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We present a general nonparametric approach for testing whether a statistical parameter defined through conditional distributions is constant across the conditioning variables. Such hypotheses arise naturally in problems such as assessing…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-23 Albert Osom , Ali Shojaie , Aaron Hudson

We introduce a novel measure of dependence that captures the extent to which a random variable $Y$ is determined by a random vector $X$. The measure equals zero precisely when $Y$ and $X$ are independent, and it attains one exactly when $Y$…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Mona Azadkia , Pouya Roudaki

Determining conditional independence (CI) relationships between random variables is a fundamental yet challenging task in machine learning and statistics, especially in high-dimensional settings. Existing generative model-based CI testing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-30 Yixin Ren , Chenghou Jin , Yewei Xia , Li Ke , Longtao Huang , Hui Xue , Hao Zhang , Jihong Guan , Shuigeng Zhou

Quantile regression is a powerful tool for detecting exposure-outcome associations given covariates across different parts of the outcome's distribution, but has two major limitations when the aim is to infer the effect of an exposure.…

Linear regression is a frequently used tool in statistics, however, its validity and interpretability relies on strong model assumptions. While robust estimates of the coefficients' covariance extend the validity of hypothesis tests and…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-04-23 Werner Brannath , Martin Scharpenberg

In this work, we revisit the problem of active sequential prediction-powered mean estimation, where at each round one must decide the query probability of the ground-truth label upon observing the covariates of a sample. Furthermore, if the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-21 Maria-Eleni Sfyraki , Jun-Kun Wang

Conditional local independence is an asymmetric independence relation among continuous time stochastic processes. It describes whether the evolution of one process is directly influenced by another process given the histories of additional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-26 Alexander Mangulad Christgau , Lasse Petersen , Niels Richard Hansen

Identifying relationships among stochastic processes is a core objective in many fields, such as economics. While the standard toolkit for multivariate time series analysis has many advantages, it can be difficult to capture nonlinear…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-06 Michael Wieck-Sosa , Michel F. C. Haddad , Aaditya Ramdas

Let X; Z be r and s-dimensional covariates, respectively, used to model the response variable Y as Y = m(X;Z) + \sigma(X;Z)\epsilon. We develop an ANOVA-type test for the null hypothesis that Z has no influence on the regression function,…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-11 Adriano Zanin Zambom , Michael G. Akritas

Prediction with the possibility of abstention (or selective prediction) is an important problem for error-critical machine learning applications. While well-studied in the classification setup, selective approaches to regression are much…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-09-29 Fedor Noskov , Alexander Fishkov , Maxim Panov

Quantile regression provides a framework for modeling statistical quantities of interest other than the conditional mean. The regression methodology is well developed for linear models, but less so for nonparametric models. We consider…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Mi-Ok Kim

In this paper, we develop invariance-based procedures for testing and inference in high-dimensional regression models. These procedures, also known as randomization tests, provide several important advantages. First, for the global null…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-27 Wenxuan Guo , Panos Toulis

We demonstrate how to test for conditional independence of two variables with categorical data using Poisson log-linear models. The size of the conditioning set of variables can vary from 0 (simple independence) up to many variables. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-06-08 Michail Tsagris

Conformal prediction provides a distribution-free framework for uncertainty quantification. This study explores the application of conformal prediction in scenarios where covariates are missing, which introduces significant challenges for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-09 Jingsen Kong , YIming Liu , Guangren Yang

A fundamental task in statistical learning is quantifying the joint dependence or association between two continuous random variables. We introduce a novel, fully non-parametric measure that assesses the degree of association between…

There has been much interest in the nonparametric testing of conditional independence in the econometric and statistical literature, but the simplest and potentially most useful method, based on the sample partial correlation, seems to have…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-27 Wicher Bergsma

We consider identification, inference and validation of linear panel data models when both factors and factor loadings are accounted for by a nonparametric function. This general specification encompasses rather popular models such as the…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-06-13 Juan M. Rodriguez-Poo , Alexandra Soberon , Stefan Sperlich

In conditional copula models, the copula parameter is deterministically linked to a covariate via the calibration function. The latter is of central interest for inference and is usually estimated nonparametrically. However, when a…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-03-19 Elif F. Acar , Radu V. Craiu , Fang Yao

In this paper we study covariance estimation with missing data. We consider missing data mechanisms that can be independent of the data, or have a time varying dependency. Additionally, observed variables may have arbitrary (non uniform)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-17 Eduardo Pavez , Antonio Ortega

We study a high-dimensional regression setting under the assumption of known covariate distribution. We aim at estimating the amount of explained variation in the response by the best linear function of the covariates (the signal level). In…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-12 Ilan Livne , David Azriel , Yair Goldberg