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There is a vast body of literature related to methods for detecting changepoints (CP). However, less attention has been paid to assessing the statistical reliability of the detected CPs. In this paper, we introduce a novel method to perform…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-23 Vo Nguyen Le Duy , Hiroki Toda , Ryota Sugiyama , Ichiro Takeuchi

Let P be a set of points in R^d, and let M be a function that maps any subset of P to a positive real number. We examine the problem of computing the exact mean and variance of M when a subset of points in P is selected according to a…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2016-10-13 Frank Staals , Constantinos Tsirogiannis

Accurate forecasting of electrical demand is essential for maintaining a stable and reliable power grid, optimizing the allocation of energy resources, and promoting efficient energy consumption practices. This study investigates the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-27 Tugrul Cabir Hakyemez , Omer Adar

We demonstrate that a purposefully normalised NNLO top pair invariant mass differential spectrum can have very small theoretical uncertainty and, in particular, a small sensitivity to the top quark mass. Such observable can thus be a very…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2017-01-13 Michal Czakon , David Heymes , Alexander Mitov

Understanding the source of the universe's asymmetry between matter and antimatter is one of the major open questions in particle physics. In this work, the sensitivity of novel machine-learning-based inference techniques to CP-odd and…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2026-03-19 Marta Silva , Ricardo Barrué , Inês Ochoa , Patricia Conde Muíño

Despite extensive theoretical motivation for physics beyond the Standard Model (BSM) of particle physics, searches at the Large Hadron Collider (LHC) have found no significant evidence for BSM physics. Therefore, it is essential to broaden…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2019-03-21 Jack H. Collins , Kiel Howe , Benjamin Nachman

Motivated by deviations with respect to Standard Model predictions in $b\to s\ell^+\ell^-$ decays, we evaluate the global significance of the new physics hypothesis in this system by including the {\it look-elsewhere effect} for the first…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2021-09-28 Gino Isidori , Davide Lancierini , Patrick Owen , Nicola Serra

The B_s to mu+ mu- decay plays an outstanding role in tests of the Standard Model and physics beyond it. The LHCb collaboration has recently reported the first evidence for this decay at the 3.5 sigma level, with a branching ratio in the…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2014-12-19 Andrzej J. Buras , Robert Fleischer , Jennifer Girrbach , Robert Knegjens

Trustworthy classifiers are essential to the adoption of machine learning predictions in many real-world settings. The predicted probability of possible outcomes can inform high-stakes decision making, particularly when assessing the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-22 Kiri L. Wagstaff , Thomas G. Dietterich

I start by providing an updated summary of the penalized pixel-fitting (pPXF) method, which is used to extract the stellar and gas kinematics, as well as the stellar population of galaxies, via full spectrum fitting. I then focus on the…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2017-01-11 Michele Cappellari

We consider the problem of comparing a reference distribution with several other distributions. Given a sample from both the reference and the comparison groups, we aim to identify the comparison groups whose distributions differ from that…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-26 Yonghoon Lee , Edgar Dobriban , Eric Tchetgen Tchetgen

Analyzing high-dimensional data with manifold learning algorithms often requires searching for the nearest neighbors of all observations. This presents a computational bottleneck in statistical manifold learning when observations of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-11 Fan Cheng , Anastasios Panagiotelis , Rob J Hyndman

Local measurements of the Hubble constant ($H_0$) based on Cepheids e Type Ia supernova differ by $\approx 5 \sigma$ from the estimated value of $H_0$ from Planck CMB observations under $\Lambda$CDM assumptions. In order to better…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2023-07-07 Carlos Bengaly , Maria Aldinez Dantas , Luciano Casarini , Jailson Alcaniz

An important problem in space-time adaptive detection is the estimation of the large p-by-p interference covariance matrix from training signals. When the number of training signals n is greater than 2p, existing estimators are generally…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-07-26 Benjamin D. Robinson , Robert Malinas , Alfred O. Hero

A lot of real-world engineering problems represent dynamicity with nests of nonlinearities due to highly complex network of exponential functions or large number of differential equations interacting together. Such search spaces are…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2020-05-07 Mojtaba Moattari , Emad Roshandel , Shima Kamyab , Zohreh Azimifar

This study develops a graph search algorithm to find the optimal discrimination path for the binary classification problem. The objective function is defined as the difference of variations between the true positive (TP) and false positive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-10 Qinwu Xu

Precise measurements of $b\to c\tau\bar\nu$ decays require large resource-intensive Monte Carlo (MC) samples, which incorporate detailed simulations of detector responses and physics backgrounds. Extracted parameters may be highly sensitive…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2020-10-28 Florian U. Bernlochner , Stephan Duell , Zoltan Ligeti , Michele Papucci , Dean J. Robinson

We present a novel method for image anomaly detection, where algorithms that use samples drawn from some distribution of "normal" data, aim to detect out-of-distribution (abnormal) samples. Our approach includes a combination of encoder and…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-03-02 Nina Tuluptceva , Bart Bakker , Irina Fedulova , Anton Konushin

Accuracy at the top is a special class of binary classification problems where the performance is evaluated only on a small number of relevant (top) samples. Applications include information retrieval systems or processes with manual…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-28 Václav Mácha , Lukáš Adam , Václav Šmídl

The author's recent research papers, "Cumulative deviation of a subpopulation from the full population" and "A graphical method of cumulative differences between two subpopulations" (both published in volume 8 of Springer's open-access…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-09 Mark Tygert