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We employ the Bayesian improved cross entropy (BiCE) method for rare event estimation in static networks and choose the categorical mixture as the parametric family to capture the dependence among network components. At each iteration of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-25 Jianpeng Chan , Iason Papaioannou , Daniel Straub

The Improved Cross-Entropy (ICE) method is a powerful tool for estimating failure probabilities in reliability analysis. Its core idea is to approximate the optimal importance-sampling density by minimizing the forward Kullback-Leibler…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-09-10 Zhiwei Gao , George Karniadakis

This paper deals with the estimation of rare event probabilities using importance sampling (IS), where an optimal proposal distribution is computed with the cross-entropy (CE) method. Although, IS optimized with the CE method leads to an…

Computation · Statistics 2020-02-05 Patrick Héas

Loss functions play a crucial role in deep metric learning thus a variety of them have been proposed. Some supervise the learning process by pairwise or tripletwise similarity constraints while others take advantage of structured similarity…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-25 Xinshao Wang , Elyor Kodirov , Yang Hua , Neil Robertson

A popular approach to nonparametric option pricing is the Minimum Cross Entropy (MCE) method based on minimization of the relative Kullback-Leibler entropy of the price density distribution and a given reference density, with observable…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Igor Halperin

The cross entropy (CE) method is a model based search method to solve optimization problems where the objective function has minimal structure. The Monte-Carlo version of the CE method employs the naive sample averaging technique which is…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-02-01 Ajin George Joseph , Shalabh Bhatnagar

Cross entropy (XE) measure is a widely used benchmarking to demonstrate quantum computational advantage from sampling problems, such as random circuit sampling using superconducting qubits and boson sampling (BS). We present a heuristic…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-07-19 Changhun Oh , Liang Jiang , Bill Fefferman

Understanding the structural mechanisms of multi-layer networks is essential for analyzing complex systems characterized by multiple interacting layers. This work studies the problem of estimating connection probabilities in multi-layer…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-26 Dingzi Guo , Diqing Li , Jingyi Wang , Wen-Xin Zhou

The Cross Entropy method is a well-known adaptive importance sampling method for rare-event probability estimation, which requires estimating an optimal importance sampling density within a parametric class. In this article we estimate an…

Computation · Statistics 2013-10-15 Z. I. Botev , A. Ridder , L. Rojas-Nandayapa

Reliability updating refers to a problem that integrates Bayesian updating technique with structural reliability analysis and cannot be directly solved by structural reliability methods (SRMs) when it involves equality information. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-19 Xiong Xiao , Zeyu Wang , Quanwang Li

Estimation of permutation entropy (PE) using Bayesian statistical methods is presented for systems where the ordinal pattern sampling follows an independent, multinomial distribution. It is demonstrated that the PE posterior distribution is…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-02-09 Douglas J. Little , Joshua P. Toomey , Deb M. Kane

Gaussian empirical Bayes methods usually maintain a precision independence assumption: The unknown parameters of interest are independent from the known standard errors of the estimates. This assumption is often theoretically questionable…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-30 Jiafeng Chen

Importance Sampling (IS) is a method for approximating expectations under a target distribution using independent samples from a proposal distribution and the associated importance weights. In many applications, the target distribution is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-14 Gabriel Cardoso , Sergey Samsonov , Achille Thin , Eric Moulines , Jimmy Olsson

This paper considers the problem of approximating a density when it can be evaluated up to a normalizing constant at a limited number of points. We call this problem the Boltzmann approximation (BA) problem. The BA problem is ubiquitous in…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-08 Youngjun Choe , Yen-Chi Chen , Nick Terry

We present Causal Posterior Estimation (CPE), a novel method for Bayesian inference in simulator models, i.e., models where the evaluation of the likelihood function is intractable or too computationally expensive, but where one can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-28 Simon Dirmeier , Antonietta Mira

Using the maximum entropy method, we derive the "adaptive cluster expansion" (ACE), which can be trained to estimate probability density functions in high dimensional spaces. The main advantage of ACE over other Bayesian networks is its…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Stephen Luttrell

Cross-entropy (CE) is the default training loss for supervised classification, but its sample efficiency is limited when labels are scarce. Existing remedies primarily act on the data side, via augmentation, synthesis, or transfer from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Qipeng Zhan , Zhuoping Zhou , Li Shen

Sparse Inverse Covariance Estimation (SICE) is useful in many practical data analyses. Recovering the connectivity, non-connectivity graph of covariates is classified amongst the most important data mining and learning problems. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-05 Ashkan Esmaeili , Farokh Marvasti

This letter considers optimizing user association in a heterogeneous network via utility maximization, which is a combinatorial optimization problem due to integer constraints. Different from existing solutions based on convex optimization,…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-06-12 Xietian Huang , Wei Xu , Guo Xie , Shi Jin , Xiaohu You

The cross-entropy (CE) method is a popular stochastic method for optimization due to its simplicity and effectiveness. Designed for rare-event simulations where the probability of a target event occurring is relatively small, the CE-method…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-22 Robert J. Moss
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