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State estimation is a fundamental problem in control and signal processing, for which the Kalman Filter provides an optimal solution under linear dynamics, Gaussian noise, and known noise covariances. However, these assumptions often fail…
We consider the filtering of continuous-time finite-state hidden Markov models, where the rate and observation matrices depend on unknown time-dependent parameters, for which no prior or stochastic model is available. We quantify and…
The Kalman filter computes the optimal variable-gain using prior knowledge of the initial state and random (process and measurement) noise distributions, which are assumed to be Gaussian with known variance. However, when these…
Kalman filter is a key tool for time-series forecasting and analysis. We show that the dependence of a prediction of Kalman filter on the past is decaying exponentially, whenever the process noise is non-degenerate. Therefore, Kalman filter…
A new application of duality relations of stochastic processes is demonstrated. Although conventional usages of the duality relations need analytical solutions for the dual processes, we here employ numerical solutions of the dual processes…
The use of data assimilation for the merging of observed data with dynamical models is becoming standard in modern physics. If a parametric model is known, methods such as Kalman filtering have been developed for this purpose. If no model…
We consider a binary sequence generated by thresholding a hidden continuous sequence. The hidden variables are assumed to have a compound symmetry covariance structure with a single parameter characterizing the common correlation. We study…
The optimal predictor for a linear dynamical system (with hidden state and Gaussian noise) takes the form of an autoregressive linear filter, namely the Kalman filter. However, a fundamental problem in reinforcement learning and control…
Researchers collecting intensive longitudinal data (ILD) are increasingly looking to model psychological processes, such as emotional dynamics, that organize and adapt across time in complex and meaningful ways. This is also the case for…
The use of state estimation technique offers a means of inferring the rotor-effective wind speed based upon solely standard measurements of the turbine. For the ease of design and computational concerns, such estimators are typically built…
In this paper, we consider the problem of determining the presence of a given signal in a high-dimensional observation with unknown covariance matrix by using an adaptive matched filter. Traditionally such filters are formed from the sample…
This paper addresses the synthesis of an optimal fixed-gain distributed observer for discrete-time linear systems over wireless sensor networks. The proposed approach targets the steady-state estimation regime and computes fixed observer…
In this paper, in order to enhance the numerical stability of the unscented Kalman filter (UKF) used for power system dynamic state estimation, a new UKF with guaranteed positive semidifinite estimation error covariance (UKF-GPS) is…
Dynamic factor models have been developed out of the need of analyzing and forecasting time series in increasingly high dimensions. While mathematical statisticians faced with inference problems in high-dimensional observation spaces were…
Typical iterated filters, such as the iterated extended Kalman filter (IEKF), iterated unscented Kalman filter (IUKF), and iterated posterior linearization filter (IPLF), have been developed to improve the linearization point (or density)…
This paper addresses distributed state estimation for multi-agent systems with local and relative measurements, motivated by cooperative localization problems in which the global state dimension scales with the size of the network. We…
Power system dynamic state estimation is essential to monitoring and controlling power system stability. Kalman filtering approaches are predominant in estimation of synchronous machine dynamic states (i.e. rotor angle and rotor speed).…
The Unscented Kalman Filter (UKF) is a ubiquitous tool for nonlinear state estimation; however, its performance is limited by the static parameterization of the Unscented Transform (UT). Conventional weighting schemes, governed by fixed…
The ensemble Kalman filter is widely used in applications because, for high dimensional filtering problems, it has a robustness that is not shared for example by the particle filter; in particular it does not suffer from weight collapse.…
The reliability and precision of dynamic database are vital for the optimal operating and global control of integrated energy systems. One of the effective ways to obtain the accurate states is state estimations. A novel robust dynamic…