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Related papers: Bayesian Learning of Coupled Biogeochemical-Physic…

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Bayesian inference methods are applied within a Bayesian hierarchical modelling framework to the problems of joint state and parameter estimation, and of state forecasting. We explore and demonstrate the ideas in the context of a simple…

Applications · Statistics 2012-11-09 John Parslow , Noel Cressie , Edward P. Campbell , Emlyn Jones , Lawrence Murray

Fine-scale simulation of complex systems governed by multiscale partial differential equations (PDEs) is computationally expensive and various multiscale methods have been developed for addressing such problems. In addition, it is…

Computational Physics · Physics 2021-06-24 Govinda Anantha Padmanabha , Nicholas Zabaras

One of the pivotal tasks in scientific machine learning is to represent underlying dynamical systems from time series data. Many methods for such dynamics learning explicitly require the derivatives of state data, which are not directly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-17 Dongwei Ye , Mengwu Guo

Dynamical systems modeling, particularly via systems of ordinary differential equations, has been used to effectively capture the temporal behavior of different biochemical components in signal transduction networks. Despite the recent…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2023-01-06 Nathaniel J. Linden , Boris Kramer , Padmini Rangamani

Dynamical system state estimation and parameter calibration problems are ubiquitous across science and engineering. Bayesian approaches to the problem are the gold standard as they allow for the quantification of uncertainties and enable…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-11-12 Kairui Hao , Ilias Bilionis

System identification of complex and nonlinear systems is a central problem for model predictive control and model-based reinforcement learning. Despite their complexity, such systems can often be approximated well by a set of linear…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-30 Philip Becker-Ehmck , Jan Peters , Patrick van der Smagt

The ubiquity of multiscale interactions in complex systems is well-recognized, with development and heredity serving as a prime example of how processes at different temporal scales influence one another. This work introduces a novel…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-04 Nayely Vélez-Cruz , Manfred D. Laubichler

Nonlinear dynamics are ubiquitous in science and engineering applications, but the physics of most complex systems is far from being fully understood. Discovering interpretable governing equations from measurement data can help us…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-18 Luning Sun , Daniel Zhengyu Huang , Hao Sun , Jian-Xun Wang

Background: Many mathematical models have now been employed across every area of systems biology. These models increasingly involve large numbers of unknown parameters, have complex structure which can result in substantial evaluation time…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2018-01-15 Ian Vernon , Junli Liu , Michael Goldstein , James Rowe , Jen Topping , Keith Lindsey

Accuracy and generalization capabilities are key objectives when learning dynamical system models. To obtain such models from limited data, current works exploit prior knowledge and assumptions about the system. However, the fusion of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-22 Björn Volkmann , Jan-Hendrik Ewering , Michael Meindl , Simon F. G. Ehlers , Thomas Seel

State-space models are successfully used in many areas of science, engineering and economics to model time series and dynamical systems. We present a fully Bayesian approach to inference \emph{and learning} (i.e. state estimation and system…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-12-18 Roger Frigola , Fredrik Lindsten , Thomas B. Schön , Carl E. Rasmussen

Differential equations based on physical principals are used to represent complex dynamic systems in all fields of science and engineering. Through repeated use in both academics and industry, these equations have been shown to represent…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-08 Joshua S. North , Christopher K. Wikle , Erin M. Schliep

Molecular dynamics is a valuable tool to probe biological processes at the atomistic level - a resolution often elusive to experiments. However, the credibility of molecular models is limited by the accuracy of the underlying force field,…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2025-11-10 Vojtech Kostal , Brennon L. Shanks , Pavel Jungwirth , Hector Martinez-Seara

Bioprocess mechanistic modeling is essential for advancing intelligent digital twin representation of biomanufacturing, yet challenges persist due to complex intracellular regulation, stochastic system behavior, and limited experimental…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-07 Keilung Choy , Wei Xie , Keqi Wang

Bayesian methods are increasingly being applied to parameterize mechanistic process models used in environmental prediction and forecasting. In particular, models describing ecosystem dynamics with multiple states that are linear and…

Applications · Statistics 2021-10-19 John W. Smith , Leah R. Johnson , Robert Q. Thomas

Bayesian methods have been very successful in quantifying uncertainty in physics-based problems in parameter estimation and prediction. In these cases, physical measurements y are modeled as the best fit of a physics-based model…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-02-06 Dave Higdon , Jordan D. McDonnell , Nicolas Schunck , Jason Sarich , Stefan M. Wild

Modeling biological dynamical systems is challenging due to the interdependence of different system components, some of which are not fully understood. To fill existing gaps in our ability to mechanistically model physiological systems, we…

In this paper physical multi-scale processes governed by their own principles for evolution or equilibrium on each scale are coupled by matching the stored and dissipated energy, in line with the Hill-Mandel principle. In our view the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-09 M. S. Sarfaraz , B. Rosic , H. G. Matthies , A. Ibrahimbegovic

We develop a novel data-driven approach to the inverse problem of classical statistical mechanics: given experimental data on the collective motion of a classical many-body system, how does one characterise the free energy landscape of that…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-03-01 Peter Yatsyshin , Serafim Kalliadasis , Andrew B. Duncan

Many systems in physics, engineering, and biology exhibit multiscale stochastic dynamics, where low-dimensional slow variables evolve under the influence of high-dimensional fast processes. In practice, observations are often limited to a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-12 Anan Saha , Arnab Ganguly
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