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Related papers: Beyond Fisher Forecasting for Cosmology

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The Fisher information matrix (FM) plays an important role in forecasts and inferences in many areas of physics. While giving fast parameter estimation with the Gaussian likelihood approximation in the parameter space, the FM can only give…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2022-06-22 Ziming Wang , Chang Liu , Junjie Zhao , Lijing Shao

We present the new method DALI (Derivative Approximation for LIkelihoods) for reconstructing and forecasting posteriors. DALI extends the Fisher Matrix formalism but allows for a much wider range of posterior shapes. While the Fisher Matrix…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2020-02-10 Elena Sellentin , Miguel Quartin , Luca Amendola

Fisher forecasts are a common tool in cosmology with applications ranging from survey planning to the development of new cosmological probes. While frequently adopted, they are subject to numerical instabilities that need to be carefully…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2021-03-15 Naren Bhandari , C. Danielle Leonard , Markus Michael Rau , Rachel Mandelbaum

Fisher matrices play an important role in experimental design and in data analysis. Their primary role is to make predictions for the inference of model parameters - both their errors and covariances. In this short review, I outline a…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2016-08-24 Alan Heavens

We present a comparison of Fisher matrix forecasts for cosmological probes with Monte Carlo Markov Chain (MCMC) posterior likelihood estimation methods. We analyse the performance of future Dark Energy Task Force (DETF) stage-III and stage-…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-05 Laura Wolz , Martin Kilbinger , Jochen Weller , Tommaso Giannantonio

The Fisher Information Matrix formalism is extended to cases where the data is divided into two parts (X,Y), where the expectation value of Y depends on X according to some theoretical model, and X and Y both have errors with arbitrary…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-02-20 A. F. Heavens , M. Seikel , B. D. Nord , M. Aich , Y. Bouffanais , B. A. Bassett , M. P. Hobson

The Fisher matrix formalism has in recent times become the standard method for predicting the precision with which various cosmological parameters can be extracted from future data. This approach is fast, and generally returns accurate…

Posterior inference on the more than a dozen parameters governing a gravitational wave (GW) event is challenging. A typical MCMC analysis can take around $100$ CPU hours, and next generation GW observatories will detect many thousands of…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2026-04-16 Josiel Mendonça Soares de Souza , Miguel Quartin

Gravitational-wave astronomers often wish to characterize the expected parameter-estimation accuracy of future observations. The Fisher matrix provides a lower bound on the spread of the maximum-likelihood estimator across noise…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2011-11-08 Michele Vallisneri

We introduce GWDALI, a new Fisher-matrix, python based software that computes likelihood gradients to forecast parameter-estimation precision of arbitrary network of terrestrial gravitational wave detectors observing compact binary…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2025-10-27 Josiel Mendonça Soares de Souza , Riccardo Sturani

The Fisher information matrix is used widely in astronomy (and presumably other fields) to forecast the precision of future experiments while they are still in the design phase. Although many sources describe the mathematics of the…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2025-10-14 David Wittman

In this paper we extent the previously published DALI-approximation for likelihoods to cases in which the parameter dependency is in the covariance matrix. The approximation recovers non-Gaussian likelihoods, and reduces to the Fisher…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-09-09 Elena Sellentin

We study the information content of summary statistics built from the multi-scale topology of large-scale structures on primordial non-Gaussianity of the local and equilateral type. We use halo catalogs generated from numerical N-body…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2022-10-05 Matteo Biagetti , Juan Calles , Lina Castiblanco , Alex Cole , Jorge Noreña

Forecasts in cosmology, both with Monte-Carlo Markov-chain methods and with the Fisher matrix formalism, depend on the choice of the fiducial model because both the signal strength of any observable as well as the model nonlinearities…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2016-07-01 Björn Malte Schäfer , Robert Reischke

Fisher matrices are used frequently in the analysis of combining cosmological constraints from various data sets. They encode the Gaussian uncertainties of multiple variables. They are simple to use, and I show how to get up and running…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2009-06-24 Dan Coe

We present a toolbox of new techniques and concepts for the efficient forecasting of experimental sensitivities. These are applicable to a large range of scenarios in (astro-)particle physics, and based on the Fisher information formalism.…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2018-02-28 Thomas D. P. Edwards , Christoph Weniger

The Fisher Information matrix is a widely used measure for applications ranging from statistical inference, information geometry, experiment design, to the study of criticality in biological systems. Yet there is no commonly accepted…

Computation · Statistics 2016-02-17 Omri Har Shemesh , Rick Quax , Borja Miñano , Alfons G. Hoekstra , Peter M. A. Sloot

Theoretical studies in gravitational wave astronomy often require the calculation of Fisher Information Matrices and Likelihood functions, which in a direct approach entail the costly step of computing gravitational waveforms. Here I…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2013-02-07 Neil J. Cornish

The Fisher matrix is a widely used tool to forecast the performance of future experiments and approximate the likelihood of large data sets. Most of the forecasts for cosmological parameters in galaxy clustering studies rely on the Fisher…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2017-06-28 Alberto Bailoni , Alessio Spurio Mancini , Luca Amendola

Assuming a Euclid-like weak lensing data set, we compare different methods of dealing with its inherent parameter degeneracies. Including priors into a data analysis can mask the information content of a given data set alone. However, since…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2016-01-27 Elena Sellentin , Björn Malte Schäfer
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