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We use a stochastic metapopulation model to study the combined effects of seasonality and spatial heterogeneity on disease persistence. We find a pronounced effect of enhanced persistence associated with strong heterogeneity, intermediate…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-02-23 Ganna Rozhnova , Ana Nunes , Alan J. McKane

Environmental variability greatly influences the eco-evolutionary dynamics of a population, i.e. it affects how its size and composition evolve. Here, we study a well-mixed population of finite and fluctuating size whose growth is limited…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-10-14 Karl Wienand , Erwin Frey , Mauro Mobilia

Due to the conventional distinction between ecological (rapid) and evolutionary (slow)timescales, ecological and population models to date have typically ignored the effects of evolution. Yet the potential for rapid evolutionary change has…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-11-20 Laura E. Jones , Stephen P. Ellner

Models are often employed to integrate knowledge about epidemics across scales and simulate disease dynamics. While these approaches have played a central role in studying the mechanics underlying epidemics, we lack ways to reliably predict…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-11-09 Sudam Surasinghe , Ketty Kabengele , Paul E. Turner , C. Brandon Ogbunugafor

Personality traits, such as boldness and shyness, play a significant role in shaping the survival strategies of animals. Industrial pollution has long posed serious threats to ecosystems and is typically distributed heterogeneously.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-01-23 Tianxu Wang , Jiwoon Sim , Hao Wang

Multi-strain pathogens such as Group A Streptococcus, Streptococcus pneumoniae, and Staphylococcus aureus cause millions of infections each year with a substantial health burden. Control of multi-strain pathogens can be complicated by the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-02-03 Nefel Tellioglu , Nicholas Geard , Rebecca H. Chisholm

Most previous studies of epidemic dynamics on complex networks suppose that the disease will eventually stabilize at either a disease-free state or an endemic one. In reality, however, some epidemics always exhibit sporadic and recurrent…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-11-19 Xiao-Long Peng , Michael Small , Xin-Jian Xu , Xinchu Fu

We investigate a model for a mosquito-borne epidemic in which human hosts may adopt protective behaviour against vector bites in response to information on both past and current disease prevalence. Assuming that mosquitoes can also feed on…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-08 Simone De Reggi , Andrea Pugliese , Mattia Sensi , Cinzia Soresina

The shape of an epidemic wave in simple epidemic models applies to a homogeneous distribution of infected people in the population. In large inhomogeneous systems, at country-scale for instance, the wave shape is similar except for the…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2022-11-21 L. Vanel

Reputation plays a crucial role in social interactions by affecting the fitness of individuals during an evolutionary process. Previous works have extensively studied the result of imitation dynamics without focusing on potential irrational…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-04-24 Kehuan Feng , Songlin Han , Minyu Feng , Attila Szolnoki

Ecology and evolution under changing environments are important in many subfields of biology with implications for medicine. Here, we explore an example: the consequences of fluctuating environments on the emergence of antibiotic…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-04-13 Bryce Morsky , Dervis Can Vural

Bacterial populations in natural conditions are expected to experience stochastic environmental fluctuations, and in addition, environments are affected by bacterial activities since they consume substrates and excrete various chemicals. We…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-01 Yusuke Himeoka , Namiko Mitarai

Understanding the dynamics of passenger interactions and their epidemiological impact throughout public transportation systems is crucial for both service efficiency and public health. High passenger density and close physical proximity has…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-01-28 László Hajdu , Jovan Pavlović , Miklós Krész , András Bóta

Our work stems from the consideration that the spreading of a disease is modulated by the individual's perception of the infected neighborhood and his/her strategy to avoid being infected as well. We introduced a general ``cellular agent''…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2008-01-20 Luca Sguanci , Pietro Lio' , Franco Bagnoli

Predators often consume multiple prey and by mutually subsidizing a shared predator, the prey may reciprocally harm each other. When predation levels are high, this apparent competition can culminate in a prey species being displaced.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-02-12 Sebastian J. Schreiber , Swati Patel

We propose a mathematical model to analyze the effects of anti-infection behavior on the equilibrium states of an infectious disease. The anti-infection behavior is incorporated into a classical epidemiological SIR model, by considering the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-09-11 Andrés David Báez-Sánchez , Nara Bobko

The spreading dynamics of an epidemic and the collective behavioral pattern of the population over which it spreads are deeply intertwined and the latter can critically shape the outcome of the former. Motivated by this, we design a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-08-25 Mengbin Ye , Lorenzo Zino , Alessandro Rizzo , Ming Cao

The health effects of environmental exposures have been studied for decades, typically using standard regression models to assess exposure-outcome associations found in observational non-experimental data. We propose and illustrate a…

Applications · Statistics 2017-09-20 Marie-Abele C. Bind , Donald B. Rubin

We formulate a compartmental model for the propagation of a respiratory disease in a patchy environment. The patches are connected through the mobility of individuals, and we assume that disease transmission and recovery are possible during…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-10-11 Indrajit Ghosh , Sk Shahid Nadim , Soumyendu Raha , Debnath Pal

The success of an infectious disease to invade a population is strongly controlled by the population's specific connectivity structure. Here a network model is presented as an aid in understanding the role of social behavior and…

Cellular Automata and Lattice Gases · Physics 2007-07-10 Anna Litvak-Hinenzon , Lewi Stone