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State-space models are used in a wide range of time series analysis formulations. Kalman filtering and smoothing are work-horse algorithms in these settings. While classic algorithms assume Gaussian errors to simplify estimation, recent…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-07-02 Jonathan Jonker , Aleksandr Y. Aravkin , James V. Burke , Gianluigi Pillonetto , Sarah Webster

In this paper, the problem of state estimation, in the context of both filtering and smoothing, for nonlinear state-space models is considered. Due to the nonlinear nature of the models, the state estimation problem is generally intractable…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-24 Jarrad Courts , Adrian Wills , Thomas B. Schön

Inferring latent dynamics from multivariate time-series defined over topological cell complexes is crucial for capturing the complex, higher-order interactions inherent in real-world systems such as in water, sensor, and transportation…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-21 Chengen Liu , Rohan Money , Ting Gao , Mohammad Sabbaqi , Baltasar Beferull-Lozano , Elvin Isufi

Many practical settings call for the reconstruction of temporal signals from corrupted or missing data. Classic examples include decoding, tracking, signal enhancement and denoising. Since the reconstructed signals are ultimately viewed by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-06 Dror Freirich , Tomer Michaeli , Ron Meir

Motivated by disease progression-related studies, we propose an estimation method for fitting general non-homogeneous multi-state Markov models. The proposal can handle many types of multi-state processes, with several states and various…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-22 Alessia Eletti , Giampiero Marra , Rosalba Radice

In this work, we present methods for state estimation in continuous-discrete nonlinear systems involving stochastic differential equations. We present the extended Kalman filter, the unscented Kalman filter, the ensemble Kalman filter, and…

Motivated by studying asymptotic properties of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) in stochastic volatility (SV) models, in this paper we investigate likelihood estimation in state space models. We first prove, under some regularity…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-11-15 Cheng-Der Fuh

In this paper is proposed a novel incremental iterative Gauss-Newton-Markov-Kalman filter method for state estimation of dynamic models given noisy measurements. The mathematical formulation of the proposed filter is based on the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-09-17 Bojana Rosic

In simulation-based inferences for partially observed Markov process models (POMP), the by-product of the Monte Carlo filtering is an approximation of the log likelihood function. Recently, iterated filtering [14, 13] has originally been…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-26 Dao Nguyen

Matrix completion is a modern missing data problem where both the missing structure and the underlying parameter are high dimensional. Although missing structure is a key component to any missing data problems, existing matrix completion…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-23 Xiaojun Mao , Raymond K. W. Wong , Song Xi Chen

In this paper, we propose two new algorithms for maximum-likelihood estimation (MLE) of high dimensional sparse covariance matrices. Unlike most of the state of-the-art methods, which either use regularization techniques or penalize the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-12 Ghania Fatima , Prabhu Babu , Petre Stoica

Modeling and inference with multivariate sequences is central in a number of signal processing applications such as acoustics, social network analysis, biomedical, and finance, to name a few. The linear-Gaussian state-space model is a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-01-13 Émilie Chouzenoux , Víctor Elvira

Recursive estimation of nonlinear dynamical systems is an important problem that arises in several engineering applications. Consistent and accurate propagation of uncertainties is important to ensuring good estimation performance. It is…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-03-16 Dilshad Raihan Akkam Veettil , Suman Chakravorty

We propose an iterative algorithm that computes the maximum-likelihood estimate in quantum state tomography. The optimization error of the algorithm converges to zero at an $O ( ( 1 / k ) \log D )$ rate, where $k$ denotes the number of…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-10-05 Chien-Ming Lin , Hao-Chung Cheng , Yen-Huan Li

Given a sample of independent and identically distributed random variables, a novel nonparametric maximum entropy method is presented to estimate the underlying continuous univariate probability density function (pdf). Estimates are found…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-30 Jenny Farmer , Donald J. Jacobs

This report addresses the maximum likelihood identification of models for offset-free model predictive control, where linear time-invariant models are augmented with (fictitious) uncontrollable integrating modes, called integrating…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-15 Steven J. Kuntz , James B. Rawlings

Slow feature analysis (SFA), as a method for learning slowly varying features in classification and signal analysis, has attracted increasing attention in recent years. Recent probabilistic extensions to SFA learn effective representations…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-10 Vishal Rishi

We consider mark-recapture-recovery (MRR) data of animals where the model parameters are a function of individual time-varying continuous covariates. For such covariates, the covariate value is unobserved if the corresponding individual is…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-12-02 Roland Langrock , Ruth King

Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC), or particle filtering, is widely used in nonlinear state-space systems, but its performance often suffers from poorly approximated proposal and state-transition distributions. This work introduces a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Wessel L. van Nierop , Nir Shlezinger , Ruud J. G. van Sloun

We introduce a new method to reconstruct unknown quantum states out of incomplete and noisy information. The method is a linear convex optimization problem, therefore with a unique minimum, which can be efficiently solved with Semidefinite…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2011-12-01 Thiago O. Maciel , André T. Cesário , Reinaldo O. Vianna