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In this paper, we derive a temporal arbitrage policy for storage via reinforcement learning. Real-time price arbitrage is an important source of revenue for storage units, but designing good strategies have proven to be difficult because of…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2020-10-27 Hao Wang , Baosen Zhang

This paper presents a computation-efficient stochastic dynamic programming algorithm for solving energy storage price arbitrage considering variable charge and discharge efficiencies. We formulate the price arbitrage problem using…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-07-08 Ningkun Zheng , Joshua Jaworski , Bolun Xu

Electricity price prediction plays a vital role in energy storage system (ESS) management. Current prediction models focus on reducing prediction errors but overlook their impact on downstream decision-making. So this paper proposes a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-02 Linwei Sang , Yinliang Xu , Huan Long , Qinran Hu , Hongbin Sun

Energy storage resources must consider both price uncertainties and their physical operating characteristics when participating in wholesale electricity markets. This is a challenging problem as electricity prices are highly volatile, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-02 Yousuf Baker , Ningkun Zheng , Bolun Xu

Energy storage are strategic participants in electricity markets to arbitrage price differences. Future power system operators must understand and predict strategic storage arbitrage behaviors for market power monitoring and capacity…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-02-02 Yuexin Bian , Ningkun Zheng , Yang Zheng , Bolun Xu , Yuanyuan Shi

This paper presents a novel decision-focused framework integrating the physical energy storage model into machine learning pipelines. Motivated by the model predictive control for energy storage, our end-to-end method incorporates the prior…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-12-06 Ming Yi , Saud Alghumayjan , Bolun Xu

This paper proposes a risk-averse approach to energy storage price arbitrage, leveraging conformal uncertainty quantification for electricity price predictions. The method addresses the significant challenges posed by the inherent…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-12-11 Saud Alghumayjan , Ming Yi , Bolun Xu

This paper introduces a novel decision-focused framework for energy storage arbitrage bidding. Inspired by the bidding process for energy storage in electricity markets, we propose a predict-then-bid end-to-end method incorporating the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-07 Ming Yi , Yiqian Wu , Saud Alghumayjan , James Anderson , Bolun Xu

We formulate the optimal energy arbitrage problem for a piecewise linear cost function for energy storage devices using linear programming (LP). The LP formulation is based on the equivalent minimization of the epigraph. This formulation…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-08-19 Md Umar Hashmi , Arpan Mukhopadhyay , Ana Bušić , Jocelyne Elias , Diego Kiedanski

We characterize profit-maximizing operating strategies, over some time horizon [0,T], for an energy store which is trading in an arbitrage market. Our theory allows for leakage, operating inefficiencies, operating constraints and general…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-12-03 Lisa Flatley , Robert S. MacKay , Michael Waterson

We investigate the profitability and risk of energy storage arbitrage in electricity markets under price uncertainty, exploring both robust and chance-constrained optimization approaches. We analyze various uncertainty representations,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-16 Yiqian Wu , Bolun Xu , James Anderson

We study the optimal control of storage which is used for arbitrage, i.e. for buying a commodity when it is cheap and selling it when it is expensive. Our particular concern is with the management of energy systems, although the results are…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-06-17 James Cruise , Richard Gibbens , Stan Zachary

As the share of variable renewable energy sources increases in the electricity mix, new solutions are needed to build a flexible and reliable grid. Energy arbitrage with battery storage systems supports renewable energy integration into the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-17 Alban Puech , Gorazd Dimitrov , Claudia D'Ambrosio

This work proposes a conformal approach for energy storage arbitrage to control the downside risk arising from imperfect price forecasts. Energy storage arbitrage relies solely on predictions of future market prices, while inaccurate price…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-10 Yiqian Wu , Ming Yi , Bolun Xu , James Anderson

In this letter, we address the problem of controlling energy storage systems (ESSs) for arbitrage in real-time electricity markets under price uncertainty. We first formulate this problem as a Markov decision process, and then develop a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-07 Hanchen Xu , Xiao Li , Xiangyu Zhang , Junbo Zhang

Energy arbitrage is one of the most profitable sources of income for battery operators, generating revenues by buying and selling electricity at different prices. Forecasting these revenues is challenging due to the inherent uncertainty of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-29 Manuel Sage , Joshua Campbell , Yaoyao Fiona Zhao

This paper presents an integrated model for bidding energy storage in day-ahead and real-time markets to maximize profits. We show that in integrated two-stage bidding, the real-time bids are independent of day-ahead settlements, while the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-30 Saud Alghumayjan , Jiajun Han , Ningkun Zheng , Ming Yi , Bolun Xu

This paper presents an analytical method for calculating the operational value of an energy storage device under multi-stage price uncertainties. Our solution calculates the storage value function from price distribution functions directly…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-03-29 Bolun Xu , Audun Botterud , Magnus Korpas

Power systems face increasing weather-driven variability and, therefore, increasingly rely on flexible but energy-limited storage resources. Energy storage can buffer this variability, but its value depends on intertemporal decisions under…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-11 Tomás Tapia , Agustin Castellano , Enrique Mallada , Yury Dvorkin

This paper develops learning-augmented algorithms for energy trading in volatile electricity markets. The basic problem is to sell (or buy) $k$ units of energy for the highest revenue (lowest cost) over uncertain time-varying prices, which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-29 Russell Lee , Bo Sun , Mohammad Hajiesmaili , John C. S. Lui
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