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The US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) launched Project Optimus and issued guidance to reform dose-finding and selection trials, shifting the paradigm from identifying the maximum tolerable dose (MTD) to determining the optimal…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-16 Kai Chen , Yixuan Zhao , Kentaro Takeda , Ying Yuan

Phase I early-phase clinical studies aim at investigating the safety and the underlying dose-toxicity relationship of a drug or combination. While little may still be known about the compound's properties, it is crucial to consider…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-13 Christian Röver , Moreno Ursino , Tim Friede , Sarah Zohar

Adaptive designs have been proposed for clinical trials in which the nuisance parameters or alternative of interest are unknown or likely to be misspecified before the trial. Whereas most previous works on adaptive designs and mid-course…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-05-18 Jay Bartroff , Tze Leung Lai

Aims: Combinations of treatments can offer additional benefit over the treatments individually. However, trials of these combinations are lower priority than the development of novel therapies, which can restrict funding, timelines and…

Recently there has been much work on early phase cancer designs that incorporate both toxicity and efficacy data, called Phase I-II designs because they combine elements of both phases. However, they do not explicitly address the Phase II…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-02-12 Jay Bartroff , Tze Leung Lai , Balasubramanian Narasimhan

For many years Phase I and Phase II clinical trials were conducted separately, but there was a recent shift to combine these Phases. While a variety of Phase~I/II model-based designs for cytotoxic agents were proposed in the literature,…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-19 Pavel Mozgunov , Thomas Jaki

Early phase, personalized dose-finding trials for combination therapies seek to identify patient-specific optimal biological dose (OBD) combinations, which are defined as safe dose combinations which maximize therapeutic benefit for a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-18 James Willard , Shirin Golchi , Erica EM Moodie

We consider the optimal design problem for identifying effective dose combinations within drug combination studies where the effect of the combination of two drugs is investigated. Drug combination studies are becoming increasingly…

Group sequential designs (GSDs) are well established and the most commonly used adaptive design in confirmatory clinical trials with interim analyses. However, they remain underutilised, and their implementation involves unique theoretical…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-09 Zhangyi He , Suzie Cro , Laurent Billot

Dose optimization in oncology clinical trials has shifted from seeking the maximum tolerated dose to identifying the Optimal Biological Dose (OBD) that balances therapeutic benefits and risks across multiple clinical attributes. Existing…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-07 Fanni Zhang , Kristine Broglio , Michael Sweeting , Gina D'Angelo

The purpose of a phase I dose-finding clinical trial is to investigate the toxicity profiles of various doses for a new drug and identify the maximum tolerated dose. Over the past three decades, various dose-finding designs have been…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-25 Yunshan Duan , Shijie Yuan , Yuan Ji , Peter Mueller

A multicompartment mathematical model is presented with the goal of studying the role of dose-dense protocols in the context of combination cancer chemotherapy. Dose-dense protocols aim at reducing the period between courses of chemotherapy…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-09-04 Álvaro G. López , Kelly C. Iarosz , Antonio M. Batista , Jesús M. Seoane , Ricardo L. Viana , Miguel A. F. Sanjuán

Model-assisted interval designs such as the Keyboard design are transparent and easy to implement in phase I oncology trials. However, interim decisions based solely on data from the current dose may overlook informative signals from…

Applications · Statistics 2026-05-26 Jiangyan Zhao , Xian Shi , Jin Xu

We propose to use Bayesian optimization (BO) to improve the efficiency of the design selection process in clinical trials. BO is a method to optimize expensive black-box functions, by using a regression as a surrogate to guide the search.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-20 Jakob Richter , Tim Friede , Jörg Rahnenführer

An early phase clinical trial is the first step in evaluating the effects in humans of a potential new anti-disease agent or combination of agents. Usually called "phase I" or "phase I/II" trials, these experiments typically have the…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-12-01 Peter F. Thall

Purpose: During discussions at the Data Science Roundtable meeting in Japan, there were instances where the adoption of the BOIN design was declined, attributed to the extension of study duration and increased sample size in comparison to…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2023-09-19 Masahiro Kojima , Wu Wende , Henry Zhao

Traditionally, the major objective in phase I trials is to identify a working-dose for subsequent studies, whereas the major endpoint in phase II and III trials is treatment efficacy. The dose sought is typically referred to as the maximum…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-08-14 Mourad Tighiouart , André Rogatko

Data collection costs can vary widely across variables in data science tasks. Two-phase designs can be employed to save data collection costs. This paper considers the two-phase studies where inexpensive variables are collected for all…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-04 Ruoyu Wang , Qihua Wang , Wang Miao

This paper proposes a novel criterion for the allocation of patients in Phase~I dose-escalation clinical trials aiming to find the maximum tolerated dose (MTD). Conventionally, using a model-based approach the next patient is allocated to…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-17 Pavel Mozgunov , Thomas Jaki

Decision-making in personalized medicine such as cancer therapy or critical care must often make choices for dosage combinations, i.e., multiple continuous treatments. Existing work for this task has modeled the effect of multiple…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-30 Jonas Schweisthal , Dennis Frauen , Valentyn Melnychuk , Stefan Feuerriegel