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Common statistical prediction models often require and assume stationarity in the data. However, in many practical applications, changes in the relationship of the response and predictor variables are regularly observed over time, resulting…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-05-05 Heng Wang , Zubin Abraham

In applications of dynamical systems, situations can arise where it is desired to predict the onset of synchronization as it can lead to characteristic and significant changes in the system performance and behaviors, for better or worse. In…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2021-06-30 Huawei Fan , Ling-Wei Kong , Ying-Cheng Lai , Xingang Wang

Most machine learning models are static, but the world is dynamic, and increasing online deployment of learned models gives increasing urgency to the development of efficient and effective mechanisms to address learning in the context of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-11-16 Geoffrey I. Webb , Roy Hyde , Hong Cao , Hai Long Nguyen , Francois Petitjean

Detecting drift in performance of Machine Learning (ML) models is an acknowledged challenge. For ML models to become an integral part of business applications it is essential to detect when an ML model drifts away from acceptable operation.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-12 Samuel Ackerman , Parijat Dube , Eitan Farchi , Orna Raz , Marcel Zalmanovici

Machine learning models are essential tools in various domains, but their performance can degrade over time due to changes in data distribution or other factors. On one hand, detecting and addressing such degradations is crucial for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-28 Florian Heinrichs

Predictive Process Monitoring aims to forecast the future progress of process instances using historical event data. As predictive process monitoring is increasingly applied in online settings to enable timely interventions, evaluating the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-16 Suhwan Lee , Marco Comuzzi , Xixi Lu , Hajo A. Reijers

Data drift is the change in model input data that is one of the key factors leading to machine learning models performance degradation over time. Monitoring drift helps detecting these issues and preventing their harmful consequences.…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-05-30 Ella Rabinovich , Matan Vetzler , Samuel Ackerman , Ateret Anaby-Tavor

The notion of concept drift refers to the phenomenon that the distribution generating the observed data changes over time. If drift is present, machine learning models can become inaccurate and need adjustment. While there do exist methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-17 Fabian Hinder , Valerie Vaquet , Johannes Brinkrolf , Barbara Hammer

Machine learning-based performance models are increasingly being used to build critical job scheduling and application optimization decisions. Traditionally, these models assume that data distribution does not change as more samples are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-27 Ray A. O. Sinurat , Anurag Daram , Haryadi S. Gunawi , Robert B. Ross , Sandeep Madireddy

Machine learning models serve critical functions, such as classifying loan applicants as good or bad risks. Each model is trained under the assumption that the data used in training and in the field come from the same underlying unknown…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-23 Eliran Roffe , Samuel Ackerman , Orna Raz , Eitan Farchi

Data taken from observations of the natural world or laboratory measurements often depend on parameters which can vary in unexpected ways. In this paper we demonstrate how machine learning can be leveraged to detect changes in global…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-11-25 Logan M. Kageorge , Roman O. Grigoriev , Michael F. Schatz

Supervised learning models are one of the most fundamental classes of models. Viewing supervised learning from a probabilistic perspective, the set of training data to which the model is fitted is usually assumed to follow a stationary…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-14 Kungang Zhang , Anh T. Bui , Daniel W. Apley

Maintaining the predictive performance of pricing models is challenging when insurance portfolios and data-generating mechanisms evolve over time. Focusing on non-life insurance, we adopt the concept-drift terminology from machine learning…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-09 Alexej Brauer , Paul Menzel , Mario V. Wüthrich

Context: Dynamic production environments make it challenging to maintain reliable machine learning (ML) systems. Runtime issues, such as changes in data patterns or operating contexts, that degrade model performance are a common occurrence…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2025-09-19 Hira Naveed , Scott Barnett , Chetan Arora , John Grundy , Hourieh Khalajzadeh , Omar Haggag

When monitoring machine learning systems, two-sample tests of homogeneity form the foundation upon which existing approaches to drift detection build. They are used to test for evidence that the distribution underlying recent deployment…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-08-03 Oliver Cobb , Arnaud Van Looveren

ML models deployed in production often have to face unknown domain changes, fundamentally different from their training settings. Performance prediction models carry out the crucial task of measuring the impact of these changes on model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-23 Simona Maggio , Victor Bouvier , Léo Dreyfus-Schmidt

Robot learning methods have recently made great strides, but generalization and robustness challenges still hinder their widespread deployment. Failing to detect and address potential failures renders state-of-the-art learning systems not…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-03-11 Huihan Liu , Shivin Dass , Roberto Martín-Martín , Yuke Zhu

Machine Learning (ML) is more than just training models, the whole workflow must be considered. Once deployed, a ML model needs to be watched and constantly supervised and debugged to guarantee its validity and robustness in unexpected…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-05 Gusseppe Bravo-Rocca , Peini Liu , Jordi Guitart , Ajay Dholakia , David Ellison , Jeffrey Falkanger , Miroslav Hodak

Predictive services nowadays play an important role across all business sectors. However, deployed machine learning models are challenged by changing data streams over time which is described as concept drift. Prediction quality of models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-09 Lucas Baier , Josua Reimold , Niklas Kühl

A failure detection system is the first step towards predictive maintenance strategies. A popular data-driven method to detect incipient failures and anomalies is the training of normal behaviour models by applying a machine learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-21 Iñigo Martinez , Elisabeth Viles , Iñaki Cabrejas