English
Related papers

Related papers: Heavy-Tailed Loss Frequencies from Mixtures of Neg…

200 papers

The analysis of risk typically involves dividing a random damage-generation process into separate frequency (event-count) and severity (damage-magnitude) components. In the present article, we construct canonical families of mixture…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-07 Michael R. Powers , Jiaxin Xu

Mixed Poisson distributions provide a flexible approach to the analysis of count data with overdispersion, zero inflation, or heavy tails. Since the Poisson mean must be nonnegative, the mixing distribution is typically assumed to have…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-20 F. William Townes

Despite the successes of probabilistic models based on passing noise through neural networks, recent work has identified that such methods often fail to capture tail behavior accurately, unless the tails of the base distribution are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-16 Feynman Liang , Liam Hodgkinson , Michael W. Mahoney

In the study of heavy tail data, several models have been introduced. If the interest is in the tail of the distribution, block maxima or excess over thresholds are the typical approaches, wasting relevant information in the bulk of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-10 Luis E. Nieto-Barajas

The collective risk model differentiates usually between claims frequencies (and their distribution) and claim sizes (and their distribution). For the claims frequencies typically classical discrete distributions are considered, such as…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-12 Dietmar Pfeifer

The negative binomial distribution has been widely used as a more flexible model than the Poisson distribution for count data. However, when the true data-generating process is Poisson, it is often challenging to distinguish it from a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-07 Yingying Yang , Niloufar Dousti Mousavi , Zhou Yu , Jie Yang

Heavy-tailed distributions naturally occur in many real life problems. Unfortunately, it is typically not possible to compute inference in closed-form in graphical models which involve such heavy-tailed distributions. In this work, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2011-03-22 Danny Bickson , Carlos Guestrin

Insurance data can be asymmetric with heavy tails, causing inadequate adjustments of the usually applied models. To deal with this issue, hierarchical models for collective risk with heavy-tails of the claims distributions that take also…

Applications · Statistics 2021-01-26 Pamela M. Chiroque-Solano , Fernando A. S. Moura

We consider the fitting of heavy tailed data and distribution with a special attention to distributions with a non--standard shape in the "body" of the distribution. To this end we consider a dense class of heavy tailed distributions…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-05-15 Mogens Bladt , Leonardo Rojas-Nandayapa

We consider phase-type scale mixture distributions which correspond to distributions of a product of two independent random variables: a phase-type random variable $Y$ and a nonnegative but otherwise arbitrary random variable $S$ called the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-16 Leonardo Rojas-Nandayapa , Wangyue Xie

An important question in health services research is the estimation of the proportion of medical expenditures that exceed a given threshold. Typically, medical expenditures present highly skewed, heavy tailed distributions, for which (a)…

Applications · Statistics 2008-07-30 Sergio Venturini , Francesca Dominici , Giovanni Parmigiani

Count regression models are necessary for examining discrete dependent variables alongside covariates. Nonetheless, when data display outliers, overdispersion, and an abundance of zeros, traditional methods like the zero-inflated negative…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-03 Touqeer Ahmad , Abid Hussain

An expanded family of mixtures of multivariate power exponential distributions is introduced. While fitting heavy-tails and skewness has received much attention in the model-based clustering literature recently, we investigate the use of a…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-15 Utkarsh J. Dang , Ryan P. Browne , Paul D. McNicholas

We develop an unsupervised mixture model for non-negative, skewed and heavy-tailed data, such as losses in actuarial and risk management applications. The mixture has a lognormal component, which is usually appropriate for the body of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-29 Marco Bee , Flavio Santi

We discuss non-Gaussian random matrices whose elements are random variables with heavy-tailed probability distributions. In probability theory heavy tails of the distributions describe rare but violent events which usually have dominant…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2009-11-08 Z. Burda , J. Jurkiewicz

The four-parameter generalized beta distribution of the second kind (GBII) has been proposed for modelling insurance losses with heavy-tailed features. The aim of this paper is to present a parametric composite GBII regression modelling by…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-29 Zhengxiao Li , Fei Wang , Zhengtang Zhao

We offer a survey of recent results on covariance estimation for heavy-tailed distributions. By unifying ideas scattered in the literature, we propose user-friendly methods that facilitate practical implementation. Specifically, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-12 Yuan Ke , Stanislav Minsker , Zhao Ren , Qiang Sun , Wen-Xin Zhou

We study heavy-tailed Hermitian random matrices that are unitarily invariant. The invariance implies that the eigenvalue and eigenvector statistics are decoupled. The motivating question has been whether a freely stable random matrix has…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2021-09-27 Mario Kieburg , Adam Monteleone

Catastrophic loss data are known to be heavy-tailed. Practitioners then need models that are able to capture both tail and modal parts of claim data. To this purpose, a new parametric family of loss distributions is proposed as a gamma…

Applications · Statistics 2019-12-23 Zhengxiao Li , Jan Beirlant , Shengwang Meng

Accuracy and interpretability of a (non-life) insurance pricing model are essential qualities to ensure fair and transparent premiums for policy-holders, that reflect their risk. In recent years, the classification and regression trees…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-12-04 Yaojun Zhang , Lanpeng Ji , Georgios Aivaliotis , Charles Taylor
‹ Prev 1 2 3 10 Next ›