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This paper addresses the task of set prediction using deep learning. This is important because the output of many computer vision tasks, including image tagging and object detection, are naturally expressed as sets of entities rather than…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-08-14 S. Hamid Rezatofighi , Vijay Kumar B G , Anton Milan , Ehsan Abbasnejad , Anthony Dick , Ian Reid

Estimating the ratio of two probability densities from a finite number of observations is a central machine learning problem. A common approach is to construct estimators using binary classifiers that distinguish observations from the two…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-28 Werner Zellinger

Learning a parametric model from a given dataset indeed enables to capture intrinsic dependencies between random variables via a parametric conditional probability distribution and in turn predict the value of a label variable given…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-14 Elouan Argouarc'h , François Desbouvries , Eric Barat , Eiji Kawasaki

Score-based generative modeling, informally referred to as diffusion models, continue to grow in popularity across several important domains and tasks. While they provide high-quality and diverse samples from empirical distributions,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-12-29 Jacopo Teneggi , Matthew Tivnan , J. Webster Stayman , Jeremias Sulam

Many safety failures in machine learning arise when models are used to assign predictions to people (often in settings like lending, hiring, or content moderation) without accounting for how individuals can change their inputs. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-04 Seung Hyun Cheon , Meredith Stewart , Bogdan Kulynych , Tsui-Wei Weng , Berk Ustun

Recent advances in generative modeling have led to an increased interest in the study of statistical divergences as means of model comparison. Commonly used evaluation methods, such as the Frechet Inception Distance (FID), correlate well…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-30 Mehdi S. M. Sajjadi , Olivier Bachem , Mario Lucic , Olivier Bousquet , Sylvain Gelly

The Poisson distribution is the default choice of likelihood for probabilistic models of count data. However, due to the equidispersion contraint of the Poisson, such models may have predictive uncertainty that is artificially inflated.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-15 Jimmy Lederman , Aaron Schein

Creating impact in real-world settings requires artificial intelligence techniques to span the full pipeline from data, to predictive models, to decisions. These components are typically approached separately: a machine learning model is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-22 Bryan Wilder , Bistra Dilkina , Milind Tambe

Predictive models that generalize well under distributional shift are often desirable and sometimes crucial to building robust and reliable machine learning applications. We focus on distributional shift that arises in causal inference from…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-02-27 Fredrik D. Johansson , Nathan Kallus , Uri Shalit , David Sontag

When machine learning models are deployed on a test distribution different from the training distribution, they can perform poorly, but overestimate their performance. In this work, we aim to better estimate a model's performance under…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-08 Ching-Yao Chuang , Antonio Torralba , Stefanie Jegelka

It is becoming increasingly common in regression to train neural networks that model the entire distribution even if only the mean is required for prediction. This additional modeling often comes with performance gain and the reasons behind…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-22 Ehsan Imani , Kai Luedemann , Sam Scholnick-Hughes , Esraa Elelimy , Martha White

In many large-scale classification problems, classes are organized in a known hierarchy, typically represented as a tree expressing the inclusion of classes in superclasses. We introduce a loss for this type of supervised hierarchical…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-11-26 Nicolas Urbani , Sylvain Rousseau , Yves Grandvalet , Leonardo Tanzi

Generative models are now capable of producing highly realistic images that look nearly indistinguishable from the data on which they are trained. This raises the question: if we have good enough generative models, do we still need…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-03-17 Ali Jahanian , Xavier Puig , Yonglong Tian , Phillip Isola

In model-based reinforcement learning, simulated experiences from the learned model are often treated as equivalent to experience from the real environment. However, when the model is inaccurate, it can catastrophically interfere with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-25 Erin J. Talvitie , Zilei Shao , Huiying Li , Jinghan Hu , Jacob Boerma , Rory Zhao , Xintong Wang

When modeling a probability distribution with a Bayesian network, we are faced with the problem of how to handle continuous variables. Most previous work has either solved the problem by discretizing, or assumed that the data are generated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-02-21 George H. John , Pat Langley

Deep generative models (DGMs) seem a natural fit for detecting out-of-distribution (OOD) inputs, but such models have been shown to assign higher probabilities or densities to OOD images than images from the training distribution. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-20 Lily H. Zhang , Mark Goldstein , Rajesh Ranganath

We consider estimating the predictive density under Kullback-Leibler loss in an $\ell_0$ sparse Gaussian sequence model. Explicit expressions of the first order minimax risk along with its exact constant, asymptotically least favorable…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-04 Gourab Mukherjee , Iain M. Johnstone

Calibrating blackbox machine learning models to achieve risk control is crucial to ensure reliable decision-making. A rich line of literature has been studying how to calibrate a model so that its predictions satisfy explicit finite-sample…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-02 Victor Li , Baiting Chen , Yuzhen Mao , Qi Lei , Zhun Deng

Diffusion models generate high-quality synthetic data. They operate by defining a continuous-time forward process which gradually adds Gaussian noise to data until fully corrupted. The corresponding reverse process progressively "denoises"…

Validating safety-critical autonomous systems in high-dimensional domains such as robotics presents a significant challenge. Existing black-box approaches based on Markov chain Monte Carlo may require an enormous number of samples, while…

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