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Time series forecasting is an important problem, with many real world applications. Ensembles of deep neural networks have recently achieved impressive forecasting accuracy, but such large ensembles are impractical in many real world…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-31 Espen Haugsdal , Erlend Aune , Massimiliano Ruocco

In nonlinear dynamical systems, tipping refers to a critical transition from one steady state to another, typically catastrophic, steady state, often resulting from a saddle-node bifurcation. Recently, the machine-learning framework of…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2026-04-09 Smita Deb , Zheng-Meng Zhai , Mulugeta Haile , Ying-Cheng Lai

Production forecasting is a key step to design the future development of a reservoir. A classical way to generate such forecasts consists in simulating future production for numerical models representative of the reservoir. However,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-08-28 Raphaël Deswarte , Véronique Gervais , Gilles Stoltz , Sébastien da Veiga

It is a challenge to predict the response of a large, complex system to a perturbation. Recent attempts to predict the behaviour of food webs have revealed that the effort needed to understand a system grows quickly with its complexity,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-11-07 Helge Aufderheide , Lars Rudolf , Thilo Gross , Kevin D. Lafferty

Generating forecasts for time series with multiple seasonal cycles is an important use-case for many industries nowadays. Accounting for the multi-seasonal patterns becomes necessary to generate more accurate and meaningful forecasts in…

Applications · Statistics 2020-04-28 Kasun Bandara , Christoph Bergmeir , Hansika Hewamalage

Agriculture is the essential ingredients to mankind which is a major source of livelihood. Agriculture work in Bangladesh is mostly done in old ways which directly affects our economy. In addition, institutions of agriculture are working…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-10 Tanhim Islam , Tanjir Alam Chisty , Amitabha Chakrabarty

The cotton industry in the United States is committed to sustainable production practices that minimize water, land, and energy use while improving soil health and cotton output. Climate-smart agricultural technologies are being developed…

Tree-based models have been successfully applied to a wide variety of tasks, including time series forecasting. They are increasingly in demand and widely accepted because of their comparatively high level of interpretability. However, many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-03 Matthias Jakobs , Amal Saadallah

The attention mechanism has demonstrated remarkable potential in sequence modeling, exemplified by its successful application in natural language processing with models such as Bidirectional Encoder Representations from Transformers (BERT)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-26 Bowen Zhao , Huanlai Xing , Zhiwen Xiao , Jincheng Peng , Li Feng , Xinhan Wang , Rong Qu , Hui Li

Recurrent Neural Networks were, until recently, one of the best ways to capture the timely dependencies in sequences. However, with the introduction of the Transformer, it has been proven that an architecture with only attention-mechanisms…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-19 Radostin Cholakov , Todor Kolev

Purpose: Trading on electricity markets occurs such that the price settlement takes place before delivery, often day-ahead. In practice, these prices are highly volatile as they largely depend upon a range of variables such as electricity…

Applications · Statistics 2020-05-19 Christof Naumzik , Stefan Feuerriegel

Predictive modeling and time-pattern analysis are increasingly critical in this swiftly shifting retail environment to improve operational efficiency and informed decision-making. This paper reports a comprehensive application of…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-10-08 Sri Darshan M , Jaisachin B , NithinRaj N

Multi-horizon probabilistic time series forecasting has wide applicability to real-world tasks such as demand forecasting. Recent work in neural time-series forecasting mainly focus on the use of Seq2Seq architectures. For example,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-09 Sitan Yang , Carson Eisenach , Dhruv Madeka

We consider the general problem of learning a predictor that satisfies multiple objectives of interest simultaneously, a broad framework that captures a range of specific learning goals including calibration, regret, and multiaccuracy. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-17 Jivat Neet Kaur , Isaac Gibbs , Michael I. Jordan

Predictive business process monitoring focuses on predicting future characteristics of a running process using event logs. The foresight into process execution promises great potentials for efficient operations, better resource management,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-05 Zaharah A. Bukhsh , Aaqib Saeed , Remco M. Dijkman

In this work, we tackle two widespread challenges in real applications for time-series forecasting that have been largely understudied: distribution shifts and missing data. We propose SpectraNet, a novel multivariate time-series…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-26 Cristian Challu , Peihong Jiang , Ying Nian Wu , Laurent Callot

Since its introduction, the transformer has shifted the development trajectory away from traditional models (e.g., RNN, MLP) in time series forecasting, which is attributed to its ability to capture global dependencies within temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-07 Xiwen Chen , Peijie Qiu , Wenhui Zhu , Huayu Li , Hao Wang , Aristeidis Sotiras , Yalin Wang , Abolfazl Razi

The emerge of new technologies to synthesize and analyze big data with high-performance computing, has increased our capacity to more accurately predict crop yields. Recent research has shown that Machine learning (ML) can provide…

Applications · Statistics 2020-11-09 Mohsen Shahhosseini , Guiping Hu , Sotirios V. Archontoulis

Weather forecasting is a long standing scientific challenge with direct social and economic impact. The task is suitable for deep neural networks due to vast amounts of continuously collected data and a rich spatial and temporal structure…

Deep operator network (DeepONet) has demonstrated great success in various learning tasks, including learning solution operators of partial differential equations. In particular, it provides an efficient approach to predict the evolution…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-12 Wuzhe Xu , Yulong Lu , Li Wang