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Bifurcating Markov chains (BMC) are Markov chains indexed by a full binary tree representing the evolution of a trait along a population where each individual has two children. We provide a central limit theorem for general additive…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-02 S. Valère Bitseki Penda , Jean-François Delmas

We consider a class of Crump-Mode-Jagers processes with interaction, constructed by removing a newly born offspring with a probability that depends on the age structure of the population at its birth time. We prove a law of large numbers…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-14 Félix Foutel-Rodier , Emmanuel Schertzer

Consider a branching process $\{Z_n\}_{n\ge 0}$ with immigration in varying environment. For $a\in\{0,1,2,...\},$ let $C=\{n\ge0:Z_n=a\}$ be the collection of times at which the population size of the process attains level $a.$ We give a…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-08 Hua-Ming Wang

The paper is concerned with the equilibrium distribution $\Pi_n$ of the $n$-th element in a sequence of continuous-time density dependent Markov processes on the integers. Under a $(2+\a)$-th moment condition on the jump distributions, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-02-06 Sanda N. Socoll , A. D. Barbour

We establish sufficient conditions for exponential convergence to a unique quasi-stationary distribution in the total variation norm. These conditions also ensure the existence and exponential ergodicity of the Q-process, the process…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-01 Aurélien Velleret

Understanding the space-time features of how a L\'evy process crosses a constant barrier for the first time, and indeed the last time, is a problem which is central to many models in applied probability such as queueing theory, financial…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-07-02 A. Kyprianou , J. C. Pardo , V. Rivero

We establish general sufficient conditions for a sequence of controlled branching processes to converge weakly on the Skorokhod space. We focus on a class of controlled random variables that extends previous results by considering them as a…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-26 Miguel González , Pedro Martín-Chávez , Inés del Puerto

The evolution of aligned DNA sequence sites is generally modeled by a Markov process operating along the edges of a phylogenetic tree. It is well known that the probability distribution on the site patterns at the tips of the tree…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-10-15 Benny Chor , Mike Steel

Let $L_n(k)$ denote the least common multiple of $k$ independent random integers uniformly chosen in $\{1,2,\ldots ,n\}$. In this note, using a purely probabilistic approach, we derive a criterion for the convergence in distribution as…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-11 Alin Bostan , Alexander Marynych , Kilian Raschel

We define a Markov process in a forward population model with backward genealogy given by the $\Lambda$-coalescent. This Markov process, called the fixation line, is related to the block counting process through its hitting times. Two…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-10 Olivier Hénard

We study a nonlinear branching diffusion process in the sense of McKean, i.e., where particles are subjected to a mean-field interaction. We consider first a strong formulation of the problem and we provide an existence and uniqueness…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-12 Julien Claisse , Jiazhi Kang , Xiaolu Tan

We consider a general class of birth-and-death processes with state space $\{0,1,2,3,\ldots\}$ which describes the size of a population going eventually to extinction with probability one. We obtain the complete spectrum of the generator of…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-25 J. -R. Chazottes , P. Collet , S. Méléard

In this paper, we develop necessary and sufficient conditions for the validity of a martingale approximation for the partial sums of a stationary process in terms of the maximum of consecutive errors. Such an approximation is useful for…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-02-11 Mikhail Gordin , Magda Peligrad

We consider a birth and death process in which death is due to both `natural death' and to competition between individuals, modelled as a quadratic function of population size. The resulting `logistic branching process' has been proposed as…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-23 Alison Etheridge , Shidong Wang , Feng Yu

This paper studies: (i) the long time behaviour of the empirical distribution of age and normalised position of an age dependent critical branching Markov process conditioned on non-extinction; and (ii) the super-process limit of a sequence…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Krishna Athreya , Siva Athreya , Srikanth Iyer

The work concerns about multiscale McKean-Vlasov stochastic systems. First of all, we prove an average principle for these systems in the $L^2$ sense. Moreover, a convergence rate is presented. Then we define the nonlinear filtering of…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-28 Huijie Qiao , Shengqing Zhu

In the continuity of a recent paper ([6]), dealing with finite Markov chains, this paper proposes and analyzes a recursive algorithm for the approximation of the quasi-stationary distribution of a general Markov chain living on a compact…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-15 Michel Benaim , Bertrand Cloez , Fabien Panloup

Multitype branching processes (MTBP) model branching structures, where the nodes of the resulting tree are objects of different types. One field of application of such models in biology is in studies of cell proliferation. A sampling scheme…

Computation · Statistics 2012-06-19 Nina Daskalova

We study the asymptotics of the $k$-regular self-similar fragmentation process. For $\alpha > 0$ and an integer $k \geq 2$, this is the Markov process $(I_t)_{t \geq 0}$ in which each $I_t$ is a union of open subsets of $[0,1)$, and…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-18 Piotr Dyszewski , Nina Gantert , Samuel G. G. Johnston , Joscha Prochno , Dominik Schmid

Branching processes pervade many models in statistical physics. We investigate the survival probability of a Galton-Watson branching process after a finite number of generations. We reveal the finite-size scaling law of the survival…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-11-26 Rosalba Garcia-Millan , Francesc Font-Clos , Alvaro Corral