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A set of probabilistic predictions is well calibrated if the events that are predicted to occur with probability p do in fact occur about p fraction of the time. Well calibrated predictions are particularly important when machine learning…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-01-14 Mahdi Pakdaman Naeini , Gregory F. Cooper , Milos Hauskrecht

Identifying the underlying models in a set of data points contaminated by noise and outliers, leads to a highly complex multi-model fitting problem. This problem can be posed as a clustering problem by the projection of higher order…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-08-01 Ruwan Tennakoon , Alireza Sadri , Reza Hoseinnezhad , Alireza Bab-Hadiashar

Many applications of classification methods not only require high accuracy but also reliable estimation of predictive uncertainty. However, while many current classification frameworks, in particular deep neural networks, achieve high…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-28 Jonathan Wenger , Hedvig Kjellström , Rudolph Triebel

The bootstrap is a widely used procedure for statistical inference because of its simplicity and attractive statistical properties. However, the vanilla version of bootstrap is no longer feasible computationally for many modern massive…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-16 Yingying Ma , Chenlei Leng , Hansheng Wang

In the framework of solid mechanics, the task of deriving material parameters from experimental data has recently re-emerged with the progress in full-field measurement capabilities and the renewed advances of machine learning. In this…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-01-27 Ulrich Römer , Stefan Hartmann , Jendrik-Alexander Tröger , David Anton , Henning Wessels , Moritz Flaschel , Laura De Lorenzis

Identifying parameters of computational models from experimental data, or model calibration, is fundamental for assessing and improving the predictability and reliability of computer simulations. In this work, we propose a method for…

Computational Physics · Physics 2023-08-07 Lianghao Cao , Keyi Wu , J. Tinsley Oden , Peng Chen , Omar Ghattas

Calibration of large-scale differential equation models to observational or experimental data is a widespread challenge throughout applied sciences and engineering. A crucial bottleneck in state-of-the art calibration methods is the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-02-23 Jon Cockayne , Andrew B. Duncan

Compute and memory constraints have historically prevented traffic simulation software users from fully utilizing the predictive models underlying them. When calibrating car-following models, particularly, accommodations have included 1)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-08-08 Franklin Abodo , Andrew Berthaume , Stephen Zitzow-Childs , Leonardo Bobadilla

We give a principled method for decomposing the predictive uncertainty of a model into aleatoric and epistemic components with explicit semantics relating them to the real-world data distribution. While many works in the literature have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-30 Gustaf Ahdritz , Aravind Gollakota , Parikshit Gopalan , Charlotte Peale , Udi Wieder

Nearly all 3D displays need calibration for correct rendering. More often than not, the optical elements in a 3D display are misaligned from the designed parameter setting. As a result, 3D magic does not perform well as intended. The…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-04-26 Hyoseok Hwang , Hyun Sung Chang , Dongkyung Nam , In So Kweon

We propose a simple method to estimate the parameters of a continuously measured quantum system, by fitting correlation functions of the measured signal. We demonstrate the approach in simulation, both on toy examples and on a recent…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-10-17 Pierre Guilmin , Pierre Rouchon , Antoine Tilloy

Experimental calibration of dynamic thermal models is required for model predictive control and characterization of building energy performance. In these applications, the uncertainty assessment of the parameter estimates is decisive; this…

Applications · Statistics 2019-04-25 L. Raillon , Christian Ghiaus

Uncertainty estimates must be calibrated (i.e., accurate) and sharp (i.e., informative) in order to be useful. This has motivated a variety of methods for recalibration, which use held-out data to turn an uncalibrated model into a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-06 Charles Marx , Shengjia Zhao , Willie Neiswanger , Stefano Ermon

With the growing availability of large-scale biomedical data, it is often time-consuming or infeasible to directly perform traditional statistical analysis with relatively limited computing resources at hand. We propose a fast subsampling…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-18 Haixiang Zhang , Lulu Zuo , HaiYing Wang , Liuquan Sun

Recently, multi-sensors fusion has achieved significant progress in the field of automobility to improve navigation and position performance. As the prerequisite of the fusion algorithm, the demand for the extrinsic calibration of…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-09-27 Hou lanhua

We consider adapting a canonical computer model calibration apparatus, involving coupled Gaussian process (GP) emulators, to a computer experiment simulating radiative shock hydrodynamics that is orders of magnitude larger than what can…

Camera calibration involves estimating camera parameters to infer geometric features from captured sequences, which is crucial for computer vision and robotics. However, conventional calibration is laborious and requires dedicated…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-02-25 Kang Liao , Lang Nie , Shujuan Huang , Chunyu Lin , Jing Zhang , Yao Zhao , Moncef Gabbouj , Dacheng Tao

Computational models provide crucial insights into complex biological processes such as cancer evolution, but their mechanistic nature often makes them nonlinear and parameter-rich, complicating calibration. We systematically evaluate…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-09-24 Christina Schenk , Jacobo Ayensa Jiménez , Ignacio Romero

Calibration of multi-camera systems is a key task for accurate object tracking. However, it remains a challenging problem in real-world conditions, where traditional methods are not applicable due to the lack of accurate floor plans,…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-08 Aleksandr Abramov

In robotics, simulation has the potential to reduce design time and costs, and lead to a more robust engineered solution and a safer development process. However, the use of simulators is predicated on the availability of good models. This…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-05-12 Huzaifa Mustafa Unjhawala , Ruochun Zhang , Wei Hu , Jinlong Wu , Radu Serban , Dan Negrut