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We use a decision-theoretic framework to study the problem of forecasting discrete outcomes when the forecaster is unable to discriminate among a set of plausible forecast distributions because of partial identification or concerns about…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-12-18 Timothy Christensen , Hyungsik Roger Moon , Frank Schorfheide

We present a robust framework to perform linear regression with missing entries in the features. By considering an elliptical data distribution, and specifically a multivariate normal model, we are able to conditionally formulate a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-10 Alireza Aghasi , MohammadJavad Feizollahi , Saeed Ghadimi

We propose an algorithm for the efficient and robust sampling of the posterior probability distribution in Bayesian inference problems. The algorithm combines the local search capabilities of the Manifold Metropolis Adjusted Langevin…

Reference information plays an essential role for making decisions under uncertainty, yet may vary across multiple data sources. In this paper, we study resource allocation in stochastic dynamic environments, where we perform information…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-11-05 Yanru Guo , Bo Zhou , Ruiwei Jiang , Xi , Yang , Siqian Shen

Robust optimization is a popular paradigm for modeling and solving two- and multi-stage decision-making problems affected by uncertainty. In many real-world applications, the time of information discovery is decision-dependent and the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-08-24 Phebe Vayanos , Angelos Georghiou , Han Yu

An algorithm is proposed for policy evaluation in Markov Decision Processes which gives good empirical results with respect to convergence rates. The algorithm tracks the Projected Bellman Error and is implemented as a true gradient based…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-01-21 Debangshu Banerjee , Kavita Wagh

The P\'olya tree (PT) process is a general-purpose Bayesian nonparametric model that has found wide application in a range of inference problems. It has a simple analytic form and the posterior computation boils down to beta-binomial…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-09 Naoki Awaya , Li Ma

This note summarizes the optimization formulations used in the study of Markov decision processes. We consider both the discounted and undiscounted processes under the standard and the entropy-regularized settings. For each setting, we…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-12-18 Lexing Ying , Yuhua Zhu

Specifying a proper input distribution is often a challenging task in simulation modeling. In practice, there may be multiple plausible distributions that can fit the input data reasonably well, especially when the data volume is not large.…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-15 Weiwei Fan , L. Jeff Hong , Xiaowei Zhang

The problem of solving Markov decision processes under function approximation remains a fundamental challenge, even under linear function approximation settings. A key difficulty arises from a geometric mismatch: while the Bellman…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-09 Hyukjun Yang , Han-Dong Lim , Donghwan Lee

In this study we analyze linear mixed-integer programming problems, in which the distribution of the cost vector is only observable through a finite training data set. In contrast to the related studies, we assume that the number of random…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-05-20 Sergey S. Ketkov , Andrei S. Shilov

We initiate the study of fair classifiers that are robust to perturbations in the training distribution. Despite recent progress, the literature on fairness has largely ignored the design of fair and robust classifiers. In this work, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-05 Debmalya Mandal , Samuel Deng , Suman Jana , Jeannette M. Wing , Daniel Hsu

Piecewise deterministic Markov processes (PDMPs) are a class of continuous-time Markov processes that were recently used to develop a new class of Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms. However, the implementation of the processes is…

Computation · Statistics 2024-08-08 Charly Andral , Kengo Kamatani

In this paper, we present a numerical framework for constructing bounds on stationary performance measures of random walks in the positive orthant using the Markov reward approach. These bounds are established in terms of stationary…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-22 Xinwei Bai , Jasper Goseling

We provide a new strategy built on the divide-and-conquer approach by Lindsten et al. (2017) to investigate the smoothing problem in a hidden Markov model. We employ this approach to decompose a hidden Markov model into sub-models with…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-28 Dong Ding , Axel Gandy

We study the problem of robust influence maximization in dynamic diffusion networks. In line with recent works, we consider the scenario where the network can undergo insertion and removal of nodes and edges, in discrete time steps, and the…

Databases · Computer Science 2024-12-17 Arkaprava Saha , Bogdan Cautis , Xiaokui Xiao , Laks V. S. Lakshmanan

A novel distributed algorithm is proposed for finite-time converging to a feasible consensus solution satisfying global optimality to a certain accuracy of the distributed robust convex optimization problem (DRCO) subject to bounded…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-09-06 Xunhao Wu , Jun Fu

A random sequence having two segments being the homogeneous Markov processes is registered. Each segment has his own transition probability law and the length of the segment is unknown and random. The transition probabilities of each…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-17 A. Ochman-Gozdek , W. Sarnowski , K. J. Szajowski

We provide a framework for speeding up algorithms for time-bounded reachability analysis of continuous-time Markov decision processes. The principle is to find a small, but almost equivalent subsystem of the original system and only analyse…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-07-26 Pranav Ashok , Yuliya Butkova , Holger Hermanns , Jan Křetínský

We consider the problem of distributionally robust multimodal machine learning. Existing approaches often rely on merging modalities on the feature level (early fusion) or heuristic uncertainty modeling, which downplays modality-aware…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-11 Peilin Yang , Yu Ma
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