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Reliable uncertainty estimation has become a crucial requirement for the industrial deployment of deep learning algorithms, particularly in high-risk applications such as autonomous driving and medical diagnosis. However, mainstream…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-10 Junyu Gao , Mengyuan Chen , Liangyu Xiang , Changsheng Xu

Human trajectory forecasting in crowds, at its core, is a sequence prediction problem with specific challenges of capturing inter-sequence dependencies (social interactions) and consequently predicting socially-compliant multimodal…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-05-10 Parth Kothari , Brian Sifringer , Alexandre Alahi

Artificial intelligence (AI) is revolutionizing many areas of our lives, leading a new era of technological advancement. Particularly, the transportation sector would benefit from the progress in AI and advance the development of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-19 Yanan Xin , Natasa Tagasovska , Fernando Perez-Cruz , Martin Raubal

The forecasting of the credit default risk has been an important research field for several decades. Traditionally, logistic regression has been widely recognized as a solution due to its accuracy and interpretability. As a recent trend,…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-09-22 Dangxing Chen , Weicheng Ye , Jiahui Ye

There is a growing concern about typically opaque decision-making with high-performance machine learning algorithms. Providing an explanation of the reasoning process in domain-specific terms can be crucial for adoption in risk-sensitive…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-11-28 Aditya Chattopadhyay , Stewart Slocum , Benjamin D. Haeffele , Rene Vidal , Donald Geman

In the context of autonomous driving, pedestrian crossing prediction is a key component for improving road safety. Presently, the focus of these predictions extends beyond achieving trustworthy results; it is shifting towards the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-06 Angie Nataly Melo , Carlota Salinas , Miguel Angel Sotelo

In this paper we propose a novel end-to-end learnable network that performs joint perception, prediction and motion planning for self-driving vehicles and produces interpretable intermediate representations. Unlike existing neural motion…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-08-14 Abbas Sadat , Sergio Casas , Mengye Ren , Xinyu Wu , Pranaab Dhawan , Raquel Urtasun

With the rapid development of machine learning, autonomous driving has become a hot issue, making urgent demands for more intelligent perception and planning systems. Self-driving cars can avoid traffic crashes with precisely predicted…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-11-01 Jianbang Liu , Xinyu Mao , Yuqi Fang , Delong Zhu , Max Q. -H. Meng

In this paper, we address the critical need for interpretable and uncertainty-aware machine learning models in the context of online learning for high-risk industries, particularly cyber-security. While deep learning and other complex…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-15 Benjamin Kolicic , Alberto Caron , Chris Hicks , Vasilios Mavroudis

A self-driving vehicle must understand its environment to determine the appropriate action. Traditional autonomy systems rely on object detection to find the agents in the scene. However, object detection assumes a discrete set of objects…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-04-03 Sourav Biswas , Sergio Casas , Quinlan Sykora , Ben Agro , Abbas Sadat , Raquel Urtasun

Epistemic uncertainty in neural networks is commonly modeled using two second-order paradigms: distribution-based representations, which rely on posterior parameter distributions, and set-based representations based on credal sets (convex…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-27 Kaizheng Wang , Yunjia Wang , Fabio Cuzzolin , David Moens , Hans Hallez , Siu Lun Chau

Autonomous driving (AD) systems are becoming increasingly capable of handling complex tasks, mainly due to recent advances in deep learning and AI. As interactions between autonomous systems and humans increase, the interpretability of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-10-13 Mukilan Karuppasamy , Shankar Gangisetty , Shyam Nandan Rai , Carlo Masone , C V Jawahar

Predicting vehicle trajectories, angle and speed is important for safe and comfortable driving. We demonstrate the best predicted angle, speed, and best performance overall winning the top three places of the ICCV 2019 Learning to Drive…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-11-21 Michael Diodato , Yu Li , Antonia Lovjer , Minsu Yeom , Albert Song , Yiyang Zeng , Abhay Khosla , Benedikt Schifferer , Manik Goyal , Iddo Drori

Autonomous Vehicle (AV) perception systems have advanced rapidly in recent years, providing vehicles with the ability to accurately interpret their environment. Perception systems remain susceptible to errors caused by overly-confident…

Predicting the motion of a driver's vehicle is crucial for advanced driving systems, enabling detection of potential risks towards shared control between the driver and automation systems. In this paper, we propose a variational neural…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-03-07 Xin Huang , Stephen McGill , Brian C. Williams , Luke Fletcher , Guy Rosman

Interpretability research often aims to predict how a model will respond to targeted interventions on specific mechanisms. However, it rarely predicts how a model will respond to unseen input data. This paper explores the promises and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-10 Victoria R. Li , Jenny Kaufmann , Martin Wattenberg , David Alvarez-Melis , Naomi Saphra

Deep learning provides a powerful tool for machine perception when the observations resemble the training data. However, real-world robotic systems must react intelligently to their observations even in unexpected circumstances. This…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-12-31 Rowan McAllister , Gregory Kahn , Jeff Clune , Sergey Levine

The ability to interpret machine learning model decisions is critical in such domains as healthcare, where trust in model predictions is as important as their accuracy. Inspired by the development of prototype parts-based deep neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-06 Jacek Karolczak , Jerzy Stefanowski

There is a need of ensuring machine learning models that are interpretable. Higher interpretability of the model means easier comprehension and explanation of future predictions for end-users. Further, interpretable machine learning models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-17 Gregor Stiglic , Primoz Kocbek , Nino Fijacko , Marinka Zitnik , Katrien Verbert , Leona Cilar

This paper introduces the Descriptive Variational Autoencoder (DVAE), an unsupervised and end-to-end trainable neural network for predicting vehicle trajectories that provides partial interpretability. The novel approach is based on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-25 Marion Neumeier , Andreas Tollkühn , Thomas Berberich , Michael Botsch