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Crude oil is a major component in most advanced economies of the world. Accurately predicting and understanding the behavior of crude oil prices is important for economists, analysts, forecasters, and traders, to name a few. The price of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-26 Ganapathy S. Natarajan , Aishwarya Ashok

In recent years, there have been a lot of sharp changes in the oil price. These rapid changes cause the traditional models to fail in predicting the price behavior. The main reason for the failure of the traditional models is that they…

General Economics · Economics 2018-08-14 Sina Aghaei , Amirreza Safari Langroudi , Masoud Fekri

Accurate crude oil price prediction is crucial for financial decision-making. We propose a novel reservoir computing model for forecasting crude oil prices. It outperforms popular deep learning methods in most scenarios, as demonstrated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-06 Kaushal Kumar

The dissertation investigates the application of Probabilistic Graphical Models (PGMs) in forecasting the price of Crude Oil. This research is important because crude oil plays a very pivotal role in the global economy hence is a very…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2018-05-01 Danish A. Alvi

Accurately predicting the prices of financial time series is essential and challenging for the financial sector. Owing to recent advancements in deep learning techniques, deep learning models are gradually replacing traditional statistical…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-29 Cheng Zhang , Nilam Nur Amir Sjarif , Roslina Ibrahim

This paper presents a model based on multilayer feedforward neural network to forecast crude oil spot price direction in the short-term, up to three days ahead. A great deal of attention was paid on finding the optimal ANN model structure.…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2009-06-29 Siddhivinayak Kulkarni , Imad Haidar

In the field of global energy and environment, crude oil is an important strategic resource, and its price fluctuation has a far-reaching impact on the global economy, financial market and the process of low-carbon development. In recent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-20 Yuwen Zhao , Baojun Hu , Sizhe Wang

This study explores the use of Recurrent Neural Networks (RNN) for real-time cryptocurrency price prediction and optimized trading strategies. Given the high volatility of the cryptocurrency market, traditional forecasting models often fall…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-12 Shamima Nasrin Tumpa , Kehelwala Dewage Gayan Maduranga

This paper applies a recurrent neural network (RNN) method to forecast cotton and oil prices. We show how these new tools from machine learning, particularly Long-Short Term Memory (LSTM) models, complement traditional methods. Our results…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-18 Racine Ly , Fousseini Traore , Khadim Dia

Accurate crude oil price forecasting is crucial for various economic activities, including energy trading, risk management, and investment planning. Although deep learning models have emerged as powerful tools for crude oil price…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-17 Mohammed Alruqimi , Luca Di Persio

Low oil prices have motivated energy executives to look into cost reduction in their supply chains more seriously. To this end, a new technology that is experimentally considered in hydrocarbon exploration is data mining. There are two…

Other Computer Science · Computer Science 2017-05-19 Hamed Nikhalat Jahromi , Alpio M. Jorge

Global oil price is an important factor in determining many economic variables in the world's economy. It is generally modeled as a stochastic process and have been studied through different techniques by comparing the historic time series…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-05-31 Sina Aghaei

Accurate forecasting of jet fuel demand is crucial for optimizing supply chain operations in the aviation market. Fuel distributors specifically require precise estimates to avoid inventory shortages or excesses. However, there is a lack of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-11 Alessandro Contini , Davide Cacciarelli , Murat Kulahci

An accurate prediction of crude oil prices over long future horizons is challenging and of great interest to governments, enterprises, and investors. This paper proposes a revised hybrid model built upon empirical mode decomposition (EMD)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-01-10 Tao Xiong , Yukun Bao , Zhongyi Hu

Research on crude oil price forecasting has attracted tremendous attention from scholars and policymakers due to its significant effect on the global economy. Besides supply and demand, crude oil prices are largely influenced by various…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-18 Jiangwei Liu , Xiaohong Huang

Reliable gas price forecasts are an essential information for gas and energy traders, for risk managers and also economists. However, ahead of the war in Ukraine Europe began to suffer from substantially increased and volatile gas prices…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-25 Stephan Schlüter , Sven Pappert , Martin Neumann

Global oil demand is rapidly increasing and is expected to reach 106.3 million barrels per day by 2040. Thus, it is vital for hydrocarbon extraction industries to forecast their production to optimize their operations and avoid losses. Big…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-31 Siavash Hosseini , Thangarajah Akilan

Despite numerous research efforts in applying deep learning to time series forecasting, achieving high accuracy in multi-step predictions for volatile time series like crude oil prices remains a significant challenge. Moreover, most…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-17 Mohammed Alruqimi , Luca Di Persio

Oil production forecasting is an important step in controlling the cost-effect and monitoring the functioning of petroleum reservoirs. As a result, oil production forecasting makes it easier for reservoir engineers to develop feasible…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-15 Akshansh Mishra , Rakesh Morisetty , Rajat Sarawagi

Thanks to the high potential for profit, trading has become increasingly attractive to investors as the cryptocurrency and stock markets rapidly expand. However, because financial markets are intricate and dynamic, accurately predicting…

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