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Over the last decades, the challenges in applied regression and in predictive modeling have been changing considerably: (1) More flexible model specifications are needed as big(ger) data become available, facilitated by more powerful…

Computation · Statistics 2025-10-07 Nikolaus Umlauf , Nadja Klein , Thorsten Simon , Achim Zeileis

We propose Partition Tree, a novel tree-based framework for conditional density estimation over general outcome spaces that supports both continuous and categorical variables within a unified formulation. Our approach models conditional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-13 Felipe Angelim , Alessandro Leite

There is growing interest in estimating and analyzing heterogeneous treatment effects in experimental and observational studies. We describe a number of meta-algorithms that can take advantage of any supervised learning or regression method…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-18 Sören R. Künzel , Jasjeet S. Sekhon , Peter J. Bickel , Bin Yu

In the fight against hard-to-treat diseases such as cancer, it is often difficult to discover new treatments that benefit all subjects. For regulatory agency approval, it is more practical to identify subgroups of subjects for whom the…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-10-09 Wei-Yin Loh , Xu He , Michael Man

This study introduces and evaluates the Quantile Regressor Tree (QRT), a novel methodology merging the robust characteristics of quantile regression with the versatility of decision trees. The quantile regressor tree introduces…

Applications · Statistics 2024-07-30 Jaachinma Okafor , Lateefah Isegen , Ark Ifeanyi

Decision trees are a commonly used class of machine learning models valued for their interpretability and versatility, capable of both classification and regression. We propose ZTree, a novel decision tree learning framework that replaces…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-17 Eric Cheng , Jie Cheng

We introduce Smart Bayes, a new classification framework that bridges generative and discriminative modeling by integrating likelihood-ratio-based generative features into a logistic-regression-style discriminative classifier. From the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-02 Zachary Terner , Alexander Petersen , Yuedong Wang

In order to speed-up classification models when facing a large number of categories, one usual approach consists in organizing the categories in a particular structure, this structure being then used as a way to speed-up the prediction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-11-26 Aurélia Léon , Ludovic Denoyer

In light of widespread evidence of parameter instability in macroeconomic models, many time-varying parameter (TVP) models have been proposed. This paper proposes a nonparametric TVP-VAR model using Bayesian additive regression trees (BART)…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-05-08 Niko Hauzenberger , Florian Huber , Gary Koop , James Mitchell

Decision trees are powerful machine learning algorithms, widely used in fields such as economics and medicine for their simplicity and interpretability. However, decision trees such as CART are prone to overfitting, especially when grown…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-13 Likun Zhang , Wei Ma

Methods for estimating heterogeneous treatment effect in observational data have largely focused on continuous or binary outcomes, and have been relatively less vetted with survival outcomes. Using flexible machine learning methods in the…

Applications · Statistics 2021-07-09 Liangyuan Hu , Jiayi Ji , Fan Li

Model trees provide an appealing way to perform interpretable machine learning for both classification and regression problems. In contrast to ``classic'' decision trees with constant values in their leaves, model trees can use linear…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-11 Sabino Francesco Roselli , Eibe Frank

Tree-based models are widely recognized for their interpretability and have proven effective in various application domains, particularly in high-stakes domains. However, learning decision trees (DTs) poses a significant challenge due to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-13 Sascha Marton

Motivated by the Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome Network (ARDSNetwork) ARDS respiratory management (ARMA) trial, we developed a flexible Bayesian machine learning approach to estimate the average causal effect and heterogeneous causal…

Applications · Statistics 2024-10-29 Xinyuan Chen , Michael O. Harhay , Guangyu Tong , Fan Li

We propose a variable splitting binary tree (VSBT) model based on Bayesian context tree (BCT) models for time series segmentation. Unlike previous applications of BCT models, the tree structure in our model represents interval partitioning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-23 Yuta Nakahara , Shota Saito , Kohei Horinouchi , Koshi Shimada , Naoki Ichijo , Manabu Kobayashi , Toshiyasu Matsushima

In path planning, anytime almost-surely asymptotically optimal planners dominate the benchmark of sampling-based planners. A notable example is Batch Informed Trees (BIT*), where planners iteratively determine paths to batches of vertices…

Nonparametric regression models such as Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART) can be useful in fitting flexible functions of a set of covariates to a response, while accounting for nonlinearities and interactions. However, they are…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-02 Bonifride Tuyishimire , Brent R Logan , Purushottam W Laud

High-dimensional categorical data arise in diverse scientific domains and are often accompanied by covariates. Latent class regression models are routinely used in such settings, reducing dimensionality by assuming conditional independence…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-28 Yuren Zhou , Yuqi Gu , David B. Dunson

Reduced-rank (RR) regression may be interpreted as a dimensionality reduction technique able to reveal complex relationships among the data parsimoniously. However, RR regression models typically overlook any potential group structure among…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-26 Maria F. Pintado , Matteo Iacopini , Luca Rossini , Alexander Y. Shestopaloff

Decision Trees are some of the most popular machine learning models today due to their out-of-the-box performance and interpretability. Often, Decision Trees models are constructed greedily in a top-down fashion via heuristic search…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-16 Colin Sullivan , Mo Tiwari , Sebastian Thrun , Chris Piech