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Related papers: Various Logistic Curves in SIS and SIR Models

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The SIR model is used extensively in the field of epidemiology, in particular, for the analysis of communal diseases. One problem with SIR and other existing models is that they are tailored to random or Erdos type networks since they do…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-10-22 M. S. S. Khan

We investigate final outcome properties of an SIR (susceptible $\to$ infective $\to$ recovered) epidemic model defined on a population of large sub-communities in which there is stronger disease transmission within the communities than…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-08 Frank Ball , David Sirl , Pieter Trapman

Compartmental epidemic models, grounded in mass-action kinetics, often assume homogeneous mixing. Although this neglects network structure, recent results show that for Poisson random graphs, the classical SIR model, especially the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-04-28 Akshara Bhat , Abhishek Deshpande , Chittaranjan Hens , Subrata Ghosh

We focus on an epidemiological model (the archetypical SIR system) defined on graphs and study the asymptotic behavior of the solutions as the number of vertices in the graph diverges. By relying on the theory of so called graphons we…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2023-10-27 Blanca Ayuso de Dios , Simone Dovetta , Laura V. Spinolo

We introduce a stochastic SIR-type partial differential equation model incorporating random diffusion, reinfection, vital dynamics, and a randomly varying transmission rate. For the associated random dynamical system, we prove the existence…

Some modified versions of susceptible-infected-recovered-susceptible (SIRS) model are defined on small-world networks. Latency, incubation and variable susceptibility are included, separately. Phase transitions in these models are studied.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-08-31 H. N. Agiza , A. S. Elgazzar , S. A. Youssef

Some recent works reveal that there are models of differential equations for the mean and variance of infected individuals that reproduce the SIS epidemic model at some point. This stochastic SIS epidemic model can be interpreted as a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-08-07 Oğul Esen , Eduardo Fernández-Saiz , Cristina Sardón , Marcin Zając

The paper presents some distributional properties of logistic order statistics subject to independent exponential one-sided and two-sided shifts. Utilizing these properties, we extend several known results and obtain some new…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-12-20 M. Ahsanullah , George P. Yanev , Constantin Onica

We investigate predictions of stochastic compartmental models on the severity of disease outbreaks. The models we consider are the Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible (SIS) for bacterial infections, and the Susceptible -Infected-Removed (SIR)…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-04-21 Sunia Tanweer , Konstantinos Mamis , Firas A. Khasawneh

Incidence vs Cumulative Cases (ICC) curves are introduced and shown to provide a simple framework for parameter identification in the case of the most elementary epidemiological model, consisting of susceptible, infected, and removed…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-04-14 Joceline Lega

We discuss the criticality in the stochastic SIR model for infectious diseases. We adopt the path-integral formalism for the propagation of infections among susceptible, infectious, and removed individuals, and perform the perturbative and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-02-14 Shigehiro Yasui , Yutaka Hatakeyama , Yoshiyasu Okuhara

A plethora of prediction models of SARS-CoV-2 pandemic were proposed in the past. Prediction performances not only depend on the structure and features of the model, but also on its parametrization. Official databases are often biased due…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-09-27 Yuri Kheifetz , Holger Kirsten , Markus Scholz

LASSO regularized logistic regression is particularly useful for its built-in feature selection, allowing coefficients to be removed from deployment and producing sparse solutions. Differentially private versions of LASSO logistic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-02 Amol Khanna , Fred Lu , Edward Raff , Brian Testa

We investigate SIR models with vital dynamics, reinfection, and randomness at the transmission coefficient and recruitment rate. Initially, we conduct an extensive analysis of the autonomous scenario, covering aspects such as local and…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-04-22 Javier López-de-la-Cruz , Alexandre N. Oliveira-Sousa

Natural fluctuations have played a crucial role in affecting the dynamics of pervasive diseases such as the coronavirus. Examining the effects of irregular unsettling disturbances on epidemic models is important for understanding these…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-12-17 Daniel Tesfay , Almaz Tesfay , James Brannan

We consider the reduction of an elliptic curve defined over the rational numbers modulo primes in a given arithmetic progression and investigate how often the subgroup of rational points of this reduced curve is cyclic as a special case of…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-29 Yildirim Akbal , Ahmet Muhtar Guloglu

Heterogeneity is an important property of any population experiencing a disease. Here we apply general methods of the theory of heterogeneous populations to the simplest mathematical models in epidemiology. In particular, an SIR…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-02-28 Artem S Novozhilov

We consider a stochastic Susceptible-Exposed-Infected-Recovered (SEIR) epidemiological model. Through the use of a normal form coordinate transform, we are able to analytically derive the stochastic center manifold along with the…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2015-05-13 Eric Forgoston , Lora Billings , Ira B. Schwartz

In this work, we obtain the Fourier transform of the first derivative of the generalized logistic growth curve in terms of Gamma functions and we discuss special cases.

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2015-02-26 Ayse Humeyra Bilge , Yunus Ozdemir

If one isolated species is supposed to evolve following the logistic mapping, then we are tempted to think that the dynamics of two species can be expressed by a coupled system of two discrete logistic equations. As three basic…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2007-05-23 R. Lopez-Ruiz , D. Fournier-Prunaret