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Nonlinear panel data models with fixed individual effects provide an important set of tools for describing microeconometric data. In a large class of such models (including probit, proportional hazard and quantile regression to name just a…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-02-07 Antonio F. Galvao , Jiaying Gu , Stanislav Volgushev

Conditional average treatment effects (CATEs) allow us to understand the effect heterogeneity across a large population of individuals. However, typical CATE learners assume all confounding variables are measured in order for the CATE to be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-01 Yao Zhang , Jeroen Berrevoets , Mihaela van der Schaar

Many areas of research are characterised by the deluge of large-scale highly-dimensional time-series data. However, using the data available for prediction and decision making is hampered by the current lag in our ability to uncover and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-11-24 Zina Ibrahim , Honghan Wu , Richard Dobson

We study the estimation of the ATE in randomized controlled trials under a dynamically evolving interference structure. This setting arises in applications such as ride-sharing, where drivers move over time, and social networks, where…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-11 Su Jia , Peter Frazier , Nathan Kallus , Christina Lee Yu

Inference for fixed effects estimators is often unreliable due to Nickell- and incidental parameter biases. While these issues are well understood for classical two-dimensional panels, little is known about three-dimensional panel…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-05 Daniel Czarnowske , Amrei Stammann

Covariate-specific treatment effects (CSTEs) represent heterogeneous treatment effects across subpopulations defined by certain selected covariates. In this article, we consider marginal structural models where CSTEs are linearly…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-25 Peng Wu , Zhiqiang Tan , Wenjie Hu , Xiao-Hua Zhou

Quantum many-body systems realise many different phases of matter characterised by their exotic emergent phenomena. While some simple versions of these properties can occur in systems of free fermions, their occurrence generally implies…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2019-10-04 Samuel Spillard , Christopher J. Turner , Konstantinos Meichanetzidis

Evaluation of intervention in a multiagent system, e.g., when humans should intervene in autonomous driving systems and when a player should pass to teammates for a good shot, is challenging in various engineering and scientific fields.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-02-20 Keisuke Fujii , Koh Takeuchi , Atsushi Kuribayashi , Naoya Takeishi , Yoshinobu Kawahara , Kazuya Takeda

Reinforcement learning algorithms have shown great success in solving different problems ranging from playing video games to robotics. However, they struggle to solve delicate robotic problems, especially those involving contact…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-07-15 Miroslav Bogdanovic , Majid Khadiv , Ludovic Righetti

Difference-in-differences is based on a parallel trends assumption, which states that changes over time in average potential outcomes are independent of treatment assignment, possibly conditional on covariates. With time-varying treatments,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-25 Nicholas Illenberger , Iván Díaz , Audrey Renson

Detecting interaction effects (IEs) in meta-regression is challenging, especially when few studies are available and many plausible interactions are considered. In many meta-analyses, interpretability is essential, which limits the use of…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2026-03-09 Jan-Bernd Igelmann , Paula Lorenz , Markus Pauly

Scholars from diverse fields increasingly rely on high-frequency spatio-temporal data. Yet, causal inference with these data remains challenging due to spatial spillover and temporal carryover effects. We develop methods to estimate…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-03 Lingxiao Zhou , Kosuke Imai , Jason Lyall , Georgia Papadogeorgou

The foundation of this paper is an experiment of fifteen participants interacting directly with an autonomous robot. The task for the participants was to carry a table, in two different setups, together with a robot, which is intended to…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-04-15 Nadine Bender , Samir El Faramawy , Johannes Maria Kraus , Martin Baumann

In this paper, we present new results on consensus for continuous-time multi- agent systems. We introduce the assumptions of persistent connectivity of the interaction graph and of slow divergence of reciprocal interaction weights.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2012-11-07 Samuel Martin , Antoine Girard

We propose a model-free framework for sensitivity analysis of individual treatment effects (ITEs), building upon ideas from conformal inference. For any unit, our procedure reports the $\Gamma$-value, a number which quantifies the minimum…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-26 Ying Jin , Zhimei Ren , Emmanuel J. Candès

Given a dataset of individuals each described by a covariate vector, a treatment, and an observed outcome on the treatment, the goal of the individual treatment effect (ITE) estimation task is to predict outcome changes resulting from a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-07 Lokesh Nagalapatti , Pranava Singhal , Avishek Ghosh , Sunita Sarawagi

Scientists regularly pose questions about treatment effects on outcomes conditional on a post-treatment event. However, causal inference in such settings requires care, even in perfectly executed randomized experiments. Recently, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-19 Chan Park , Mats Stensrud , Eric Tchetgen Tchetgen

We study the identification of heterogeneous, intertemporal treatment effects (TE) when potential outcomes depend on past treatments. First, applying a dynamic panel data model to observed outcomes, we show that an instrumental variable…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-09-09 Philip Marx , Elie Tamer , Xun Tang

In this study, we develop a novel estimation method for quantile treatment effects (QTE) under rank invariance and rank stationarity assumptions. Ishihara (2020) explores identification of the nonseparable panel data model under these…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-18 Takuya Ishihara

Modern causal inference methods allow machine learning to be used to weaken parametric modeling assumptions. However, the use of machine learning may result in complications for inference. Doubly-robust cross-fit estimators have been…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-11 Paul N Zivich , Alexander Breskin
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