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Global climate projections rely on computationally demanding Earth System Models (ESMs), which are typically limited to coarse spatial resolutions due to their high cost. To obtain high-resolution projections for regions of interest, it is…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-05 Erik Larsson , Ramon Fuentes-Franco , Mikhail Ivanov , Fredrik Lindsten

The increasing volume of space objects in Earth's orbit presents a significant challenge for Space Situational Awareness (SSA). And in particular, accurate orbit prediction is crucial to anticipate the position and velocity of space…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-24 Francisco Caldas , Cláudia Soares

We present a novel population-based Bayesian inference approach to model the average and population variance of spatial distribution of a set of observables from ensemble analysis of low signal-to-noise ratio measurements. The method…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2020-12-23 Arya Farahi , Daisuke Nagai , Yang Chen

Studying the effects of air-pollution on health is a key area in environmental epidemiology. An accurate estimation of air-pollution effects requires spatio-temporally resolved datasets of air-pollution, especially, Fine Particulate Matter…

Applications · Statistics 2019-03-27 Ron Sarafian , Itai Kloog , Allan C. Just , Johnathan D. Rosenblatt

Weather forecasting is a crucial task for meteorologic research, with direct social and economic impacts. Recently, data-driven weather forecasting models based on deep learning have shown great potential, achieving superior performance…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-08-26 Lihao Gan , Xin Man , Chenghong Zhang , Jie Shao

Robust atmospheric and radiative transfer modeling will be required to properly interpret reflected light and thermal emission spectra of terrestrial exoplanets. This will help break observational degeneracies between the numerous…

Traditional numerical global climate models simulate the full Earth system by exchanging boundary conditions between separate simulators of the atmosphere, ocean, sea ice, land surface, and other geophysical processes. This paradigm allows…

Meteoroids pose one of the largest risks to spacecraft outside of low Earth orbit. In order to correctly predict the rate at which meteoroids impact and damage spacecraft, environment models must describe the mass, directionality, velocity,…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2019-09-30 Althea V. Moorhead , Aaron Kingery , Steven Ehlert

Global Storm-Resolving Models (GSRMs) have gained widespread interest because of the unprecedented detail with which they resolve the global climate. However, it remains difficult to quantify objective differences in how GSRMs resolve…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-12-05 Griffin Mooers , Mike Pritchard , Tom Beucler , Prakhar Srivastava , Harshini Mangipudi , Liran Peng , Pierre Gentine , Stephan Mandt

We propose an extension of the non-homogeneous Gaussian regression (NGR) model by Gneiting et al. (2005) that yields locally calibrated probabilistic forecasts of tem- perature, based on the output of an ensemble prediction system (EPS).…

Applications · Statistics 2014-04-29 Michael Scheuerer , Luca Büermann

We propose DOME, a diffusion-based world model that predicts future occupancy frames based on past occupancy observations. The ability of this world model to capture the evolution of the environment is crucial for planning in autonomous…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-10-15 Songen Gu , Wei Yin , Bu Jin , Xiaoyang Guo , Junming Wang , Haodong Li , Qian Zhang , Xiaoxiao Long

Real-world systems are often characterized by high-dimensional nonlinear dynamics, making them challenging to control in real time. While reduced-order models (ROMs) are frequently employed in model-based control schemes, dimensionality…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-09-13 John Irvin Alora , Luis A. Pabon , Johannes Köhler , Mattia Cenedese , Ed Schmerling , Melanie N. Zeilinger , George Haller , Marco Pavone

The continuous improvement in weather forecast skill over the past several decades is largely due to the increasing quantity of available satellite observations and their assimilation into operational forecast systems. Assimilating these…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-04-24 Lucas Howard , Aneesh C. Subramanian , Gregory Thompson , Benjamin Johnson , Thomas Auligne

The simulation of atmospheric flows by means of traditional discretization methods remains computationally intensive, hindering the achievement of high forecasting accuracy in short time frames. In this paper, we apply three reduced order…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-07-19 Arash Hajisharifi , Michele Girfoglio , Annalisa Quaini , Gianluigi Rozza

Modeling thermal states for complex space missions, such as the surface exploration of airless bodies, requires high computation, whether used in ground-based analysis for spacecraft design or during onboard reasoning for autonomous…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-06 Manaswin Oddiraju , Zaki Hasnain , Saptarshi Bandyopadhyay , Eric Sunada , Souma Chowdhury

The real-time monitoring of the structural displacement of the Vacuum Vessel (VV) of thermonuclear fusion devices caused by electromagnetic (EM) loads is of great interest. In this paper, Model Order Reduction (MOR) is applied to the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-05-03 Francesco Lucchini , Alessandro Frescura , Riccardo Torchio , Piergiorgio Alotto , Paolo Bettini

The efficient condition assessment of engineered systems requires the coupling of high fidelity models with data extracted from the state of the system `as-is'. In enabling this task, this paper implements a parametric Model Order Reduction…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-07-25 Konstantinos Vlachas , Konstantinos Tatsis , Konstantinos Agathos , Adam R. Brink , Eleni Chatzi

In recent years, numerical methods in industrial applications have evolved from a pure predictive tool towards a means for optimization and control. Since standard numerical analysis methods have become prohibitively costly in such…

Computational Physics · Physics 2021-04-23 Artūrs Bērziņš , Jan Helmig , Fabian Key , Stefanie Elgeti

The proliferation of data-driven models in weather and climate sciences has marked a significant paradigm shift, with advanced models demonstrating exceptional skill in medium-range forecasting. However, these models are often limited by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-17 Haiwen Guan , Moein Darman , Dibyajyoti Chakraborty , Troy Arcomano , Ashesh Chattopadhyay , Romit Maulik

To identify promising exoplanets for atmospheric characterization and to make the best use of observational data, a thorough understanding of their atmospheres is needed. 3D general circulation models (GCMs) are one of the most…