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Estimating the predictive uncertainty of a Bayesian learning model is critical in various decision-making problems, e.g., reinforcement learning, detecting adversarial attack, self-driving car. As the model posterior is almost always…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-16 Yufei Cui , Wuguannan Yao , Qiao Li , Antoni B. Chan , Chun Jason Xue

Hierarchical models are versatile tools for joint modeling of data sets arising from different, but related, sources. Fully Bayesian inference may, however, become computationally prohibitive if the source-specific data models are complex,…

Computation · Statistics 2016-05-06 Ritabrata Dutta , Paul Blomstedt , Samuel Kaski

Precision matrix estimation in a multivariate Gaussian model is fundamental to network estimation. Although there exist both Bayesian and frequentist approaches to this, it is difficult to obtain good Bayesian and frequentist properties…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-19 Ksheera Sagar , Sayantan Banerjee , Jyotishka Datta , Anindya Bhadra

Covariance estimation and selection for multivariate datasets in a high-dimensional regime is a fundamental problem in modern statistics. Gaussian graphical models are a popular class of models used for this purpose. Current Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-06 Xuan Cao , Shaojun Zhang

Bayesian Neural Networks provide a principled framework for uncertainty quantification by modeling the posterior distribution of network parameters. However, exact posterior inference is computationally intractable, and widely used…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-02 Alfredo Reichlin , Miguel Vasco , Danica Kragic

Graphical models describe associations between variables through the notion of conditional independence. Gaussian graphical models are a widely used class of such models where the relationships are formalized by non-null entries of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-08 Sagnik Bhadury , Riten Mitra , Jeremy T. Gaskins

We study the convergence rates of empirical Bayes posterior distributions for nonparametric and high-dimensional inference. We show that as long as the hyperparameter set is discrete, the empirical Bayes posterior distribution induced by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-10 Fengshuo Zhang , Chao Gao

In many inverse problems such as 3D X-ray Computed Tomography (CT), the estimation of an unknown quantity, such as a volume or an image, can be greatly enhanced, compared to maximum-likelihood techniques, by incorporating a prior model on…

Computation · Statistics 2018-09-03 Camille Chapdelaine

Diffuse optical tomography (DOT) is a severely ill-posed nonlinear inverse problem that seeks to estimate optical parameters from boundary measurements. In the Bayesian framework, the ill-posedness is diminished by incorporating {\em a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-12-06 Anssi Manninen , Meghdoot Mozumder , Tanja Tarvainen , Andreas Hauptmann

We consider amortized Bayesian inference for nonlinear inverse problems in settings where only samples from the joint distribution of parameters and observations are available. Classical methods such as Markov chain Monte Carlo require…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-05-19 Hojjat Kaveh , Ricardo Baptista , Andrew M. Stuart

This paper considers maximum-a-posteriori (MAP) and linear discriminant based MAP detectors to detect changes in the mean and covariance of a stochastic input, driving specific network nodes, using noisy measurements from sensors…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-11-10 Rajasekhar Anguluri , Vaibhav Katewa , Sandip Roy , Fabio Pasqualetti

Path-following algorithms are frequently used in composite optimization problems where a series of subproblems, with varying regularization hyperparameters, are solved sequentially. By reusing the previous solutions as initialization,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-12-10 Eugene Ndiaye , Ichiro Takeuchi

In the need for low assumption inferential methods in infinite-dimensional settings, Bayesian adaptive estimation via a prior distribution that does not depend on the regularity of the function to be estimated nor on the sample size is…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-09-23 Catia Scricciolo

We propose a multistage method for making inference at all levels of a Bayesian hierarchical model (BHM) using natural data partitions to increase efficiency by allowing computations to take place in parallel form using software that is…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-23 Devin S. Johnson , Brian M. Brost , Mevin B. Hooten

Gaussian processes (GPs) are widely used metamodels for approximating expensive computer simulations, particularly in engineering design and spatial prediction. However, their performance can deteriorate significantly when covariance…

Computation · Statistics 2025-11-17 Ayumi Mutoh , Junoh Heo

This paper proposes a parallel-in-time method for computing continuous-time maximum-a-posteriori (MAP) trajectory estimates of the states of partially observed stochastic differential equations (SDEs), with the goal of improving…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2025-12-16 Hassan Razavi , Ángel F. García-Fernández , Simo Särkkä

In computational inverse problems, it is common that a detailed and accurate forward model is approximated by a computationally less challenging substitute. The model reduction may be necessary to meet constraints in computing time when…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-14 Daniela Calvetti , Matthew M. Dunlop , Erkki Somersalo , Andrew M. Stuart

We offer a general Bayes theoretic framework to derive posterior contraction rates under a hierarchical prior design: the first-step prior serves to assess the model selection uncertainty, and the second-step prior quantifies the prior…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-12 Qiyang Han

In this paper, we present an information theoretic analysis of the blind signal classification algorithm. We show that the algorithm is equivalent to a Maximum A Posteriori (MAP) estimator based on estimated parametric probability models.…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2010-01-13 Xudong Ma

Inference for Variational Autoencoders (VAEs) consists of learning two models: (1) a generative model, which transforms a simple distribution over a latent space into the distribution over observed data, and (2) an inference model, which…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-14 Yaniv Yacoby , Weiwei Pan , Finale Doshi-Velez