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Hurricanes and, more generally, tropical cyclones (TCs) are rare, complex natural phenomena of both scientific and public interest. The importance of understanding TCs in a changing climate has increased as recent TCs have had devastating…

Applications · Statistics 2019-06-24 Niccolò Dalmasso , Robin Dunn , Benjamin LeRoy , Chad Schafer

Wildfire forecasting is of paramount importance for disaster risk reduction and environmental sustainability. We approach daily fire danger prediction as a machine learning task, using historical Earth observation data from the last decade…

We propose a novel concept of operations using optimal planning methods and machine learning (ML) to collect spaceborne data that is unprecedented for monitoring wildfires, process it to create new or enhanced products in the context of…

The midlatitude climate and weather are shaped by storms, yet the factors governing their predictability remain insufficiently understood. Here, we use a Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) to predict and quantify uncertainty in the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-10-30 Wuqiushi Yao , Or Hadas , Yohai Kaspi

Wildfires pose a significant natural disaster risk to populations and contribute to accelerated climate change. As wildfires are also affected by climate change, extreme wildfires are becoming increasingly frequent. Although they occur less…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-17 Assaf Shmuel , Teddy Lazebnik , Oren Glickman , Eyal Heifetz , Colin Price

Due to recent climate changes, we have seen more frequent and severe wildfires in the United States. Predicting wildfires is critical for natural disaster prevention and mitigation. Advances in technologies in data processing and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-22 Hyung-Jin Yoon , Petros Voulgaris

We introduce Mesogeos, a large-scale multi-purpose dataset for wildfire modeling in the Mediterranean. Mesogeos integrates variables representing wildfire drivers (meteorology, vegetation, human activity) and historical records of wildfire…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-12-19 Spyros Kondylatos , Ioannis Prapas , Gustau Camps-Valls , Ioannis Papoutsis

Global climate models represent small-scale processes such as clouds and convection using quasi-empirical models known as parameterizations, and these parameterizations are a leading cause of uncertainty in climate projections. A promising…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-08-31 Janni Yuval , Paul A. O'Gorman

Climate change is intensifying wildfire risks globally, making reliable forecasting critical for adaptation strategies. While machine learning shows promise for wildfire prediction from Earth observation data, current approaches lack…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-14 Aditya Chakravarty

Significant uncertainty in climate prediction and cloud physics is tied to observational gaps relating to shallow scattered clouds. Addressing these challenges requires remote sensing of their three-dimensional (3D) heterogeneous volumetric…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-03-12 Roi Ronen , Ilan Koren , Aviad Levis , Eshkol Eytan , Vadim Holodovsky , Yoav Y. Schechner

Extreme weather events are increasing in frequency and intensity due to climate change. This, in turn, is exacting a significant toll in communities worldwide. While prediction skills are increasing with advances in numerical weather…

With climate change expected to exacerbate fire weather conditions, the accurate anticipation of wildfires on a global scale becomes increasingly crucial for disaster mitigation. In this study, we utilize SeasFire, a comprehensive global…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-04-10 Dimitrios Michail , Lefki-Ioanna Panagiotou , Charalampos Davalas , Ioannis Prapas , Spyros Kondylatos , Nikolaos Ioannis Bountos , Ioannis Papoutsis

Wildfires pose significant threats to ecosystems, economies, and communities worldwide, necessitating advanced predictive methods for effective mitigation. This study introduces a novel and comprehensive dataset specifically designed for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-22 Ayoub Jadouli , Chaker El Amrani

As Earth's climate changes, it is impacting disasters and extreme weather events across the planet. Record-breaking heat waves, drenching rainfalls, extreme wildfires, and widespread flooding during hurricanes are all becoming more frequent…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-07 Hao Li , Fabian Deuser , Wenping Yin , Steffen Knoblauch , Wufan Zhao , Filip Biljecki , Yong Xue , Wei Huang

Wildfires pose a significant threat to ecosystems, wildlife, and human communities, leading to habitat destruction, pollutant emissions, and biodiversity loss. Accurate wildfire risk prediction is crucial for mitigating these impacts and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-17 Zhengsen Xu , Jonathan Li , Sibo Cheng , Xue Rui , Yu Zhao , Hongjie He , Haiyan Guan , Aryan Sharma , Matthew Erxleben , Ryan Chang , Linlin Xu

Predictions of thunderstorm-related hazards are needed in several sectors, including first responders, infrastructure management and aviation. To address this need, we present a deep learning model that can be adapted to different hazard…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-03-16 Jussi Leinonen , Ulrich Hamann , Ioannis V. Sideris , Urs Germann

Prescribed burns are currently the most effective method of reducing the risk of widespread wildfires, but a largely missing component in forest management is knowing which fuels one can safely burn to minimize exposure to toxic smoke. Here…

Applications · Statistics 2020-12-09 Lorenzo Tomaselli , Coty Jen , Ann B. Lee

Wildfire is an important system process of the earth that occurs across a wide range of spatial and temporal scales. A variety of methods have been used to predict wildfire phenomena during the past century to better our understanding of…

Applications · Statistics 2013-12-24 S. W. Taylor , Douglas G. Woolford , C. B. Dean , David L. Martell

Decision-makers rely on weather forecasts to plant crops, manage wildfires, allocate water and energy, and prepare for weather extremes. Today, such forecasts enjoy unprecedented accuracy out to two weeks thanks to steady advances in…

Air pollution remains a leading global health risk, exacerbated by rapid industrialization and urbanization, contributing significantly to morbidity and mortality rates. In this paper, we introduce AirCast, a novel multi-variable air…