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Producing probabilistic forecasts for large collections of similar and/or dependent time series is a practically relevant and challenging task. Classical time series models fail to capture complex patterns in the data, and multivariate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-30 Yuyang Wang , Alex Smola , Danielle C. Maddix , Jan Gasthaus , Dean Foster , Tim Januschowski

Climate downscaling, the process of generating high-resolution climate data from low-resolution simulations, is essential for understanding and adapting to climate change at regional and local scales. Deep learning approaches have proven…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-18 Ayush Prasad , Paula Harder , Qidong Yang , Prasanna Sattegeri , Daniela Szwarcman , Campbell Watson , David Rolnick

This paper presents a machine learning-based approach for predicting solar power generation with high accuracy using a 99% AUC (Area Under the Curve) metric. The approach includes data collection, pre-processing, feature selection, model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-15 E. Subramanian , M. Mithun Karthik , G Prem Krishna , D. Vaisnav Prasath , V. Sukesh Kumar

Current deep learning models for dynamics forecasting struggle with generalization. They can only forecast in a specific domain and fail when applied to systems with different parameters, external forces, or boundary conditions. We propose…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-13 Rui Wang , Robin Walters , Rose Yu

Accurate prediction of global sea surface temperature at sub-seasonal to seasonal (S2S) timescale is critical for drought and flood forecasting, as well as for improving disaster preparedness in human society. Government departments or…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-09-10 Longhao Wang , Xuanze Zhang , L. Ruby Leung , Francis H. S. Chiew , Amir AghaKouchak , Kairan Ying , Yongqiang Zhang

The ability to predict wind is crucial for both energy production and weather forecasting. Mechanistic models that form the basis of traditional forecasting perform poorly near the ground. In this paper, we take an alternative data-driven…

Multistage stochastic programming provides a modeling framework for sequential decision-making problems that involve uncertainty. One typically overlooked aspect of this methodology is how uncertainty is incorporated into modeling.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-09-24 Juyoung Wang , Mucahit Cevik , Merve Bodur

Modern software systems are built to be used in dynamic environments using configuration capabilities to adapt to changes and external uncertainties. In a self-adaptation context, we are often interested in reasoning about the performance…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2017-04-24 Pooyan Jamshidi , Miguel Velez , Christian Kästner , Norbert Siegmund , Prasad Kawthekar

Efficient integration of solar energy into the electricity mix depends on a reliable anticipation of its intermittency. A promising approach to forecast the temporal variability of solar irradiance resulting from the cloud cover dynamics is…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-09-07 Quentin Paletta , Anthony Hu , Guillaume Arbod , Joan Lasenby

A large variety of geospatial data layers is available around the world ranging from remotely-sensed raster data like satellite imagery, digital elevation models, predicted land cover maps, and human-annotated data, to data derived from…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-07-21 Arjun Rao , Esther Rolf

Data-driven methods -- such as machine learning and time series forecasting -- are widely used for sales forecasting in the food retail domain. However, for newly introduced products insufficient training data is available to train accurate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-15 Tristan Karb , Niklas Kühl , Robin Hirt , Varvara Glivici-Cotruta

Despite the increasing importance of forecasts of renewable energy, current planning studies only address a general estimate of the forecast quality to be expected and selected forecast horizons. However, these estimates allow only a…

Applications · Statistics 2019-06-03 Jens Schreiber , Artjom Buschin , Bernhard Sick

Ship detection from satellite imagery using Deep Learning (DL) is an indispensable solution for maritime surveillance. However, applying DL models trained on one dataset to others having differences in spatial resolution and radiometric…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-05-24 Tran-Vu La , Minh-Tan Pham , Marco Chini

Computer vision provides automated, non-invasive, and scalable tools for monitoring dairy cattle, thereby supporting management, health assessment, and phenotypic data collection. Although transfer learning is commonly used for predicting…

Solar flares, as one of the most prominent manifestations of solar activity, have a profound impact on both the Earth's space environment and human activities. As a result, accurate solar flare prediction has emerged as a central topic in…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2026-03-31 Mingfu Shao , Suo Liu , Haiqing Xu , Peng Jia , Hui Wang , Liyue Tong , Yang Bai , Chen Yang , Yuyang Li , Nan Li , Jiaben Lin

Climate change is expected to aggravate wildfire activity through the exacerbation of fire weather. Improving our capabilities to anticipate wildfires on a global scale is of uttermost importance for mitigating their negative effects. In…

Machine learning and deep learning methods have been widely explored in understanding the chaotic behavior of the atmosphere and furthering weather forecasting. There has been increasing interest from technology companies, government…

Traditional solar forecasting models are based on several years of site-specific historical irradiance data, often spanning five or more years, which are unavailable for newer photovoltaic farms. As renewable energy is highly intermittent,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-11 Aditya Mishra , Ravindra T , Srinivasan Iyengar , Shivkumar Kalyanaraman , Ponnurangam Kumaraguru

Effective utilization of photovoltaic (PV) plants requires weather variability robust global solar radiation (GSR) forecasting models. Random weather turbulence phenomena coupled with assumptions of clear sky model as suggested by Hottel…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-12-12 Subhadip Dey , Sawon Pratiher , Saon Banerjee , Chanchal Kumar Mukherjee

Because of the global need to increase power production from renewable energy resources, developments in the online monitoring of the associated infrastructure is of interest to reduce operation and maintenance costs. However, challenges…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-29 Simon M. Brealy , Lawrence A. Bull , Pauline Beltrando , Anders Sommer , Nikolaos Dervilis , Keith Worden