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We consider population-size-dependent branching processes (PSDBPs) which eventually become extinct with probability one. For these processes, we derive maximum likelihood estimators for the mean number of offspring born to individuals when…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-22 Peter Braunsteins , Sophie Hautphenne , Carmen Minuesa

The asymptotic normality of conditional least squares estimators for the offspring variance in critical branching processes with non-homogeneous immigration is established, under moment assumptions on both reproduction and immigration. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-05-07 Ibrahim Rahimov , George P. Yanev

We study stochastic extinction for a class of Markov processes motivated by models in ecology and epidemiology. Extinction is often characterized by a boundedness condition and a condition on boundary Lyapunov exponents (invasion rates).…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-23 Nhu Nguyen , Dang H. Nguyen

Over the past century, nonlinear difference and differential equations have been used to understand conditions for species coexistence. However, these models fail to account for random fluctuations due to demographic and environmental…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-02-12 Sebastian J. Schreiber

We first recall some basic facts from the theory of discrete-time Markov chains arising from two types neutral and non-neutral evolution models of population genetics with constant size. We then define and analyse a version of such models…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-03-09 Nicolas Grosjean , Thierry Huillet

We consider the problem of estimating the parameters of a supercritical controlled branching process consistently from a single observed trajectory of population size counts. Our goal is to establish which parameters can and cannot be…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-19 Peter Braunsteins , Sophie Hautphenne , James Kerlidis

We investigate parameter estimation in subcritical continuous-time birth-and-death processes with multiple births. We show that the classical maximum likelihood estimators for the model parameters, based on the continuous observation of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-04 Sophie Hautphenne , Emma Horton

We study the estimation of a stable Cox-Ingersoll-Ross model, which is a special subcritical continuous-state branching process with immigration. The process is characterized in terms of some stochastic equations. The exponential ergodicity…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-01-16 Zenghu Li , Chunhua Ma

Comprehensive models of stochastic, clonally reproducing populations are defined in terms of general branching processes, allowing birth during maternal life, as for higher organisms, or by splitting, as in cell division. The populations…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-10-14 Kais Hamza , Peter Jagers , Fima C. Klebaner

Consider a population whose size changes stepwise by its members reproducing or dying (disappearing), but is otherwise quite general. Denote the initial (non-random) size by $Z_0$ and the size of the $n$th change by $C_n$, $n= 1, 2,…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-05 Peter Jagers , Sergei Zuyev

We study branching Markov chains on a countable state space (space of types) $\mathscr{X}$, with the focus on the qualitative aspects of the limit behaviour of the evolving empirical population distributions. No conditions are imposed on…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-30 Vadim A. Kaimanovich , Wolfgang Woess

We consider a particle system in continuous time, discrete population, with spatial motion and nonlocal branching. The offspring's weights and their number may depend on the mother's weight. Our setting captures, for instance, the processes…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-10-12 Bertrand Cloez

The first chapter concerns monotype population models. We first study general birth and death processes and we give non-explosion and extinction criteria, moment computations and a pathwise representation. We then show how different scales…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-06 Vincent Bansaye , Sylvie Méléard

We study a parabolic Lotka-Volterra type equation that describes the evolution of a population structured by a phenotypic trait, under the effects of mutations and competition for resources modelled by a nonlocal feedback. The limit of…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2020-03-13 Manon Costa , Christèle Etchegaray , Sepideh Mirrahimi

We study asymptotic behavior of conditional least squares estimators for critical continuous state and continuous time branching processes with immigration based on discrete time (low frequency) observations.

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-19 Matyas Barczy , Kristóf Körmendi , Gyula Pap

In this work we address the analysis of discrete-time models of structured metapopulations subject to environmental stochasticity. Previous works on these models made use of the fact that migrations between the patches can be considered…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-02-07 Luis Sanz , Rafael Bravo de la Parra

We prove stable convergence of conditional least squares estimators of drift parameters for supercritical continuous state and continuous time branching processes with immigration based on discrete time observations.

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-16 Matyas Barczy

We study the stability of non-conservative deterministic cross diffusion models and prove that they are approximated by stochastic population models when the populations become locally large. In this model, the individuals of two species…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-10-09 Vincent Bansaye , Alexandre Bertolino , Ayman Moussa

A simplified model for the growth of a population is studied in which random effects arise because reproducing individuals have a certain probability of surviving until the next breeding season and hence contributing to the next generation.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-04-05 Henry C. Tuckwell

The paper describes a new class of capture-recapture models for closed populations when individual covariates are available. The novelty consists in combining a latent class model for the distribution of the capture history, where the class…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-08 Antonio Forcina , Francesco Bartolucci
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