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The class of Affine (Jump) Diffusion (AD) has, due to its closed form characteristic function (ChF), gained tremendous popularity among practitioners and researchers. However, there is clear evidence that a linearity constraint is…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-08-29 Lech A. Grzelak

It is a market practice to express market-implied volatilities in some parametric form. The most popular parametrizations are based on or inspired by an underlying stochastic model, like the Heston model (SVI method) or the SABR model (SABR…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-06 Nicola F. Zaugg , Leonardo Perotti , Lech A. Grzelak

Affine Diffusion dynamics are frequently used for Valuation Adjustments (xVA) calculations due to their analytic tractability. However, these models cannot capture the market-implied skew and smile, which are relevant when computing xVA…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-23 T. van der Zwaard , L. A. Grzelak , C. W. Oosterlee

This paper extends the valuation and optimal surrender framework for variable annuities with guaranteed minimum benefits in a L\'evy equity market environment by incorporating a stochastic interest rate described by the Hull-White model.…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2024-04-12 Ludovic Goudenège , Andrea Molent , Xiao Wei , Antonino Zanette

We examine whether model-based spot volatility estimators extracted from traded options data enhance the predictive power of the Heterogeneous Autoregressive (HAR) model for realized volatility. Specifically, we infer spot volatility under…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-13 Zheqi Fan , Meng Melody Wang , Yifan Ye

We study the Hull-White model for the term structure of interest rates in the presence of volatility uncertainty. The uncertainty about the volatility is represented by a set of beliefs, which naturally leads to a sublinear expectation and…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-28 Julian Hölzermann

Rough volatility models have gained considerable interest in the quantitative finance community in recent years. In this paradigm, the volatility of the asset price is driven by a fractional Brownian motion with a small value for the Hurst…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-16 Carsten Chong , Marc Hoffmann , Yanghui Liu , Mathieu Rosenbaum , Grégoire Szymanski

We investigate model risk and distributionally robust optimization (DRO) under marginal and martingale constraints. Building on our previous work, we address the previously open case of static hedging with second-period maturity vanilla…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-29 Nathan Sauldubois

Extracting the risk neutral density (RND) function from option prices is well defined in principle, but is very sensitive to errors in practice. For risk management, knowledge of the entire RND provides more information for Value-at-Risk…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-09-08 Jerome V. Healy , Maurice Dixon , Brian J. Read , Fang Fang Cai

The analytical tractability of affine (short rate) models, such as the Vasicek and the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross models, has made them a popular choice for modelling the dynamics of interest rates. However, in order to account properly for the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-09-08 Philipp Harms , David Stefanovits , Josef Teichmann , Mario Wüthrich

Adapting pretrained diffusion models to downstream objectives such as inverse problems often requires expensive test-time guidance or optimization. We propose a principled framework for generating high-quality reward-aligned samples at…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-22 Kushagra Pandey , Farrin Marouf Sofian , Jan Niklas Groeneveld , Felix Draxler , Stephan Mandt

Numerous empirical proofs indicate the adequacy of the time discrete auto-regressive stochastic volatility models introduced by Taylor in the description of the log-returns of financial assets. The pricing and hedging of contingent products…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2011-10-31 Joan del Castillo , Juan-Pablo Ortega

We consider rough stochastic volatility models where the driving noise of volatility has fractional scaling, in the "rough" regime of Hurst parameter $H < 1/2$. This regime recently attracted a lot of attention both from the statistical and…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2018-03-12 Christian Bayer , Peter K. Friz , Archil Gulisashvili , Blanka Horvath , Benjamin Stemper

In this chapter we first briefly review the existing approaches to hedging in rough volatility models. Next, we present a simple but general result which shows that in a one-factor rough stochastic volatility model, any option may be…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-05-11 Masaaki Fukasawa , Blanka Horvath , Peter Tankov

This paper proposes to model asset price dynamics with a mixture of diffusion processes where the instantaneous volatility of the underlying diffusion process contains a random vector. The marginal probability distributions of the proposed…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-09-20 Xin Liu

Implied volatility IV is a key metric in financial markets, reflecting market expectations of future price fluctuations. Research has explored IV's relationship with moneyness, focusing on its connection to the implied Hurst exponent H. Our…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-12 Daniele Angelini , Fabrizio Di Sciorio

We propose a hybrid estimation procedure to estimate global fixed parameters and subject-specific random effects in a mixed fractional Black-Scholes model based on discrete-time observations. Specifically, we consider $N$ independent…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-13 Nesrine Chebli , Hamdi Fathallah , Yousri Slaoui

We propose a randomised version of the Heston model-a widely used stochastic volatility model in mathematical finance-assuming that the starting point of the variance process is a random variable. In such a system, we study the small-and…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2018-12-07 Antoine Jacquier , Fangwei Shi

Generating realistic synthetic option prices requires implied volatility as an input, yet implied volatility is itself derived from observed option prices, creating a circular dependency that limits synthetic data for machine-learning and…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-15 Julia Sun , Zheyu Jin , Jiawei Zhang , Jeffrey D. Varner

We study the pricing of European-style options written on forward contracts within function-valued infinite-dimensional affine stochastic volatility models. The dynamics of the underlying forward price curves are modeled within the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-14 Jian He , Sven Karbach , Asma Khedher
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