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Bayesian analysis of LISA data sets based on Markov chain Monte Carlo methods has been shown to be a challenging problem, in part due to the complicated structure of the likelihood function consisting of several isolated local maxima that…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2015-05-13 Miquel Trias , Alberto Vecchio , John Veitch

Motivated by change point problems in time series and the detection of textured objects in images, we consider the problem of detecting a piece of a Gaussian Markov random field hidden in white Gaussian noise. We derive minimax lower bounds…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-15 Ery Arias-Castro , Sébastien Bubeck , Gábor Lugosi , Nicolas Verzelen

We introduce a "loosely coherent" method for detection of continuous gravitational waves that bridges the gap between semi-coherent and purely coherent methods. Explicit control over accepted families of signals is used to increase…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2015-05-18 Vladimir Dergachev

We consider the problem of Bayesian inference for bi-variate data observed in time but with observation times which occur non-synchronously. In particular, this occurs in a wide variety of applications in finance, such as high-frequency…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-04 Ajay Jasra , Kengo Kamatani , Amin Wu

We develop a method for reconstructing regulatory interconnection networks between variables evolving according to a linear dynamical system. The work is motivated by the problem of gene regulatory network inference, that is, finding causal…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-19 Atte Aalto , Jorge Goncalves

We consider the problem of multivariate density deconvolution where the distribution of a random vector needs to be estimated from replicates contaminated with conditionally heteroscedastic measurement errors. We propose a conceptually…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-29 Arkaprava Roy , Abhra Sarkar

Sampling from the posterior is a key technical problem in Bayesian statistics. Rigorous guarantees are difficult to obtain for Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithms of common use. In this paper, we study an alternative class of algorithms…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-08-26 Andrea Montanari , Yuchen Wu

We consider the Bayesian detection statistic for a targeted search for continuous gravitational waves, known as the $\mathcal{B}$-statistic. This is a Bayes factor between signal and noise hypotheses, produced by marginalizing over the four…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2018-12-19 John J. Bero , John T. Whelan

This paper addresses the problem of expressing a signal as a sum of frequency components (sinusoids) wherein each sinusoid may exhibit abrupt changes in its amplitude and/or phase. The Fourier transform of a narrow-band signal, with a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-02-27 Yin Ding , Ivan W. Selesnick

The identification of parameters in mathematical models using noisy observations is a common task in uncertainty quantification. We employ the framework of Bayesian inversion: we combine monitoring and observational data with prior…

Computation · Statistics 2018-05-11 Jonas Latz , Iason Papaioannou , Elisabeth Ullmann

A hidden Markov model (HMM) solved recursively by the Viterbi algorithm can be configured to search for persistent, quasimonochromatic gravitational radiation from an isolated or accreting neutron star, whose rotational frequency is unknown…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2021-09-01 A. Melatos , P. Clearwater , S. Suvorova , L. Sun , W. Moran , R. J. Evans

Estimation and prediction in high dimensional multivariate factor stochastic volatility models is an important and active research area because such models allow a parsimonious representation of multivariate stochastic volatility. Bayesian…

Computation · Statistics 2021-04-27 David Gunawan , Robert Kohn , David Nott

Sinusoidal parameter estimation is a computationally-intensive task, which can pose problems for real-time implementations. In this paper, we propose a low-complexity iterative method for estimating sinusoidal parameters that is based on…

In this paper, we study the following model of hidden Markov chain: $Y_i=X_i+\epsilon_i$, $i=1,...,n+1$ with $(X_i)$ a real-valued stationary Markov chain and $(\epsilon_i)_{1\leq i\leq n+1}$ a noise having a known distribution and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Claire Lacour

Estimating hidden processes from non-linear noisy observations is particularly difficult when the parameters of these processes are not known. This paper adopts a machine learning approach to devise variational Bayesian inference for such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-05 Komlan Atitey , Pavel Loskot , Lyudmila Mihaylova

We investigate the class of quadratic detectors (i.e., the statistic is a bilinear function of the data) for the detection of poorly modeled gravitational transients of short duration. We point out that all such detection methods are…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2009-11-07 E. Chassande-Mottin

Deriving Bayesian inference for exponential random graph models (ERGMs) is a challenging "doubly intractable" problem as the normalizing constants of the likelihood and posterior density are both intractable. Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC)…

Computation · Statistics 2019-11-26 Linda S. L. Tan , Nial Friel

Searches for persistent gravitational radiation from nonpulsating neutron stars in young supernova remnants (SNRs) are computationally challenging because of rapid stellar braking. We describe a practical, efficient, semi-coherent search…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2018-02-28 L. Sun , A. Melatos , S. Suvorova , W. Moran , R. J. Evans

Space-based gravitational wave (GW) detectors will be able to observe signals from sources that are otherwise nearly impossible from current ground-based detection. Consequently, the well established signal detection method, matched…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2023-08-17 Tianyu Zhao , Ruoxi Lyu , He Wang , Zhoujian Cao , Zhixiang Ren

In this paper, a fast amplitude detection method for the single or three-phase unbalanced sinusoidal is reported. The proposed method is a method of the amplitude detection for a single phase or three phase unbalanced sinusoidal signal,…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-01-19 Jusong Rim , Cholyong Ri , Hongchol Jin , Choljin Ohr , Choljun Rim , Hyewon Ri
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