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Critically ill patients in regular wards are vulnerable to unanticipated adverse events which require prompt transfer to the intensive care unit (ICU). To allow for accurate prognosis of deteriorating patients, we develop a novel…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-05-16 Ahmed M. Alaa , Scott Hu , Mihaela van der Schaar

Forecasting costs is now a front burner in empirical economics. We propose an unconventional tool for stochastic prediction of future expenses based on the individual (micro) developments of recorded events. Consider a firm, enterprise,…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-09-20 Matúš Maciak , Ostap Okhrin , Michal Pešta

Temporal Point Processes (TPPs) are often used to represent the sequence of events ordered as per the time of occurrence. Owing to their flexible nature, TPPs have been used to model different scenarios and have shown applicability in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-19 Shivshankar Reddy , Anand Vir Singh Chauhan , Maneet Singh , Karamjit Singh

Intercurrent (post-treatment) events occur frequently in randomized trials, and investigators often express interest in treatment effects that suitably take account of these events. A naive conditioning on intercurrent events does not have…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-17 Mats J. Stensrud , Oliver Dukes

We study continual event extraction, which aims to extract incessantly emerging event information while avoiding forgetting. We observe that the semantic confusion on event types stems from the annotations of the same text being updated…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-10-25 Zitao Wang , Xinyi Wang , Wei Hu

Sequential pattern mining is an interesting research area with broad range of applications. Most prior research on sequential pattern mining has considered point-based data where events occur instantaneously. However, in many application…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-16 S. Mohammad Mirbagheri , Howard J. Hamilton

Learning causal structure among event types from discrete-time event sequences is a particularly important but challenging task. Existing methods, such as the multivariate Hawkes processes based methods, mostly boil down to learning the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-11 Jie Qiao , Ruichu Cai , Siyu Wu , Yu Xiang , Keli Zhang , Zhifeng Hao

Event forecasting is a challenging, yet important task, as humans seek to constantly plan for the future. Existing automated forecasting studies rely mostly on structured data, such as time-series or event-based knowledge graphs, to help…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-09 Woojeong Jin , Rahul Khanna , Suji Kim , Dong-Ho Lee , Fred Morstatter , Aram Galstyan , Xiang Ren

Hawkes processes are a popular framework to model the occurrence of sequential events, i.e., occurrence dynamics, in several fields such as social diffusion. In real-world scenarios, the inter-arrival time among events is irregular.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-19 Minju Jo , Seungji Kook , Noseong Park

Task abstractions and taxonomic structures for tasks are useful for designers of interactive data analysis approaches, serving as design targets and evaluation criteria alike. For individual data types, dataset-specific taxonomic structures…

Graphics · Computer Science 2022-09-22 Yasara Peiris , Clara-Maria Barth , Elaine M. Huang , Jürgen Bernard

Objective: Finding events of interest is a common task in biomedical signal processing. The detection of epileptic seizures and signal artefacts are two key examples. Epoch-based classification is the typical machine learning framework to…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-07-10 Nick Seeuws , Maarten De Vos , Alexander Bertrand

The execution time of programs is a key element in many areas of computer science, mainly those where achieving good performance (e.g., scheduling in cloud computing) or a predictable one (e.g., meeting deadlines in embedded systems) is the…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2020-07-13 Matheus Henrique Junqueira Saldanha

Identifying a temporal pattern of events is a fundamental task of on-line (real-time) verification. We present efficient schemes for on-line monitoring of events for identifying desired/undesired patterns of events. The schemes use…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2015-05-28 Shlomi Dolev , Jonathan Goldfeld , Rami Puzis

We study a probabilistic variant of binary session types that relate to a class of Finite-State Markov Chains. The probability annotations in session types enable the reasoning on the probability that a session terminates successfully, for…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2020-07-24 Omar Inverso , Hernán Melgratti , Luca Padovani , Catia Trubiani , Emilio Tuosto

We explored the challenge of predicting and explaining the occurrence of events within sequences of data points. Our focus was particularly on scenarios in which unknown triggers causing the occurrence of events may consist of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-11 Harrison Lam , Yuanjie Chen , Noboru Kanazawa , Mohammad Chowdhury , Anna Battista , Stephan Waldert

Representations of sequential data are commonly based on the assumption that observed sequences are realizations of an unknown underlying stochastic process, where the learning problem includes determination of the model parameters. In this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-09-17 Ronny Hug , Wolfgang Hübner , Michael Arens

Queuing models provide insight into the temporal inhomogeneity of human dynamics, characterized by the broad distribution of waiting times of individuals performing tasks. We study the queuing model of an agent trying to execute a task of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-06-05 Hang-Hyun Jo , Raj Kumar Pan , Kimmo Kaski

Hawkes processes are a class of self-exciting point processes that are used to model complex phenomena. While most applications of Hawkes processes assume that event data occurs in continuous-time, the less-studied discrete-time version of…

Applications · Statistics 2023-06-01 Trinnhallen Brisley , Gordon Ross , Daniel Paulin , Jake Easto

Causal inference is a critical research topic across many domains, such as statistics, computer science, education, public policy and economics, for decades. Nowadays, estimating causal effect from observational data has become an appealing…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-10 Liuyi Yao , Zhixuan Chu , Sheng Li , Yaliang Li , Jing Gao , Aidong Zhang

Sepsis is a life-threatening condition that seriously endangers millions of people over the world. Hopefully, with the widespread availability of electronic health records (EHR), predictive models that can effectively deal with clinical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-16 Luchen Liu , Haoxian Wu , Zichang Wang , Zequn Liu , Ming Zhang
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