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In this paper, an alternative approximation to the innovation method is introduced for the parameter estimation of diffusion processes from partial and noisy observations. This is based on a convergent approximation to the first two…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-12-19 J. C. Jimenez

In this paper, we develop a mean-field model for simulating the microstructure evolution of crystalline materials during static recrystallization. The model considers a population of individual cells (i.e. grains and subgrains) growing in a…

Materials Science · Physics 2020-05-18 Arthur Després , Michael Greenwood , Chad Sinclair

Inference for mechanistic models is challenging because of nonlinear interactions between model parameters and a lack of identifiability. Here we focus on a specific class of mechanistic models, which we term stable differential equations.…

Computation · Statistics 2017-12-13 Philip Maybank , Ingo Bojak , Richard G. Everitt

In this paper, we focus on model reduction of biomolecular systems with multiple time-scales, modeled using the Linear Noise Approximation. Considering systems where the Linear Noise Approximation can be written in singular perturbation…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-09-27 Narmada Herath , Domitilla Del Vecchio

Stochastic variational inference makes it possible to approximate posterior distributions induced by large datasets quickly using stochastic optimization. The algorithm relies on the use of fully factorized variational distributions.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-11-27 Matthew D. Hoffman , David M. Blei

We introduce a system of self-propelled agents (active Brownian particles) with velocity alignment in two spatial dimensions and derive a mean-field theory from the microscopic dynamics via a nonlinear Fokker-Planck equation and a moment…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-09-26 Pawel Romanczuk , Lutz Schimansky-Geier

Statistical arbitrage strategies, such as pairs trading and its generalizations, rely on the construction of mean-reverting spreads enjoying a certain degree of predictability. Gaussian linear state-space processes have recently been…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-05-19 Kostas Triantafyllopoulos , Giovanni Montana

We present a new class of preconditioned iterative methods for solving linear systems of the form $Ax = b$. Our methods are based on constructing a low-rank Nystr\"om approximation to $A$ using sparse random matrix sketching. This…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2025-04-14 Michał Dereziński , Christopher Musco , Jiaming Yang

Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning involves agents that learn together in a shared environment, leading to emergent dynamics sensitive to initial conditions and parameter variations. A Dynamical Systems approach, which studies the evolution…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2025-01-03 David Goll , Jobst Heitzig , Wolfram Barfuss

This paper provides some extended results on estimating parameter matrix of several regression models when the covariate or response possesses weaker moment condition. We study the $M$-estimator of Fan et al. (Ann Stat 49(3):1239--1266,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-08 Kangqiang Li , Songqiao Tang , Lixin Zhang

We propose a fast and efficient estimation method that is able to accurately recover the parameters of a d-dimensional Hawkes point-process from a set of observations. We exploit a mean-field approximation that is valid when the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-04-20 Emmanuel Bacry , Stéphane Gaïffas , Iacopo Mastromatteo , Jean-François Muzy

Noise induced changes in the critical and oscillatory behavior of a Prey-Predator system are studied using power spectrum density and Spectral Amplification Factor (SAF) analysis. In the absence of external noise, the population densities…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 A. F. Rozenfeld , C. J. Tessone , E. Albano , H. S. Wio

In various statistical settings, the goal is to estimate a function which is restricted by the statistical model only through a conditional moment restriction. Prominent examples include the nonparametric instrumental variable framework for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-28 AmirEmad Ghassami , James M. Robins , Andrea Rotnitzky

Single-parameter summaries of variable effects in regression settings are desirable for ease of interpretation. However (partially) linear models for example, which would deliver these, may fit poorly to the data. On the other hand, an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-28 Harvey Klyne , Rajen D. Shah

We consider an interacting system of one-dimensional structures modelling fibers with fiber-fiber interaction in a fiber lay-down process. The resulting microscopic system is investigated by looking at different asymptotic limits of the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-10-06 Raul Borsche , Axel Klar , Christian Nessler , Andreas Roth , Oliver Tse

Models of complex dynamical systems like the Earth's climate often involve large numbers of uncertain parameters. Comprehensive exploration of the parameter space is typically prohibitive due to excessive computational costs. Systematic…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-27 Daniel Pals , Sebastian Bathiany , Richard Wood , Joel Kuettel , Niklas Boers

We show how the notion of message passing can be used to streamline the algebra and computer coding for fast approximate inference in large Bayesian semiparametric regression models. In particular, this approach is amenable to handling…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-04-07 M. P. Wand

This paper considers an optimization problem for a dynamical system whose evolution depends on a collection of binary decision variables. We develop scalable approximation algorithms with provable suboptimality bounds to provide…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-10-31 Insoon Yang , Samuel A. Burden , Ram Rajagopal , S. Shankar Sastry , Claire J. Tomlin

Stochastic approximation is one of the effective approach to deal with the large-scale machine learning problems and the recent research has focused on reduction of variance, caused by the noisy approximations of the gradients. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-09 Vinod Kumar Chauhan , Anuj Sharma , Kalpana Dahiya

Modification of the renormalization-group approach, invoking Stratonovich transformation at each step, is proposed to describe phase transitions in 3D Ising-class systems. The proposed method is closely related to the mean-field…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 A. N. Rubtsov
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