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With the rapid development of electricity markets, price volatility has significantly increased, making accurate forecasting crucial for power system operations and market decisions. Traditional linear models cannot capture the complex…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-02 Xuanyi Zhao , Jiawen Ding , Xueting Huang , Yibo Zhang

The view that altruistic punishment plays an important role in supporting public cooperation among human beings and other species has been widely accepted by the public. However, the positive role of altruistic punishment in enhancing…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-03-08 Linjie Liu , Xiaojie Chen

The Agenda 2030 recognises corruption as a major obstacle to sustainable development and integrates its reduction among SDG targets, in view of developing peaceful, just and strong institutions. In this paper, we propose a method to assess…

Applications · Statistics 2023-09-06 Michela Gnaldi , Simone Del Sarto

Many empirical studies have shown that government quality is a key determinant of vulnerability to natural disasters. Protection against natural disasters can be a public good -- flood protection, for example -- or a natural monopoly --…

General Economics · Economics 2021-04-29 Richard S. J. Tol

In the face of global economic uncertainty, financial auditing has become essential for regulatory compliance and risk mitigation. Traditional manual auditing methods are increasingly limited by large data volumes, complex business…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-09 Tingyu Yuan , Xi Zhang , Xuanjing Chen

Algorithmic pricing raises a question of interpretation as well as intervention: when autonomous deep-learning pricing systems sustain supracompetitive prices, what strategic pattern have they learned, and how might market institutions…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-05-19 Soumen Banerjee

Mechanism design is a central research branch in microeconomics. An effective mechanism can significantly improve performance and efficiency of social decisions under desired objectives, such as to maximize social welfare or to maximize…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2022-04-18 Guanhua Wang

This paper explores the interplay between transfer policies, R\&D, corruption, and economic development using a general equilibrium model with heterogeneous agents and a government. The government collects taxes, redistributes fiscal…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-04 Cuong Le Van , Ngoc-Sang Pham , Thi Kim Cuong Pham , Binh Tran-Nam

Complex statistical machine learning models are increasingly being used or considered for use in high-stakes decision-making pipelines in domains such as financial services, health care, criminal justice and human services. These models are…

Applications · Statistics 2017-07-04 Alexandra Chouldechova , Max G'Sell

We live in an age of consumption with an ever-increasing demand of already scarce resources and equally fast growing problems of waste generation and climate change. To tackle these difficult issues, we must learn from mother nature. Just…

General Economics · Economics 2021-04-13 Sareesh Rawat

Machine learning systems are increasingly used to make decisions about people's lives, such as whether to give someone a loan or whether to interview someone for a job. This has led to considerable interest in making such machine learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-10-13 Daniel McNamara , Cheng Soon Ong , Robert C. Williamson

This study investigates the application of machine learning techniques, specifically Neural Networks, Random Forests, and CatBoost for option pricing, in comparison to traditional models such as Black-Scholes and Heston Model. Using both…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-03 Georgy Milyushkov

Machine learning has become increasingly popular in informing data-driven policy-making. Policies influence behavior in individuals or populations, and ideally, through observational signals, policy-makers learn which policies are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-28 Shiliang Zuo

This paper promotes the use of random forests as versatile tools for estimating spatially disaggregated indicators in the presence of small area-specific sample sizes. Small area estimators are predominantly conceptualized within the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-19 Patrick Krennmair , Timo Schmid

When using machine learning for imbalanced binary classification problems, it is common to subsample the majority class to create a (more) balanced training dataset. This biases the model's predictions because the model learns from data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-03 Nathan Phelps , Daniel J. Lizotte , Douglas G. Woolford

The European debt purchase market as measured by the total book value of purchased debt approached 25bn euros in 2020 and it was growing at double-digit rates. This is an example of how big the debt collection and debt purchase industry has…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-14 Abel Sancarlos , Edgar Bahilo , Pablo Mozo , Lukas Norman , Obaid Ur Rehma , Mihails Anufrijevs

The UK anti-fraud charity Fraud Advisory Panel (FAP) in their review of 2016 estimates business costs of fraud at 144 billion, and its individual counterpart at 9.7 billion. Banking, insurance, manufacturing, and government are the most…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-11 Tuan Tran

In the era of the digitally driven economy, where there has been an exponential surge in digital payment systems and other online activities, various forms of fraudulent activities have accompanied the digital growth, out of which credit…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-23 Ganesh Khekare , Shivam Sunda , Yash Bothra

This paper aims to identify the robust determinants of corruption after integrating out the effects of spatial spillovers in corruption levels between countries. In other words, we want to specify which variables play the most critical role…

General Economics · Economics 2021-05-28 Sajad Rahimian

Forests play a crucial role in Earth's system processes and provide a suite of social and economic ecosystem services, but are significantly impacted by human activities, leading to a pronounced disruption of the equilibrium within…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-11-01 Arthur Ouaknine , Teja Kattenborn , Etienne Laliberté , David Rolnick
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