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Classification and clustering are both important topics in statistical learning. A natural question herein is whether predefined classes are really different from one another, or whether clusters are really there. Specifically, we may be…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-09-22 Qiyi Lu , Xingye Qiao

In many fields of research null hypothesis significance tests and p values are the accepted way of assessing the degree of certainty with which research results can be extrapolated beyond the sample studied. However, there are very serious…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-14 Michael Wood

Given an input query, generative models such as large language models produce a random response drawn from a response distribution. Given two input queries, it is natural to ask if their response distributions are the same. While…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-16 Aranyak Acharyya , Carey E. Priebe , Hayden S. Helm

In the framework of semiparametric distribution regression, we consider the problem of comparing the conditional distribution functions corresponding to two samples. In contrast to testing for exact equality, we are interested in the (null)…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-06-12 Holger Dette , Kathrin Möllenhoff , Dominik Wied

Practical problems with missing data are common, and statistical methods have been developed concerning the validity and/or efficiency of statistical procedures. On a central focus, there have been longstanding interests on the mechanism…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-26 Rui Duan , C. Jason Liang , Pamela Shaw , Cheng Yong Tang , Yong Chen

Simulation-based inference plays a major role in modern statistics, and often employs either reallocating (as in a randomization test) or resampling (as in bootstrapping). Reallocating mimics random allocation to treatment groups, while…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-08-08 Kari Lock Morgan

The statistics and machine learning communities have recently seen a growing interest in classification-based approaches to two-sample testing. The outcome of a classification-based two-sample test remains a rejection decision, which is not…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-15 Loris Michel , Jeffrey Näf , Nicolai Meinshausen

In this paper, we develop invariance-based procedures for testing and inference in high-dimensional regression models. These procedures, also known as randomization tests, provide several important advantages. First, for the global null…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-27 Wenxuan Guo , Panos Toulis

I present a critique of the methods used in a typical paper. This leads to three broad conclusions about the conventional use of statistical methods. First, results are often reported in an unnecessarily obscure manner. Second, the null…

Applications · Statistics 2013-03-05 Michael Wood

Statistical hypothesis tests typically use prespecified sample sizes, yet data often arrive sequentially. Interim analyses invalidate classical error guarantees, while existing sequential methods require rigid testing preschedules or incur…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-17 Chris Holmes , Stephen Walker

After variable selection, standard inferential procedures for regression parameters may not be uniformly valid; there is no finite-sample size at which a standard test is guaranteed to approximately attain its nominal size. This problem is…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-07 Oliver Dukes , Vahe Avagyan , Stijn Vansteelandt

Distribution testing is a fundamental statistical task with many applications, but we are interested in a variety of problems where systematic mislabelings of the sample prevent us from applying the existing theory. To apply distribution…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2023-04-05 Renato Ferreira Pinto , Nathaniel Harms

For testing the statistical significance of a treatment effect, we usually compare between two parts of a population, one is exposed to the treatment, and the other is not exposed to it. Standard parametric and nonparametric two-sample…

Computation · Statistics 2012-11-02 Bikram Karmakar , Kumaresh Dhara , Kushal Kumar Dey , Analabha Basu , Anil Ghosh

Hypothesis testing in singular statistical models is often regarded as inherently problematic due to non-identifiability and degeneracy of the Fisher information. We show that the fundamental obstruction to testing in such models is not…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-02 Sean Plummer

How should researchers analyze randomized experiments in which the main outcome is latent and measured in multiple ways but each measure contains some degree of error? We first identify a critical study-specific noncomparability problem in…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-13 Jiawei Fu , Donald P. Green

We show that publishing results using the statistical significance filter---publishing only when the p-value is less than 0.05---leads to a vicious cycle of overoptimistic expectation of the replicability of results. First, we show…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-16 Shravan Vasishth , Andrew Gelman

In clinical and epidemiological research doubly truncated data often appear. This is the case, for instance, when the data registry is formed by interval sampling. Double truncation generally induces a sampling bias on the target variable,…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-11 Jacobo de Uña-Álvarez

The controversy about statistical significance vs. scientific relevance is more than 100 years old. But still nowadays null hypothesis significance testing is considered as gold standard in many empirical fields from economics and social…

Applications · Statistics 2022-11-23 Uwe Hassler

Many researchers have identified distribution shift as a likely contributor to the reproducibility crisis in behavioral and biomedical sciences. The idea is that if treatment effects vary across individual characteristics and experimental…

Applications · Statistics 2023-09-06 Ying Jin , Kevin Guo , Dominik Rothenhäusler

Many testing problems are readily amenable to randomised tests such as those employing data splitting. However despite their usefulness in principle, randomised tests have obvious drawbacks. Firstly, two analyses of the same dataset may…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-05 F. Richard Guo , Rajen D. Shah