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We consider a stable but nearly unstable autoregressive process of any order. The bridge between stability and instability is expressed by a time-varying companion matrix $A_{n}$ with spectral radius $\rho(A_{n}) < 1$ satisfying…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-17 Frédéric Proïa

This paper deals with unit root issues in time series analysis. It has been known for a long time that unit root tests may be flawed when a series although stationary has a root close to unity. That motivated recent papers dedicated to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-04 Marie Badreau , Frédéric Proïa

Discrete-time affine processes are widely used in finance and economics and encompass count, positive, and nonnegative-valued processes. This paper develops near-unit-root asymptotic theory for this class of models. Unlike linear AR(1)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-28 Gael Anne , Yang Lu , Xuewen Yu , Xiaowen Zhou

This article develops a moderate-deviation limit theory for autoregressive models with jointly persistent mean and volatility dynamics. The autoregressive coefficient is allowed to drift toward unity slower than the classical 1/n rate,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-26 Abir Sarkar , Martin T. Wells

This paper considers non-negative integer-valued autoregressive processes where the autoregression parameter is close to unity. We consider the asymptotics of this `near unit root' situation. The local asymptotic structure of the likelihood…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-06-12 Feike C. Drost , Ramon van den Akker , Bas J. M. Werker

In this paper, we present the asymptotic distribution of M-estimators for parameters in non-stationary AR(p) processes. The innovations are assumed to be in the domain of attraction of a stable law with index $0<\alpha\le2$. In particular,…

Applications · Statistics 2016-12-13 Maryam Sohrabi , Mahmoud Zarepour

Our aim in this paper is to investigate the asymptotic behavior of solutions of the perturbed linear fractional differential system. We show that if the original linear autonomous system is asymptotically stable then under the action of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-08-24 N. D. Cong , T. S. Doan , H. T. Tuan

We investigate the asymptotic behavior of sample functions of stable processes when $t{\to}\infty$. We compare our results with the iterated logarithm law, results for the first hitting time and most visited sites problems.

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Lev Sakhnovich

For estimating the unknown parameters in an unstable autoregressive AR(p), the paper proposes sequential least squares estimates with a special stopping time defined by the trace of the observed Fisher information matrix. The limiting…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-10-07 Leonid Galtchouk , Victor Konev

We study the asymptotic behavior of the least squares estimators of the unknown parameters of bifurcating autoregressive processes. Under very weak assumptions on the driven noise of the process, namely conditional pair-wise independence…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-06-29 Bernard Bercu , Benoite de Saporta , Anne Gegout-Petit

This paper considers the effect of least squares procedures for nearly unstable linear time series with strongly dependent innovations. Under a general framework and appropriate scaling, it is shown that ordinary least squares procedures…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Boris Buchmann , Ngai Hang Chan

We study the estimation of a stable Cox-Ingersoll-Ross model, which is a special subcritical continuous-state branching process with immigration. The process is characterized in terms of some stochastic equations. The exponential ergodicity…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-01-16 Zenghu Li , Chunhua Ma

Asymptotic output stability (AOS) is an interesting property when addressing control applications in which not all state variables are requested to converge to the origin. AOS is often established by invoking classical tools such as…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-12-15 Iasson Karafyllis , Antoine Chaillet

This paper introduces a Nearly Unstable INteger-valued AutoRegressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (NU-INARCH) process for dealing with count time series data. It is proved that a proper normalization of the NU-INARCH process endowed with…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-19 Wagner Barreto-Souza , Ngai Hang Chan

In this paper, the linear stability theory of an incompressible asymptotic suction boundary layer was studied. A small disturbance was introduced spatially in a streamwise direction to the laminar base flow with various wavenumber $\alpha =…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-08-02 Ressa Octavianty , Triwanto Simanjuntak

We provide Lyapunov-like characterizations of boundedness and convergence of non-trivial solutions for a class of systems with unstable invariant sets. Examples of systems to which the results may apply include interconnections of stable…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2013-06-12 A. Gorban , I. Tyukin , E. Steur , H. Nijmeijer

We discuss in detail the asymptotic distribution of sample expectiles. First, we show uniform consistency under the assumption of a finite mean. In case of a finite second moment, we show that for expectiles other then the mean, only the…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-07-14 Hajo Holzmann , Bernhard Klar

We study the asymptotic stability properties of nonlinear switched systems under the assumption of the existence of a common weak Lyapunov function. We consider the class of nonchaotic inputs, which generalize the different notions of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2012-10-29 Philippe Jouan , Naciri Saïd

Let $E$ be a space of observables in a sequence of trials $\xi_n$ and define $m_n$ to be the empirical distributions of the outcomes. We discuss the almost sure convergence of the sequence $m_n$ in terms of the $\psi$-weak topology of…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-24 José L. Fernández , Enrico Ferri , Carlos Vázquez

We consider covariance parameter estimation for Gaussian processes with functional inputs. From an increasing-domain asymptotics perspective, we prove the asymptotic consistency and normality of the maximum likelihood estimator. We extend…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-16 Lucas Reding , Andrés F. López-Lopera , François Bachoc
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