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Accurate epidemic forecasting is a critical task in controlling disease transmission. Many deep learning-based models focus only on static or dynamic graphs when constructing spatial information, ignoring their relationship. Additionally,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-04 Junkai Mao , Yuexing Han , Gouhei Tanaka , Bing Wang

A framework based on generalized hierarchical random graphs (GHRGs) for the detection of change points in the structure of temporal networks has recently been developed by Peel and Clauset [1]. We build on this methodology and extend it to…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-11-18 Simon De Ridder , Benjamin Vandermarliere , Jan Ryckebusch

It remains challenging to automatically predict the multi-agent trajectory due to multiple interactions including agent to agent interaction and scene to agent interaction. Although recent methods have achieved promising performance, most…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-10-15 Beihao Xia , Conghao Wang , Qinmu Peng , Xinge You , Dacheng Tao

interpretable, and well understood models that are routinely employed even though, as is revealed through prior and posterior predictive checks, these can poorly characterise the spatial heterogeneity in the underlying process of interest.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-04-08 Andrew Zammit-Mangion , Michael D. Kaminski , Ba-Hien Tran , Maurizio Filippone , Noel Cressie

Continuous time Bayesian networks (CTBNs) describe structured stochastic processes with finitely many states that evolve over continuous time. A CTBN is a directed (possibly cyclic) dependency graph over a set of variables, each of which…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-09 Uri Nodelman , Christian R. Shelton , Daphne Koller

Accurate traffic prediction is a challenging task in intelligent transportation systems because of the complex spatio-temporal dependencies in transportation networks. Many existing works utilize sophisticated temporal modeling approaches…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-25 Guangyin Jin , Fuxian Li , Jinlei Zhang , Mudan Wang , Jincai Huang

Causal discovery is a fundamental problem with applications spanning various areas in science and engineering. It is well understood that solely using observational data, one can only orient the causal graph up to its Markov equivalence…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-29 Zihan Zhou , Muhammad Qasim Elahi , Murat Kocaoglu

Despite the success of deep learning for static image understanding, it remains unclear what are the most effective network architectures for the spatial-temporal modeling in videos. In this paper, in contrast to the existing CNN+RNN or…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-12-12 Dongliang He , Zhichao Zhou , Chuang Gan , Fu Li , Xiao Liu , Yandong Li , Limin Wang , Shilei Wen

Multivariate Time-Series (MTS) data is crucial in various application fields. With its sequential and multi-source (multiple sensors) properties, MTS data inherently exhibits Spatial-Temporal (ST) dependencies, involving temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-11 Yucheng Wang , Yuecong Xu , Jianfei Yang , Min Wu , Xiaoli Li , Lihua Xie , Zhenghua Chen

Temporal Graph Neural Networks (TGNN) have the ability to capture both the graph topology and dynamic dependencies of interactions within a graph over time. There has been a growing need to explain the predictions of TGNN models due to the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-21 Sangwoo Seo , Sungwon Kim , Jihyeong Jung , Yoonho Lee , Chanyoung Park

Many complex real-world systems exhibit inherently intertwined temporal and spatial characteristics. Spatio-temporal knowledge graphs (STKGs) have therefore emerged as a powerful representation paradigm, as they integrate entities,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-12-19 Philipp Plamper , Hanna Köpcke , Anika Groß

As the most representative scenario of spatial-temporal forecasting tasks, the traffic forecasting task attracted numerous attention from machine learning community due to its intricate correlation both in space and time dimension. Existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-16 Xinyu Ning

Spatial-temporal (ST) graph modeling, such as traffic speed forecasting and taxi demand prediction, is an important task in deep learning area. However, for the nodes in graph, their ST patterns can vary greatly in difficulties for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-29 Hongjun Wang , Jiyuan Chen , Tong Pan , Zipei Fan , Boyuan Zhang , Renhe Jiang , Lingyu Zhang , Yi Xie , Zhongyi Wang , Xuan Song

The brain is known to be a highly complex, asynchronous dynamical system that is highly tailored to encode temporal information. However, recent deep learning approaches to not take advantage of this temporal coding. Spiking Neural Networks…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2020-09-02 Matthew Evanusa , Cornelia Fermuller , Yiannis Aloimonos

Spatio-temporal modeling as a canonical task of multivariate time series forecasting has been a significant research topic in AI community. To address the underlying heterogeneity and non-stationarity implied in the graph streams, in this…

Causal discovery in time series is a rapidly evolving field with a wide variety of applications in other areas such as climate science and neuroscience. Traditional approaches assume a stationary causal graph, which can be adapted to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-26 Carles Balsells-Rodas , Yixin Wang , Pedro A. M. Mediano , Yingzhen Li

Maxwell equations generally explain the propagation of light through an arbitrary medium by using wave mechanics. However, scientific evidence since Newton suggest a discrete interpretation of light more generally explains its nature. This…

Optics · Physics 2018-11-20 Travis Hamilton , Hooman Mohseni

Graph-based reasoning over skeleton data has emerged as a promising approach for human action recognition. However, the application of prior graph-based methods, which predominantly employ whole temporal sequences as their input, to the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-03-27 Lukas Hedegaard , Negar Heidari , Alexandros Iosifidis

We introduce a framework for the modeling of sequential data capturing pathways of varying lengths observed in a network. Such data are important, e.g., when studying click streams in information networks, travel patterns in transportation…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-11-20 Ingo Scholtes

Graphical models are widely used to study biological networks. Interventions on network nodes are an important feature of many experimental designs for the study of biological networks. In this paper we put forward a causal variant of…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-17 Simon E. F. Spencer , Steven M. Hill , Sach Mukherjee