English
Related papers

Related papers: Time series quantile regression using random fores…

200 papers

We propose a theoretical study of two realistic estimators of conditional distribution functions and conditional quantiles using random forests. The estimation process uses the bootstrap samples generated from the original dataset when…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-30 Kevin Elie-Dit-Cosaque , Véronique Maume-Deschamps

We propose the interval censored recursive forests (ICRF) which is an iterative tree ensemble method for interval censored survival data. This nonparametric regression estimator makes the best use of censored information by iteratively…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-21 Hunyong Cho , Nicholas P. Jewell , Michael R. Kosorok

Random forests are ensemble methods which grow trees as base learners and combine their predictions by averaging. Random forests are known for their good practical performance, particularly in high dimensional set-tings. On the theoretical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-18 Erwan Scornet

Classical methods for quantile regression fail in cases where the quantile of interest is extreme and only few or no training data points exceed it. Asymptotic results from extreme value theory can be used to extrapolate beyond the range of…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-23 Nicola Gnecco , Edossa Merga Terefe , Sebastian Engelke

The regularized random forest (RRF) was recently proposed for feature selection by building only one ensemble. In RRF the features are evaluated on a part of the training data at each tree node. We derive an upper bound for the number of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-06-21 Houtao Deng , George Runger

Random Forest (RF) is a powerful supervised learner and has been popularly used in many applications such as bioinformatics. In this work we propose the guided random forest (GRF) for feature selection. Similar to a feature selection method…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-11-19 Houtao Deng

Statistical analysis is increasingly confronted with complex data from metric spaces. Petersen and M\"uller (2019) established a general paradigm of Fr\'echet regression with complex metric space valued responses and Euclidean predictors.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-10 Rui Qiu , Zhou Yu , Ruoqing Zhu

Random Forest (Breiman, 2001) is a successful and widely used regression and classification algorithm. Part of its appeal and reason for its versatility is its (implicit) construction of a kernel-type weighting function on training data,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-13 Domagoj Ćevid , Loris Michel , Jeffrey Näf , Nicolai Meinshausen , Peter Bühlmann

Random forests are a powerful method for non-parametric regression, but are limited in their ability to fit smooth signals, and can show poor predictive performance in the presence of strong, smooth effects. Taking the perspective of random…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-09-08 Rina Friedberg , Julie Tibshirani , Susan Athey , Stefan Wager

Random forests are a sensible non-parametric model to predict competing risk data according to some covariates. However, there are currently no packages that can adequately handle large datasets ($n > 100,000$). We introduce a new R…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-26 Joel Therrien , Jiguo Cao

Random forest regression (RF) is an extremely popular tool for the analysis of high-dimensional data. Nonetheless, its benefits may be lessened in sparse settings due to weak predictors, and a pre-estimation dimension reduction (targeting)…

Random forest (RF) stands out as a highly favored machine learning approach for classification problems. The effectiveness of RF hinges on two key factors: the accuracy of individual trees and the diversity among them. In this study, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-28 Ye-eun Kim , Seoung Yun Kim , Hyunjoong Kim

We present a novel tuning procedure for random forests (RFs) that improves the accuracy of estimated quantiles and produces valid, relatively narrow prediction intervals. While RFs are typically used to estimate mean responses (conditional…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-03 Matthew Berkowitz , Rachel MacKay Altman , Thomas M. Loughin

Random forests are a learning algorithm proposed by Breiman [Mach. Learn. 45 (2001) 5--32] that combines several randomized decision trees and aggregates their predictions by averaging. Despite its wide usage and outstanding practical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-08-11 Erwan Scornet , Gérard Biau , Jean-Philippe Vert

We propose methods for density estimation and data synthesis using a novel form of unsupervised random forests. Inspired by generative adversarial networks, we implement a recursive procedure in which trees gradually learn structural…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-14 David S. Watson , Kristin Blesch , Jan Kapar , Marvin N. Wright

The Random Forest (RF) algorithm can be applied to a broad spectrum of problems, including time series prediction. However, neither the classical IID (Independent and Identically distributed) bootstrap nor block bootstrapping strategies (as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-03 Cabrel Teguemne Fokam , Carsten Jentsch , Michel Lang , Markus Pauly

The manuscript develops new method and theory for non-linear regression for binary dependent data using random forests. Existing implementations of random forests for binary data cannot explicitly account for data correlation common in…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-07 Arkajyoti Saha , Abhirup Datta

Due to their accuracies, methods based on ensembles of regression trees are a popular approach for making predictions. Some common examples include Bayesian additive regression trees, boosting and random forests. This paper focuses on…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-15 Suofei Wu , Jan Hannig , Thomas C. M. Lee

Random forests are a very effective and commonly used statistical method, but their full theoretical analysis is still an open problem. As a first step, simplified models such as purely random forests have been introduced, in order to shed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-16 Sylvain Arlot , Robin Genuer

In this paper, we modify the proof methods of some previously weakly consistent variants of random forests into strongly consistent proof methods, and improve the data utilization of these variants in order to obtain better theoretical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-17 JunHao Chen