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In this paper, we study connections between the classical model-based approach to nonlinear system theory, where systems are represented by equations, and the nonlinear behavioral approach, where systems are defined as sets of trajectories.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-05-30 Antonio Fazzi , Alessandro Chiuso

Pedestrian motion prediction is a fundamental task for autonomous robots and vehicles to operate safely. In recent years many complex approaches based on neural networks have been proposed to address this problem. In this work we show that…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-01-23 Christoph Schöller , Vincent Aravantinos , Florian Lay , Alois Knoll

Advances in learning-based trajectory prediction are enabled by large-scale datasets. However, in-depth analysis of such datasets is limited. Moreover, the evaluation of prediction models is limited to metrics averaged over all samples in…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-06-13 Julian Schmidt , Julian Jordan , David Raba , Tobias Welz , Klaus Dietmayer

Utilization of multiple trajectories of a dynamical system model provides us with several benefits in approximation of time series. For short term predictions a high accuracy can be achieved via switches to new trajectory at any time.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-02-03 Victoria Rayskin

Accurate trajectory prediction has long been a major challenge for autonomous driving (AD). Traditional data-driven models predominantly rely on statistical correlations, often overlooking the causal relationships that govern traffic…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-05-13 Bonan Wang , Haicheng Liao , Chengyue Wang , Bin Rao , Yanchen Guan , Guyang Yu , Jiaxun Zhang , Songning Lai , Chengzhong Xu , Zhenning Li

Using a time series model to mimic an observed time series has a long history. However, with regard to this objective, conventional estimation methods for discrete-time dynamical models are frequently found to be wanting. In fact, they are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Yingcun Xia , Howell Tong

Ordinary differential equations (ODEs) are widely used to model dynamical behavior of systems. It is important to perform identifiability analysis prior to estimating unknown parameters in ODEs (a.k.a. inverse problem), because if a system…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-03-11 Xing Qiu , Tao Xu , Babak Soltanalizadeh , Hulin Wu

The wide spread use of positioning and photographing devices gives rise to a deluge of traffic trajectory data (e.g., vehicle passage records and taxi trajectory data), with each record having at least three attributes: object ID, location…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-18 Meng Chen , Xiaohui Yu , Yang Liu

Research on control using models based on machine-learning methods has now shifted to the practical engineering stage. Achieving high performance and theoretically guaranteeing the safety of the system is critical for such applications. In…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-01-28 Ryuta Moriyasu , Masayuki Kusunoki , Kenji Kashima

Predicting transportation modes from GPS (Global Positioning System) records is a hot topic in the trajectory mining domain. Each GPS record is called a trajectory point and a trajectory is a sequence of these points. Trajectory mining has…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-07-31 Mohammad Etemad

Given their flexibility and encouraging performance, deep-learning models are becoming standard for motion prediction in autonomous driving. However, with great flexibility comes a lack of interpretability and possible violations of…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-04-25 Theodor Westny , Joel Oskarsson , Björn Olofsson , Erik Frisk

We examine the influence of input data representations on learning complexity. For learning, we posit that each model implicitly uses a candidate model distribution for unexplained variations in the data, its noise model. If the model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-21 Julian Zilly , Lorenz Hetzel , Andrea Censi , Emilio Frazzoli

The abilities to understand the social interaction behaviors between a vehicle and its surroundings while predicting its trajectory in an urban environment are critical for road safety in autonomous driving. Social interactions are hard to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-08-09 Amina Ghoul , Itheri Yahiaoui , Anne Verroust-Blondet , Fawzi Nashashibi

Non-holonomic vehicle motion has been studied extensively using physics-based models. Common approaches when using these models interpret the wheel/ground interactions using a linear tire model and thus may not fully capture the nonlinear…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-07-19 Taekyung Kim , Hojin Lee , Wonsuk Lee

Autonomous vehicles currently suffer from a time-inefficient driving style caused by uncertainty about human behavior in traffic interactions. Accurate and reliable prediction models enabling more efficient trajectory planning could make…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-02-21 Julian Frederik Schumann , Jens Kober , Arkady Zgonnikov

Uncertainty-aware robot motion prediction is crucial for downstream traversability estimation and safe autonomous navigation in unstructured, off-road environments, where terrain is heterogeneous and perceptual uncertainty is high. Most…

Forecasting the future trajectories of surrounding agents is crucial for autonomous vehicles to ensure safe, efficient, and comfortable route planning. While model ensembling has improved prediction accuracy in various fields, its…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-23 Aron Distelzweig , Eitan Kosman , Andreas Look , Faris Janjoš , Denesh K. Manivannan , Abhinav Valada

Compounding error, where small prediction mistakes accumulate over time, presents a major challenge in learning-based control. A common remedy is to train multi-step predictors directly instead of rolling out single-step models. However, it…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-25 Anne Somalwar , Bruce D. Lee , George J. Pappas , Nikolai Matni

Methods to quantify the complexity of trajectory datasets are still a missing piece in benchmarking human trajectory prediction models. In order to gain a better understanding of the complexity of trajectory prediction tasks and following…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-05-21 Ronny Hug , Stefan Becker , Wolfgang Hübner , Michael Arens

We consider the problem of estimating the parameters of a vehicle dynamics model for predictive control in driving applications. Instead of solely using the instantaneous parameters estimated from the vehicle signals, we combine this with…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-17 Marcus Greiff , Ray Zhang , Takeru Shirasawa , John Subosits