerical or an analytical…

Applications · Statistics 2016-02-12 Abderrahim Halimi , Gerald S. Buller , Steve McLaughlin , Paul Honeine

We propose a new framework for imposing monotonicity constraints in a Bayesian nonparametric setting based on numerical solutions of stochastic differential equations. We derive a nonparametric model of monotonic functions that allows for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-26 Ivan Ustyuzhaninov , Ieva Kazlauskaite , Carl Henrik Ek , Neill D. F. Campbell

In this paper, we prove that stochastic porous media equations over $\sigma$-finite measure spaces $(E,\mathcal{B},\mu)$, driven by time-dependent multiplicative noise, with the Laplacian replaced by a self-adjoint transient Dirichlet…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-22 Michael Röckner , Weina Wu , Yingchao Xie

This paper develops a new filtering approach for state estimation in polynomial systems corrupted by arbitrary noise, which commonly arise in robotics. We first consider a batch setup where we perform state estimation using all data…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-03-11 Sangli Teng , Harry Zhang , David Jin , Ashkan Jasour , Maani Ghaffari , Luca Carlone

Moment-based estimation filters have successfully aided spacecraft navigation for decades. However, future missions plan to venture into deep-space regimes with significant round-trip light-time telecommunication delays, operate in…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2025-08-13 Benjamin L. Hanson , Todd A. Ely , Thomas R. Bewley , Aaron J. Rosengren