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The inference of evolutionary histories is a central problem in evolutionary biology. The analysis of a sample of phylogenetic trees can be conducted in Billera-Holmes-Vogtmann tree space, which is a CAT(0) metric space of phylogenetic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-22 Yuki Takazawa , Tomonari Sei

We analyse a maximum-likelihood approach for combining phylogenetic trees into a larger `supertree'. This is based on a simple exponential model of phylogenetic error, which ensures that ML supertrees have a simple combinatorial description…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-08-17 Mike Steel , Allen Rodrigo

We study a likelihood ratio test for the location of the mode of a log-concave density. Our test is based on comparison of the log-likelihoods corresponding to the unconstrained maximum likelihood estimator of a log-concave density and the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-05 Charles R. Doss , Jon A. Wellner

Classification of gene trees is an important task both in the analysis of multi-locus phylogenetic data, and assessment of the convergence of Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) analyses used in Bayesian phylogenetic tree reconstruction. The…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2024-06-10 Georgios Aliatimis , Ruriko Yoshida , Burak Boyaci , James A. Grant

Much evidence from biological theory and empirical data indicates that, gene tree, phylogenetic trees reconstructed from different genes (loci), do not have to have exactly the same tree topologies. Such incongruence between gene trees…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-07-13 Ruriko Yoshida , David Barnhill , Keiji Miura , Daniel Howe

Shape constraints yield flexible middle grounds between fully nonparametric and fully parametric approaches to modeling distributions of data. The specific assumption of log-concavity is motivated by applications across economics, survival…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-16 Robin Dunn , Aditya Gangrade , Larry Wasserman , Aaditya Ramdas

The log-concave maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) problem answers: for a set of points $X_1,...X_n \in \mathbb R^d$, which log-concave density maximizes their likelihood? We present a characterization of the log-concave MLE that leads to…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2018-11-09 Brian Axelrod , Gregory Valiant

Shape-constrained density estimation is an important topic in mathematical statistics. We focus on densities on $\mathbb{R}^d$ that are log-concave, and we study geometric properties of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) for weighted…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-25 Elina Robeva , Bernd Sturmfels , Caroline Uhler

In this paper, we study two problems: (1) estimation of a $d$-dimensional log-concave distribution and (2) bounded multivariate convex regression with random design with an underlying log-concave density or a compactly supported…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-21 Gil Kur , Yuval Dagan , Alexander Rakhlin

We propose a method for estimating a log-concave density on $\mathbb R^d$ from samples, under the assumption that there exists an orthogonal transformation that makes the components of the random vector independent. While log-concave…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-12-20 Sharvaj Kubal , Christian Campbell , Elina Robeva

We consider the problem of computing the maximum likelihood multivariate log-concave distribution for a set of points. Specifically, we present an algorithm which, given $n$ points in $\mathbb{R}^d$ and an accuracy parameter $\epsilon>0$,…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2019-07-22 Brian Axelrod , Ilias Diakonikolas , Anastasios Sidiropoulos , Alistair Stewart , Gregory Valiant

Phylogenetics is now fundamental in life sciences, providing insights into the earliest branches of life and the origins and spread of epidemics. However, finding suitable phylogenies from the vast space of possible trees remains…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-01-24 Matthew J Penn , Neil Scheidwasser , Joseph Penn , Christl A Donnelly , David A Duchêne , Samir Bhatt

This paper presents a brand new nonparametric density estimation strategy named the best-scored random forest density estimation whose effectiveness is supported by both solid theoretical analysis and significant experimental performance.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-10 Hanyuan Hang , Hongwei Wen

We study nonparametric maximum likelihood estimation of a log-concave probability density and its distribution and hazard function. Some general properties of these estimators are derived from two characterizations. It is shown that the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-17 Lutz Duembgen , Kaspar Rufibach

The assumption of log-concavity is a flexible and appealing nonparametric shape constraint in distribution modelling. In this work, we study the log-concave maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of a probability mass function (pmf). We show…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-17 Fadoua Balabdaoui , Hanna Jankowski , Kaspar Rufibach , Marios Pavlides

The log-concave maximum likelihood estimator of a density on the real line based on a sample of size $n$ is known to attain the minimax optimal rate of convergence of $O(n^{-4/5})$ with respect to, e.g., squared Hellinger distance. In this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-09-06 Arlene K. H. Kim , Adityanand Guntuboyina , Richard J. Samworth

The marginal likelihood of a model is a key quantity for assessing the evidence provided by the data in support of a model. The marginal likelihood is the normalizing constant for the posterior density, obtained by integrating the product…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-11-30 Mathieu Fourment , Andrew F. Magee , Chris Whidden , Arman Bilge , Frederick A. Matsen , Vladimir N. Minin

Estimating phylogenetic trees is an important problem in evolutionary biology, environmental policy and medicine. Although trees are estimated, their uncertainties are discarded by mathematicians working in tree space. Here we explicitly…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-16 Amy D. Willis , Rayna C. Bell

We tackle the problem of high-dimensional nonparametric density estimation by taking the class of log-concave densities on $\mathbb{R}^p$ and incorporating within it symmetry assumptions, which facilitate scalable estimation algorithms and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-15 Min Xu , Richard J. Samworth

We study the problem of learning multivariate log-concave densities with respect to a global loss function. We obtain the first upper bound on the sample complexity of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) for a log-concave density on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-06 Timothy Carpenter , Ilias Diakonikolas , Anastasios Sidiropoulos , Alistair Stewart