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We obtain a sharp convergence rate for banded covariance matrix estimates of stationary processes. A precise order of magnitude is derived for spectral radius of sample covariance matrices. We also consider a thresholded covariance matrix…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Han Xiao , Wei Biao Wu

The asymptotic normality for a large family of eigenvalue statistics of a general sample covariance matrix is derived under the ultra-high dimensional setting, that is, when the dimension to sample size ratio $p/n \to \infty$. Based on this…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-15 Jiaxin Qiu , Zeng Li , Jianfeng Yao

In this chapter, we review variance selection for time-varying parameter (TVP) models for univariate and multivariate time series within a Bayesian framework. We show how both continuous as well as discrete spike-and-slab shrinkage priors…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-07-26 Sylvia Frühwirth-Schnatter , Peter Knaus

We propose a data-driven way to reduce the noise of covariance matrices of nonstationary systems. In the case of stationary systems, asymptotic approaches were proved to converge to the optimal solutions. Such methods produce eigenvalues…

Applications · Statistics 2023-03-10 Christian Bongiorno , Damien Challet , Grégoire Loeper

We consider a stochastic process model with time trend and measurement error. We establish consistency and derive the limiting distributions of the maximum likelihood (ML) estimators of the covariance function parameters under a general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-09-29 Chih-Hao Chang , Hsin-Cheng Huang , Ching-Kang Ing

An efficient estimator is constructed for the quadratic covariation or integrated co-volatility matrix of a multivariate continuous martingale based on noisy and nonsynchronous observations under high-frequency asymptotics. Our approach…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-02 Markus Bibinger , Nikolaus Hautsch , Peter Malec , Markus Reiß

We compute the asymptotic empirical eigenvalue distribution of the matrix $M = \bigodot_{i=1}^k \frac{1}{d_i}X^{(i)}{X^{(i)}}^\top$ where $X^{(i)}\in\mathbb{R}^{n\times d_i}$ are independent matrices with independent rows but general…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Lucas Benigni , Ziyad Zaklani

Estimating time-varying correlation matrices is challenging because existing methods may adapt slowly to structural changes, impose insufficient regularization, or produce diffuse posterior uncertainty. In moderate dimensions, an additional…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-11 Daniel Andrew Coulson , David S. Matteson , Martin T. Wells

We propose a modeling framework for time-varying covariance matrices based on the assumption that the logarithm of a realized covariance matrix follows a matrix-variate oNrmal distribution. By operating in the space of symmetric matrices,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-30 Edoardo Otranto

Maximum likelihood estimation of large Markov-switching vector autoregressions (MS-VARs) can be challenging or infeasible due to parameter proliferation. To accommodate situations where dimensionality may be of comparable order to or…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-07-28 Kenwin Maung

Scaling behavior is studied of several dominant eigenvalues of spectra of Markov matrices and the associated correlation times governing critical slowing down in models in the universality class of the two-dimensional Ising model. A scheme…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-30 M. P. Nightingale , H. W. J. Bloete

In this paper, we address the stability of transport systems and wave propagation on networks with time-varying parameters. We do so by reformulating these systems as non-autonomous difference equations and by providing a suitable…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2016-11-07 Yacine Chitour , Guilherme Mazanti , Mario Sigalotti

High-dimensional vector autoregressive (VAR) models are important tools for the analysis of multivariate time series. This paper focuses on high-dimensional time series and on the different regularized estimation procedures proposed for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-11 Jonas Krampe , Efstathios Paparoditis

This paper considers the problem of variable selection allowing for parameter instability. It distinguishes between signal and pseudo-signal variables that are correlated with the target variable, and noise variables that are not, and…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-07-17 Alexander Chudik , M. Hashem Pesaran , Mahrad Sharifvaghefi

We suppose that a L\'evy process is observed at discrete time points. Starting from an asymptotically minimax family of estimators for the continuous part of the L\'evy Khinchine characteristics, i.e., the covariance, we derive a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-01 Katerina Papagiannouli

This article studies two regularized robust estimators of scatter matrices proposed (and proved to be well defined) in parallel in (Chen et al., 2011) and (Pascal et al., 2013), based on Tyler's robust M-estimator (Tyler, 1987) and on…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-20 Romain Couillet , Matthew R. McKay

Kinetic equations are often appropriate to model the energy density of high frequency waves propagating in highly heterogeneous media. The limitations of the kinetic model are quantified by the statistical instability of the wave energy…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2007-11-27 Guillaume Bal , Olivier Pinaud

We introduce a new approach for estimating the number of spikes in a general class of spiked covariance models without directly computing the eigenvalues of the sample covariance matrix. This approach is based on the Lanczos algorithm and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-30 Charbel Abi Younes , Xiucai Ding , Thomas Trogdon

We study the distribution of hard-, soft-, and adaptive soft-thresholding estimators within a linear regression model where the number of parameters k can depend on sample size n and may diverge with n. In addition to the case of known…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-01-04 Benedikt M. Pötscher , Ulrike Schneider

Time-varying parameter (TVP) regression models can involve a huge number of coefficients. Careful prior elicitation is required to yield sensible posterior and predictive inferences. In addition, the computational demands of Markov Chain…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-05-15 Niko Hauzenberger , Florian Huber , Gary Koop
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