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Density dependent Markov population processes in large populations of size $N$ were shown by Kurtz (1970, 1971) to be well approximated over finite time intervals by the solution of the differential equations that describe their average…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-15 A. D. Barbour , Kais Hamza , Haya Kaspi , Fima Klebaner

Representations of branching Markov processes and their measure-valued limits in terms of countable systems of particles are constructed for models with spatially varying birth and death rates. Each particle has a location and a "level,"…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-04-11 Thomas G. Kurtz , Eliane R. Rodrigues

We consider a birth and death process in which death is due to both `natural death' and to competition between individuals, modelled as a quadratic function of population size. The resulting `logistic branching process' has been proposed as…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-23 Alison Etheridge , Shidong Wang , Feng Yu

Conditional sampling distributions (CSDs), sometimes referred to as copying models, underlie numerous practical tools in population genomic analyses. Though an important application that has received much attention is the inference of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-03-20 Matthias Steinrücken , Joshua S. Paul , Yun S. Song

In this article, we present a novel inference framework for estimating the parameters of Continuous-State Branching Processes (CSBPs). We do so by leveraging their subordinator representation. Our method reformulates the estimation problem…

For a class of processes modeling the evolution of a spatially structured population with migration and a logistic local regulation of the reproduction dynamics, we show convergence to an upper invariant measure from a suitable class of…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-01-04 M. Hutzenthaler , A. Wakolbinger

We analyse the effect of harvesting in a resource dependent age structured population model, deriving the conditions for the existence of a stable steady state as a function of fertility coefficients, harvesting mortality and carrying…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Rui Dilao , Tiago Domingos , Elman M. Shahverdiev

In this kind of model, the main characteristic that determines population viability in the long term is the stochastic growth rate (SGR) denoted $\lambda_S$. When $\lambda_S$ is larger than one, the population grows exponentially with…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-02-07 Luis Sanz

Spatial metapopulation models are fundamental to theoretical ecology, enabling to study how landscape structure influences global species dynamics. Traditional models, including recent generalizations, often rely on the deterministic limit…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-06-24 Alice Doimo , Giorgio Nicoletti , Davide Bernardi , Prajwal Padmanabha

We prove an invariance principle for a general class of continuous time critical branching processes with finite variance (non-local) branching mechanism. We show that the genealogical trees, viewed as random compact metric measure spaces,…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-12 Emma Horton , Ellen Powell

Temporal environmental variations are ubiquitous in nature, yet most of the theoretical works in population genetics and evolution assume fixed environment. Here we analyze the effect of variations in carrying capacity on the fate of a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-12-16 Immanuel Meyer , Nadav M. Shnerb

We introduce a continuous-time Markov chain framework for estimating population size from multi-list data, which allows directional interactions to be modelled and can accommodate absorbing lists, such as death records, or more general data…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-21 Ophélie Schaller , Andrew Titman , Rachel McCrea

The Hidden Markov Model (HMM) is one of the mainstays of statistical modeling of discrete time series, with applications including speech recognition, computational biology, computer vision and econometrics. Estimating an HMM from its…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-12-29 Fanny Yang , Sivaraman Balakrishnan , Martin J. Wainwright

We introduce a new predator-prey model by replacing the growth and predation constant by a square matrix, and the population density as a population vector. The classical Lotka-Volterra model describes a population that either modulates or…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-12-31 Pico Gilman , Steven J. Miller , Daeyoung Son , Saad Waheed , Janine Wang

We consider the problem of bounding mean first passage times for a class of continuous-time Markov chains that captures stochastic interactions between groups of identical agents. The quantitative analysis of such probabilistic population…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-04-07 Michael Backenköhler , Luca Bortolussi , Verena Wolf

We are interested in the study of models describing the evolution of a polymorphic population with mutation and selection in the specific scales of the biological framework of adaptive dynamics. The population size is assumed to be large…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-12-05 Nicolas Champagnat , Sylvie Méléard

The survival of natural populations may be greatly affected by environmental conditions that vary in space and time. We look at a population residing in two locations (patches) coupled by migration, in which the local conditions fluctuate…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-08-11 Tal Agranov , Guy Bunin

We present large sample results for partitioning-based least squares nonparametric regression, a popular method for approximating conditional expectation functions in statistics, econometrics, and machine learning. First, we obtain a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-20 Matias D. Cattaneo , Max H. Farrell , Yingjie Feng

When modelling metapopulation dynamics, the influence of a single patch on the metapopulation depends on the number of individuals in the patch. Since the population size has no natural upper limit, this leads to systems in which there are…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-04-01 A. D. Barbour , M. J. Luczak

The Latent Block Model (LBM) is a model-based method to cluster simultaneously the $d$ columns and $n$ rows of a data matrix. Parameter estimation in LBM is a difficult and multifaceted problem. Although various estimation strategies have…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-26 Vincent Brault , Christine Keribin , Mahendra Mariadassou