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Most studies in real time change-point detection either focus on the linear model or use the CUSUM method under classical assumptions on model errors. This paper considers the sequential change-point detection in a nonlinear quantile model.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-05-03 Gabriela Ciuperca

As contemporary software-intensive systems reach increasingly large scale, it is imperative that failure detection schemes be developed to help prevent costly system downtimes. A promising direction towards the construction of such schemes…

Applications · Statistics 2016-09-27 Alexey Artemov , Evgeny Burnaev

Structural changes occur in dynamic networks quite frequently and its detection is an important question in many situations such as fraud detection or cybersecurity. Real-life networks are often incompletely observed due to individual…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-14 Farida Enikeeva , Olga Klopp

We consider the offline change point detection and localization problem in the context of piecewise stationary networks, where the observable is a finite sequence of networks. We develop algorithms involving some suitably modified CUSUM…

Changepoints are abrupt variations in the underlying distribution of data. Detecting changes in a data stream is an important problem with many applications. In this paper, we are interested in changepoint detection algorithms which operate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-12 Zhaohui Wang , Xiao Lin , Abhinav Mishra , Ram Sriharsha

Change-point detection studies the problem of detecting the changes in the underlying distribution of the data stream as soon as possible after the change happens. Modern large-scale, high-dimensional, and complex streaming data call for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-05 Haoyun Wang , Yao Xie

Sequential change-point detection plays a critical role in numerous real-world applications, where timely identification of distributional shifts can greatly mitigate adverse outcomes. Classical methods commonly rely on parametric density…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-23 Wenbin Zhou , Liyan Xie , Zhigang Peng , Shixiang Zhu

In this paper, we propose a new test for the detection of a change in a non-linear (auto-)regressive time series as well as a corresponding estimator for the unknown time point of the change. To this end, we consider an at-most-one-change…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-15 Claudia Kirch , Stefanie Schwaar

Change points in real-world systems mark significant regime shifts in system dynamics, possibly triggered by exogenous or endogenous factors. These points define regimes for the time evolution of the system and are crucial for understanding…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-30 Ioanna-Yvonni Tsaknaki , Fabrizio Lillo , Piero Mazzarisi

We investigate active learning in the context of deep neural network models for change detection and map updating. Active learning is a natural choice for a number of remote sensing tasks, including the detection of local surface changes:…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-08-26 Vít Růžička , Stefano D'Aronco , Jan Dirk Wegner , Konrad Schindler

Sequential sensor data is generated in a wide variety of practical applications. A fundamental challenge involves learning effective classifiers for such sequential data. While deep learning has led to impressive performance gains in recent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-07 Nauman Ahad , Mark A. Davenport

When recording the movement of individual animals, cells or molecules one will often observe changes in their diffusive behaviour at certain points in time along their trajectory. In order to capture the different diffusive modes assembled…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-10-21 Henrik Seckler , Ralf Metzler

Automated analysis of complex systems based on multiple readouts remains a challenge. Change point detection algorithms are aimed to locating abrupt changes in the time series behaviour of a process. In this paper, we present a novel change…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-05 Artem Ryzhikov , Mikhail Hushchyn , Denis Derkach

We study sequential change-point detection for spatio-temporal point processes, where actionable detection requires not only identifying when a distributional change occurs but also localizing where it manifests in space. While classical…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-05 Wenbin Zhou , Liyan Xie , Shixiang Zhu

Offline change point detection retrospectively locates change points in a time series. Many nonparametric methods that target i.i.d. mean and variance changes fail in the presence of nonlinear temporal dependence, and model based methods…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-09-19 Noah D. Gade , Jordan Rodu

We develop a new method to detect anomalies within time series, which is essential in many application domains, reaching from self-driving cars, finance, and marketing to medical diagnosis and epidemiology. The method is based on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-22 Tim Schneider , Chen Qiu , Marius Kloft , Decky Aspandi Latif , Steffen Staab , Stephan Mandt , Maja Rudolph

We suggest a novel procedure for online change point detection. Our approach expands an idea of maximizing a discrepancy measure between points from pre-change and post-change distributions. This leads to flexible algorithms suitable for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-24 Nikita Puchkin , Artur Goldman , Konstantin Yakovlev , Valeriia Dzis , Uliana Vinogradova

Change-point detection (CPD) aims to detect abrupt changes over time series data. Intuitively, effective CPD over multivariate time series should require explicit modeling of the dependencies across input variables. However, existing CPD…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-15 Ruohong Zhang , Yu Hao , Donghan Yu , Wei-Cheng Chang , Guokun Lai , Yiming Yang

Change-point detection and estimation procedures have been widely developed in the literature. However, commonly used approaches in change-point analysis have mainly been focusing on detecting change-points within an entire time series…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-27 Chak Fung Choi , Chunxue Li , Chun Yip Yau , Zifeng Zhao

In contemporary data analysis, it is increasingly common to work with non-stationary complex data sets. These data sets typically extend beyond the classical low-dimensional Euclidean space, making it challenging to detect shifts in their…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-29 Rohit Kanrar , Feiyu Jiang , Zhanrui Cai