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In the gravitational-wave analysis of pulsar-timing-array datasets, parameter estimation is usually performed using Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods to explore posterior probability densities. We introduce an alternative procedure that…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2024-05-16 Michele Vallisneri , Marco Crisostomi , Aaron D. Johnson , Patrick M. Meyers

We propose a monitoring indicator of the normality of the output of a gravitational wave detector. This indicator is based on the estimation of the kurtosis (i.e., the 4th order statistical moment normalized by the variance squared) of the…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2007-05-23 E. Chassande-Mottin

Advanced LIGO and Advanced Virgo ground-based interferometers are instruments capable to detect gravitational wave signals exploiting advanced laser interferometry techniques. The underlying data analysis task consists in identifying…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2023-12-19 Francesco Pio Barone , Daniele Dell'Aquila , Marco Russo

Gravitational-wave parameter estimation for compact binary signals typically relies on sequential estimation of the properties of the detector Gaussian noise and of the binary parameters. This procedure assumes that the noise variance,…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2022-11-14 Cailin Plunkett , Sophie Hourihane , Katerina Chatziioannou

We propose a novel method ($floZ$), based on normalizing flows, to estimate the Bayesian evidence (and its numerical uncertainty) from a pre-existing set of samples drawn from the unnormalized posterior distribution. We validate it on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-06 Rahul Srinivasan , Marco Crisostomi , Roberto Trotta , Enrico Barausse , Matteo Breschi

The mass and spin distributions of compact binary gravitational-wave sources are currently uncertain due to complicated astrophysics involved in their formation. Multiple sub-populations of compact binaries representing different…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2019-07-24 Jade Powell , Simon Stevenson , Ilya Mandel , Peter Tino

The speed-up of parameter estimation is an active field of research in gravitational-wave data analysis. In this paper we present GP15, a deep-learning method that merges residual networks and normalizing flows into a general-purpose,…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2026-04-10 Daniel Lanchares , Osvaldo G. Freitas , Lysiane Mornas , José A. Font , Joaquín González-Nuevo , Luigi Toffolatti , Pietro Vischia

Shortly after a new class of objects is discovered, the attention shifts from the properties of the individual sources to the question of their origin: do all sources come from the same underlying population, or several populations are…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2026-04-07 Salvatore Vitale , Davide Gerosa , Will M. Farr , Stephen R. Taylor

Solving inverse problems involving measurement noise and modeling errors requires regularization in order to avoid data overfit. Geophysical inverse problems, in which the Earth's highly heterogeneous structure is unknown, present a…

Geophysics · Physics 2022-03-31 Ali Siahkoohi , Rafael Orozco , Gabrio Rizzuti , Felix J. Herrmann

It is expected that gravitational waves, similar to electromagnetic waves, can be gravitationally lensed by intervening matters, producing multiple instances of the same signal arriving at different times from different apparent luminosity…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2023-06-14 Rico K. L. Lo , Ignacio Magana Hernandez

Gravitational-wave analyses depend heavily on waveforms that model the evolution of compact binary coalescences as seen by observing detectors. In many cases these waveforms are given by waveform approximants, models that approximate the…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2024-10-11 Quirijn Meijer , Sarah Caudill

When a gravitational wave encounters a massive object along the line of sight, repeated copies of the original signal may be produced due to gravitational lensing. In this paper, we develop a series of new machine-learning based statistical…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2025-09-09 Giulia Campailla , Marco Raveri , Wayne Hu , Jose María Ezquiaga

Many modern data analysis problems involve inferences from streaming data. However, streaming data is not easily amenable to the standard probabilistic modeling approaches, which assume that we condition on finite data. We develop…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-07-23 James McInerney , Rajesh Ranganath , David M. Blei

Bayesian predictive inference analyzes a dataset to make predictions about new observations. When a model does not match the data, predictive accuracy suffers. We develop population empirical Bayes (POP-EB), a hierarchical framework that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-06-10 Alp Kucukelbir , David M. Blei

A common problem in Machine Learning and statistics consists in detecting whether the current sample in a stream of data belongs to the same distribution as previous ones, is an isolated outlier or inaugurates a new distribution of data. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-16 Vincent Moens

Gravitational wave astronomy typically relies on rigorous, computationally expensive Bayesian analyses. Several methods have been developed to perform rapid Bayesian inference, but they are not yet used to inform our full analyses. We…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2026-01-30 Metha Prathaban , Charlie Hoy , Michael J. Williams

I explore the possibility of resurrecting an old, non-Bayesian computational approach for inferring the source direction of a gravitational wave from the output of a two-detector network. The method gives the beam pattern response functions…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2018-05-04 Tom McClain

Significant human and observational resources have been dedicated to electromagnetic followup of gravitational-wave events detected by Advanced LIGO and Virgo. As the sensitivity of LIGO and Virgo improves, the rate of sources detected will…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2020-12-16 Daniel Finstad , Duncan A. Brown

We present a parameter estimation framework for gravitational wave (GW) signals that brings together several ideas to accelerate the inference process. First, we use the relative binning algorithm to evaluate the signal-to-noise-ratio…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2022-10-31 Tousif Islam , Javier Roulet , Tejaswi Venumadhav

The population of the observed gravitational wave events encodes unique information on the formation and evolution of stellar-mass black holes, from the underlying astrophysical processes to the large-scale dynamics of the Universe. We use…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2025-03-03 Vasco Gennari , Simone Mastrogiovanni , Nicola Tamanini , Sylvain Marsat , Grégoire Pierra
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