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It is known that the Azema-Yor solution to the Skorokhod embedding problem maximizes the law of the running maximum of an uniformly integrable martingale with given terminal value distribution. Recently this optimality property has been…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-14 Nikolay Lysenko

We study the class of Az\'ema-Yor processes defined from a general semimartingale with a continuous running maximum process. We show that they arise as unique strong solutions of the Bachelier stochastic differential equation which we prove…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-09-27 Laurent Carraro , Nicole El Karoui , Jan Obłój

Consider a real-valued branching random walk in the boundary case. Using the techniques developed by A\"id\'ekon and Shi [5], we give two integral tests which describe respectively the lower limits for the minimal position and the upper…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-01 Yueyun Hu

We introduce a set of tools which simplify and streamline the proofs of limit theorems concerning near-critical particles in branching random walks under optimal assumptions. We exemplify our method by giving another proof of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-19 Pierre Boutaud , Pascal Maillard

A complete characterization of the possible joint distributions of the maximum and terminal value of uniformly integrable martingale has been known for some time, and the aim of this paper is to establish a similar characterization for…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-04 Moritz Duembgen , L. C. G. Rogers

We consider random walks, say $W_n=(M_0, M_1,\dots, M_n)$, of length $n$ starting at 0 and based on the martingale sequence $M_k$ with differences $X_m=M_m-M_{m-1}$. Assuming that the differences are bounded, $|X_m|\leq 1$, we solve the…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-30 Dainius Dzindzalieta

We consider a random walk on $\R^d$ in a polynomially mixing random environment that is refreshed at each time step. We use a martingale approach to give a necessary and sufficient condition for the almost-sure functional central limit…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-12-14 Mathew Joseph , Firas Rassoul-Agha

We study the joint laws of a continuous, uniformly integrable martingale, its maximum, and its minimum. In particular, we give explicit martingale inequalities which provide upper and lower bounds on the joint exit probabilities of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-31 Alexander M. G. Cox , Jan Obłój

Suppose that $(X,Y,Z)$ is a random walk in $\mathbb{Z}^3$ that moves in the following way: on the first visit to a vertex only $Z$ changes by $\pm 1$ equally likely, while on later visits to the same vertex $(X,Y)$ performs a…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-07 Yuval Peres , Bruno Schapira , Perla Sousi

Infinite sums of i.i.d. random variables discounted by a multiplicative random walk are called perpetuities and have been studied by many authors. The present paper provides a log-type moment result for such random variables under minimal…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-04-08 Gerold Alsmeyer , Alexander Iksanov

We consider the maximum process of a random walk with additive independent noise in form of $\max_{i=1,\dots,n}(S_i+Y_i)$. The random walk may have dependent increments, but its sample path is assumed to converge weakly to a fractional…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-12 Yizao Wang

We construct the conditional version of $k$ independent and identically distributed random walks on $\R$ given that they stay in strict order at all times. This is a generalisation of so-called non-colliding or non-intersecting random…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Peter Eichelsbacher , Wolfgang Konig

The aim of this paper is to deepen the analysis of the asymptotic behavior of the so-called minimal random walk (MRW) using a new martingale approach. The MRW is a discrete-time random walk with infinite memory that has three regimes…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-21 Bernard Bercu , Víctor Hugo Vázquez Guevara

As an alternative to the well-known methods of "chaining" and "bracketing" that have been developed in the study of random fields, a new method, which is based on a stochastic maximal inequality derived by using the Taylor expansion, is…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-03 Yoichi Nishiyama

The aim of this paper is to represent any continuous local martingale as an almost sure limit of a nested sequence of simple, symmetric random walks, time changed by a discrete quadratic variation process. One basis of this is a similar…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-08-10 Balazs Szekely , Tamas Szabados

We present sufficient conditions, in terms of the jumping kernels, for two large classes of conservative Markov processes of pure-jump type to be purely discontinuous martingales with finite second moment. As an application, we establish…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-01 Yuichi Shiozawa , Jian Wang

This short note explores the maximum-entropy walk on the unit interval that is a median-martingale. That is, the median of its next state is equal to its current state. The stationary distribution of this walk is the arcsine distribution,…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-11 Rikhav Shah , Vilas Winstein

Motivated by a problem posed by Aldous, our goal is to find the maximal-entropy win-martingale: In a sports game between two teams, the chance the home team wins is initially $x_0 \in (0,1)$ and finally 0 or 1. As an idealization we take a…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-04 Julio Backhoff-Veraguas , Mathias Beiglboeck

As an alternative to the well-known methods of "chaining" and "bracketing" that have been developed in the study of random fields, a new method, which is based on a {\em stochastic maximal inequality} derived by using the formula for…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-16 Yoichi Nishiyama

We obtain bounds on the distribution of the maximum of a martingale with fixed marginals at finitely many intermediate times. The bounds are sharp and attained by a solution to $n$-marginal Skorokhod embedding problem in Ob{\l}\'oj and…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-18 Pierre Henry-Labordère , Jan Obłój , Peter Spoida , Nizar Touzi
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