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We present a general approach to constructing permutation tests that are both exact for the null hypothesis of equality of distributions and asymptotically correct for testing equality of parameters of distributions while allowing the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-12 Colin B. Fogarty

Probabilistic metrology attempts to improve parameter estimation by occasionally reporting an excellent estimate and the rest of the time either guessing or doing nothing at all. Here we show that probabilistic metrology can never improve…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2014-05-21 Joshua Combes , Christopher Ferrie , Zhang Jiang , Carlton M. Caves

We consider the problem of testing the equality of conditional distributions of a response variable given a vector of covariates between two populations. Such a hypothesis testing problem can be motivated from various machine learning and…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-24 Xiaoyu Hu , Jing Lei

Permutation tests are a popular choice for distinguishing distributions and testing independence, due to their exact, finite-sample control of false positives and their minimax optimality when paired with U-statistics. However, standard…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-26 Carles Domingo-Enrich , Raaz Dwivedi , Lester Mackey

Statistical experiments often seek to identify random variables with the largest population means. This inferential task, known as rank verification, has been well-studied on Gaussian data with equal variances. This work provides the first…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-15 Jeremy Goldwasser , Will Fithian , Giles Hooker

A nonparametric variant of the Kiefer--Weiss problem is proposed and investigated. In analogy to the classical Kiefer--Weiss problem, the objective is to minimize the maximum expected sample size of a sequential test. However, instead of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-26 Michael Fauß , H. Vincent Poor

We propose a nonparametric sequential test that aims to address two practical problems pertinent to online randomized experiments: (i) how to do a hypothesis test for complex metrics; (ii) how to prevent type $1$ error inflation under…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-06-28 Vineet Abhishek , Shie Mannor

Statistical hypothesis testing serves as statistical evidence for scientific innovation. However, if the reported results are intentionally biased, hypothesis testing no longer controls the rate of false discovery. In particular, we study…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-12 Junpei Komiyama , Takanori Maehara

The algorithmic theory of randomness is well developed when the underlying space is the set of finite or infinite sequences and the underlying probability distribution is the uniform distribution or a computable distribution. These…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2016-08-31 Peter Gacs

Using cumulative residual processes, we propose joint goodness-of-fit tests for conditional means and variances functions in the context of nonlinear time series with martingale difference innovations. The main challenge comes from the fact…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-02 Kilani Ghoudi , Naâmane Laïb , Mohamed Chaouch

In an empirical Bayesian setting, we provide a new multiple testing method, useful when an additional covariate is available, that influences the probability of each null hypothesis being true. We measure the posterior significance of each…

Applications · Statistics 2008-07-30 Egil Ferkingstad , Arnoldo Frigessi , Håvard Rue , Gudmar Thorleifsson , Augustine Kong

In this paper we study goodness-of-fit testing of single-index models. The large sample behavior of certain score-type test statistics is investigated. As a by-product, we obtain asymptotically distribution-free maximin tests for a large…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Winfried Stute , Li-Xing Zhu

We consider an analysis of variance type problem, where the sample observations are random elements in an infinite dimensional space. This scenario covers the case, where the observations are random functions. For such a problem, we propose…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-26 Joydeep Chowdhury , Probal Chaudhuri

Given two independent samples of non-negative random variables with unknown distribution functions $F$ and $G$, respectively, we introduce and discuss two tests for the hypothesis that $F$ is less than or equal to $G$ in increasing convex…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-02-10 Ludwig Baringhaus , Rudolf Grübel

A common problem in genetics is that of testing whether a set of highly dependent gene expressions differ between two populations, typically in a high-dimensional setting where the data dimension is larger than the sample size. Most…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-11 Måns Thulin

The statistical literature is known to be inconsistent in the use of the terms "permutation test" and "randomization test". Several authors succesfully argue that these terms should be used to refer to two distinct classes of tests and that…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-23 Jesse Hemerik , Jelle J. Goeman

In this paper, we consider Bayesian hypothesis testing for the balanced one-way random effects model. A special choice of the prior formulation for the ratio of variance components is shown to yield an explicit closed-form Bayes factor…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-02-27 Min Wang , Xiaoqian Sun

We consider the problem of evaluating designs for a two-arm randomized experiment with the criterion being the power of the randomization test for the one-sided null hypothesis. Our evaluation assumes a response that is linear in one…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-14 Abba M. Krieger , David Azriel , Michael Sklar , Adam Kapelner

We propose a new approach to sequential testing which is an adaptive (on-line) extension of the (off-line) framework developed in [10]. It relies upon testing of pairs of hypotheses in the case where each hypothesis states that the vector…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-02-27 Anatoli Juditsky , Arkadi Nemirovski

We wish to test whether a real-valued variable $Z$ has explanatory power, in addition to a multivariate variable $X$, for a binary variable $Y$. Thus, we are interested in testing the hypothesis $\mathbb{P}(Y=1\, | \, X,Z)=\mathbb{P}(Y=1\,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-23 John H. J. Einmahl , Denis Kojevnikov , Bas J. M. Werker