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The Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve and the Area Under the Curve (AUC) of the ROC curve are widely used to compare the performance of diagnostic and prognostic assays. The ROC curve has the advantage that it is independent of…

Paired comparison models are used for analyzing data that involves pairwise comparisons among a set of objects. When the outcomes of the pairwise comparisons have no ties, the paired comparison models can be generalized as a class of binary…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-29 Ran Huo , Mark E. Glickman

Accurate diagnosis of disease is of fundamental importance in clinical practice and medical research. Before a medical diagnostic test is routinely used in practice, its ability to distinguish between diseased and nondiseased states must be…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-05 Vanda Inacio de Carvalho , Maria Xose Rodriguez-Alvarez

The Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) surface is a generalization of ROC curve and is widely used for assessment of the accuracy of diagnostic tests on three categories. A complication called the verification bias, meaning that not…

Applications · Statistics 2018-03-20 Rui Zhu , Subhashis Ghosal

The comparison of Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curves is frequently used in the literature to compare the discriminatory capability of different classification procedures based on diagnostic variables. The performance of these…

The Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve is a representation of the statistical information discovered in binary classification problems and is a key concept in machine learning and data science. This paper studies the statistical…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-09 Kai Feng , Han Hong , Ke Tang , Jingyuan Wang

Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves are used ubiquitously to evaluate covariates, markers, or features as potential predictors in binary problems. We distinguish raw ROC diagnostics and ROC curves, elucidate the special role of…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-14 Tilmann Gneiting , Peter Vogel

Facial analysis systems have been deployed by large companies and critiqued by scholars and activists for the past decade. Many existing algorithmic audits examine the performance of these systems on later stage elements of facial analysis…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2022-11-30 Samuel Dooley , George Z. Wei , Tom Goldstein , John P. Dickerson

In high-stakes risk prediction, quantifying uncertainty through interval-valued predictions is essential for reliable decision-making. However, standard evaluation tools like the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and the area…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-05 Yuqi Li , Matthew M. Engelhard

Test-time scaling aims to improve language model performance by leveraging additional compute during inference. Many works have empirically studied techniques such as Best-of-N (BoN) and Rejection Sampling (RS) that make use of a verifier…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-13 Florian E. Dorner , Yatong Chen , André F. Cruz , Fanny Yang

In analysis of binary outcomes, the receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve is heavily used to show the performance of a model or algorithm. The ROC curve is informative about the performance over a series of thresholds and can be…

Computation · Statistics 2020-08-10 John Muschelli

ROC curves and cost curves are two popular ways of visualising classifier performance, finding appropriate thresholds according to the operating condition, and deriving useful aggregated measures such as the area under the ROC curve (AUC)…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-08-01 José Hernández-Orallo , Peter Flach , Cèsar Ferri

The Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) is a well-established representation of the tradeoff between detection and false alarm probabilities in binary hypothesis testing. In many practical contexts ROC's are generated by thresholding a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-16 Catherine Medlock , Alan Oppenheim

Classification performance is often not uniform over the data. Some areas in the input space are easier to classify than others. Features that hold information about the "difficulty" of the data may be non-discriminative and are therefore…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-05-24 Oran Richman , Shie Mannor

The area under the ROC curve is widely used as a measure of performance of classification rules. However, it has recently been shown that the measure is fundamentally incoherent, in the sense that it treats the relative severities of…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-08-02 David J. Hand , Christoforos Anagnostopoulos

Model evaluation is of crucial importance in modern statistics application. The construction of ROC and calculation of AUC have been widely used for binary classification evaluation. Recent research generalizing the ROC/AUC analysis to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-04-23 Liang Wang , Luis Carvalho

In this paper, we show the arc length of the optimal ROC curve is an $f$-divergence. By leveraging this result, we express the arc length using a variational objective and estimate it accurately using positive and negative samples. We show…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-19 Song Liu

Algorithmic bias continues to be a key concern of learning analytics. We study the statistical properties of the Absolute Between-ROC Area (ABROCA) metric. This fairness measure quantifies group-level differences in classifier performance…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-02 Conrad Borchers , Ryan S. Baker

This paper considers the problem of fair probabilistic binary classification with binary protected groups. The classifier assigns scores, and a practitioner predicts labels using a certain cut-off threshold based on the desired trade-off…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-20 Avyukta Manjunatha Vummintala , Shantanu Das , Sujit Gujar

Accurate diagnosis of disease is of great importance in clinical practice and medical research. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) surface is a popular tool for evaluating the discriminatory ability of continuous diagnostic test…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-22 Vanda Inacio de Carvalho , Miguel de Carvalho , Adam Branscum