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We introduce a modular framework that extends the signature method to handle American option pricing under evolving volatility roughness. Building on the signature-pricing framework of Bayer et al. (2025), we add three practical…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-13 Roshan Shah

In the first part of this thesis, we focus on American options in the Heston model. We first give an analytical characterization of the value function of an American option as the unique solution of the associated (degenerate) parabolic…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-13 Giulia Terenzi

In this paper we formulate a regression problem to predict realized volatility by using option price data and enhance VIX-styled volatility indices' predictability and liquidity. We test algorithms including regularized regression and…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-09-24 Peter Carr , Liuren Wu , Zhibai Zhang

The availability of deep hedging has opened new horizons for solving hedging problems under a large variety of realistic market conditions. At the same time, any model - be it a traditional stochastic model or a market generator - is at…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-07 Yannick Limmer , Blanka Horvath

Shorting for hedging exposes to risk when the market dynamics is uncertain. Managing uncertainty and risk exposure is key in portfolio management practice. This paper develops a robust framework for dynamic minimum-variance hedging that…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-03 Adele Ravagnani , Mattia Chiappari , Andrea Flori , Piero Mazzarisi , Marco Patacca

We investigate the statistical evidence for the use of `rough' fractional processes with Hurst exponent $H< 0.5$ for the modeling of volatility of financial assets, using a model-free approach. We introduce a non-parametric method for…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-07-11 Rama Cont , Purba Das

This paper proposes a hybrid methodology to improve the approximation of SABR (Stochastic Alpha Beta Rho) implied volatility by combining analytical structure with machine learning. The approach augments the neural-network input…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-08 Adil Reghai , Lama Tarsissi , Gérard Biau , Alex Lipton

We introduce a new class of continuous-time models of the stochastic volatility of asset prices. The models can simultaneously incorporate roughness and slowly decaying autocorrelations, including proper long memory, which are two stylized…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-06 Mikkel Bennedsen , Asger Lunde , Mikko S. Pakkanen

Fine-tuning foundation models via reinforcement learning (RL) has proven promising for aligning to downstream objectives. In the case of diffusion models (DMs), though RL training improves alignment from early timesteps, critical issues…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-14 Roberto Barceló , Cristóbal Alcázar , Felipe Tobar

In this paper, we propose a novel methodology for pricing equity-indexed annuities featuring cliquet-style payoff structures and early surrender risk, using advanced financial modeling techniques. Specifically, the market is modeled by an…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-18 Ludovic Goudenège , Andrea Molent , Antonino Zanette

We propose a new class of random feature methods for linearizing softmax and Gaussian kernels called hybrid random features (HRFs) that automatically adapt the quality of kernel estimation to provide most accurate approximation in the…

We consider call option prices in diffusion models close to expiry, in an asymptotic regime ("moderately out of the money") that interpolates between the well-studied cases of at-the-money options and out-of-the-money fixed-strike options.…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2016-04-06 Peter Friz , Stefan Gerhold , Arpad Pinter

As a consequence of the financial crises, risk management became more important and real-world dynamics of interest-rate models moved into the focus of interest. Since risk-neutral dynamics are classically important to compute prices of…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-26 David Criens

Flow based models such as Real NVP are an extremely powerful approach to density estimation. However, existing flow based models are restricted to transforming continuous densities over a continuous input space into similarly continuous…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-27 Laurent Dinh , Jascha Sohl-Dickstein , Hugo Larochelle , Razvan Pascanu

Accurately characterizing the implied volatility curves is a central challenge in option pricing and risk management. The classical SABR model by Hagan et al. has been widely adopted in practice due to its well-defined stochastic volatility…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-31 Wenxuan Zhang , Zhouchi Lin , Benzhuo Lu

Options with maturities below one week, hereafter "ultra-short-term" options, have seen a sharp increase in trading activity in recent years. Yet, these instruments are difficult to price jointly using classical pricing models due to the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-01 Federico M. Bandi , Nicola Fusari , Guido Gazzani , Roberto Renò

Recent empirical evidence has highlighted the crucial role of jumps in both price and volatility within the cryptocurrency market. In this paper, we integrate price--volatility co-jumps and volatility short-term dependency into a coherent…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-17 Boyi Li , Weixuan Xia

Two commonly used methods for improving precision and power in clinical trials are stratified randomization and covariate adjustment. However, many trials do not fully capitalize on the combined precision gains from these two methods, which…

Diffusion models have achieved remarkable success in image generation, with applications broadening across various domains. Inpainting is one such application that can benefit significantly from diffusion models. Existing methods either…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-02-06 Sora Kim , Sungho Suh , Minsik Lee

This Ph.D. thesis explores approximations and regularity for the Heston stochastic volatility model through three interconnected works. The first work focuses on developing high-order weak approximations for the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross (CIR)…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-05-01 Edoardo Lombardo