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We present an extension of local sensitivity analysis, also referred to as the perturbation approach for uncertainty quantification, to Bayesian inverse problems. More precisely, we show how moments of random variables with respect to the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-04-06 Jürgen Dölz , David Ebert

Global sensitivity analysis (GSA) of numerical simulators aims at studying the global impact of the input uncertainties on the output. To perform the GSA, statistical tools based on inputs/output dependence measures are commonly used. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-20 Anouar Meynaoui , Amandine Marrel , Béatrice Laurent

Bayesian methods and software for spatial data analysis are generally now well established in the scientific community. Despite the wide application of spatial models, the analysis of multivariate spatial data using R-INLA has not been…

International Large-scale Assessments (ILSAs), such as the Program for International Student Assessment (PISA) and the Trends in International Mathematics and Science Study (TIMSS), are cornerstone tools for global educational research and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-05 Jing Ouyang , Yunxiao Chen , Chengcheng Li , Gongjun Xu

Learning customer preferences from an observed behaviour is an important topic in the marketing literature. Structural models typically model forward-looking customers or firms as utility-maximizing agents whose utility is estimated using…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-12-14 Igor Halperin

Understanding systems by forward and inverse modeling is a recurrent topic of research in many domains of science and engineering. In this context, Monte Carlo methods have been widely used as powerful tools for numerical inference and…

Computation · Statistics 2022-02-14 F. Llorente , L. Martino , D. Delgado , G. Camps-Valls

Visual perception in the brain largely depends on the organization of neuronal receptive fields. Although extensive research has delineated the coding principles of receptive fields, most studies have been constrained by their foundational…

We consider hyper-differential sensitivity analysis (HDSA) of nonlinear Bayesian inverse problems governed by PDEs with infinite-dimensional parameters. In previous works, HDSA has been used to assess the sensitivity of the solution of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-02-07 Isaac Sunseri , Alen Alexanderian , Joseph Hart , Bart van Bloemen Waanders

Observations by the Interface Region Imaging Spectrograph (IRIS) in the Mg II h & k spectral lines have provided a new diagnostic window towards the knowledge of the complex physical conditions in the solar chromosphere. Theoretical efforts…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2023-03-15 Alberto Sainz Dalda , Bart De Pontieu

Probabilistic sensitivity analysis identifies the influential uncertain input to guide decision-making. We propose a general sensitivity framework with respect to the input distribution parameters that unifies a wide range of sensitivity…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-10 Jiannan Yang

An analytic formula is proposed to characterize the variance propagation from correlated input variables to the model response, by using multi-variate Taylor series. With the formula, partial variance contributions to the model response are…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-08-23 Yueying Zhu , Qiuping A Wang , Wei Li , Xu Cai

To identify the estimand in missing data problems and observational studies, it is common to base the statistical estimation on the "missing at random" and "no unmeasured confounder" assumptions. However, these assumptions are unverifiable…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-09 Qingyuan Zhao , Dylan S. Small , Bhaswar B. Bhattacharya

Reduced-rank linear discriminant analysis (RRLDA) is a foundational method of dimension reduction for classification that has been useful in a wide range of applications. The goal is to identify an optimal subspace to project the…

Computation · Statistics 2026-02-12 Jocelyn T. Chi

Inspired by the well-established variance-based methods for global sensitivity analysis, we develop a local total sensitivity index that decomposes the global total sensitivity conditions by independent variables' values. We employ this…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-21 Brian W. Bush , Joanne Wendelberger , Rebecca Hanes

Multi-view data have been routinely collected in various fields of science and engineering. A general problem is to study the predictive association between multivariate responses and multi-view predictor sets, all of which can be of high…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-30 Gen Li , Xiaokang Liu , Kun Chen

Understanding the dynamics of complex systems is a central task in many different areas ranging from biology via epidemics to economics and engineering. Unexpected behaviour of dynamic systems or even system failure is sometimes difficult…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-03-25 Dominik Kahl , Andreas Weber , Maik Kschischo

Inverse Ising inference allows pairwise interactions of complex binary systems to be reconstructed from empirical correlations. Typical estimators used for this inference, such as Pseudo-likelihood maximization (PLM), are biased. Using the…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2023-07-19 Maximilian Benedikt Kloucek , Thomas Machon , Shogo Kajimura , C. Patrick Royall , Naoki Masuda , Francesco Turci

Predictions from science and engineering models depend on several input parameters. Global sensitivity analysis quantifies the importance of each input parameter, which can lead to insight into the model and reduced computational cost;…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-07-28 Paul G. Constantine , Paul Diaz

The formulation of Bayesian inverse problems involves choosing prior distributions; choices that seem equally reasonable may lead to significantly different conclusions. We develop a computational approach to better understand the impact of…

Computation · Statistics 2026-01-08 John E. Darges , Alen Alexanderian , Pierre A. Gremaud

Reinforcement Learning (RL) is a rapidly growing area of machine learning that finds its application in a broad range of domains, from finance and healthcare to robotics and gaming. Compared to other machine learning techniques, RL agents…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-11-14 Geetansh Kalra , Divye Singh , Justin Jose
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